Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-4   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-7   WIN (3/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5)-(3/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   09/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARBOR THUNDER Sep12 Aug09 May25 May18 May04 (lavanway dayson)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
2  TAP THE BRAKES Sep13 Aug30 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
3  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Sep14 Aug10 Jul12 Feb19 Jan23 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 3.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  THREE GOLD PIECES Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 Jun14 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00    
SCR  T J MAGIC Sep12 Aug29 Jul20 Jul06 May24 (jensen mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
 
ARP-2   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAHEZ Jul21 Jun20 May26 Apr18 Mar19 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
2  I'M A COOL CAT Aug02 Jul06 May25 May10 Apr20 (long vaughn)CARRENO J 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  TOMBI Aug10 Jul18 Jul06 Jun28 May31 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50    
4  EPIC DRAMA Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jul13 May18 (warren kayla)DELORME L 124 8.00 8% 11.70    
5  TAPIT DOWN Jul25 Jun20 May03 Apr26 Apr12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00    
 
ARP-3   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MA KONA KII Aug16 Jul19 Jun08 May26   (crump anthony)RAMEY CASH 120 5.00    
2  NAUGHTY WORDS Sep12 Sep29       (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRAN SENOR DEL ORO Aug03 Jul03 Jun15 Jun01 May18 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 120 4.50 38% 1.60    
4  BEAR ENCOUNTER Aug31 Nov30 Nov16 Oct19 Aug16 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 124 2.50    
5  ROMAN EYES Nov17 Oct26       (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 117 8.00 26% 2.90    
6  MAJOR TIMING Jun20 May16 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 3.50    
 
ARP-4   09/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORO Aug17 Aug03 Jul02 Jun11 May03 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00    
2  JET STREAM Aug17 Aug06 Jul05 Jun18 Nov16 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00    
3  RIDE FOR GOLD Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jun20 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  GRACE'S HANK Sep01 Aug06 Jun17 May25 Oct17 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
5  UKRAINE STRONG Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
6  EL DIAMANTE NEGRO Sep06 Aug29 Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 120 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
ARP-6   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Aspen Purse ($24.208K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE Aug30 Aug10 Jun21 Apr28 Feb11 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of LUCY LOVES NANA by INCLUDE)
2  QUICKTRIP VAN Sep13 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
3  HOYA PARANOYA Mar15 Feb18 Jan05 Dec12 Nov07 (martinez a)CRUZ M 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LOST IN SUCCESS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  COLLUSIONIST Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Jan06 Nov15 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 1.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
5  WHEELER DEALER Aug25 Aug08 Jun30 May30 Nov15 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
 
ARP-7   09/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Larri Lou Purse ($24.335K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELEE'S LAST TE Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May31 Nov03 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
2  ROCKIN MARIE Aug22 Aug09 Jul27 Jun29 May24 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of YELLOW CHUMARINE by CHUMAREE)
3  FLO TIME Sep12 Jul27 Nov03 Oct13 Sep20 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CATS LEGEND by GOLD LEGEND)
4  FLYING LADY Jul27 Nov01 Oct05 Sep21 Sep13 (martinez a)RAMEY CASH 124 10.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SANDHILL LADY by OLIVER'S TWIST)
5  I'M A TRUMPER Sep13 Nov02 Oct25 Oct13 Oct05 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
6  BRING THE POSSE Sep13 Nov03 Oct20 Oct04 Sep21 (esquibel mark)CARRENO J 124 2.50    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
7  LONG MAY SHE RUN Aug29 Aug10 Jul20 Jun13 Nov16 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.