Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2)-(5/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(5/7/4/6)-(3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/6)-(3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/6)-(3/6/5)-(4/1/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(4/1/7/6)-(1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/6)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/6)-(1/2/4)-(5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/2/3)-(2/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/3/4)-(7/2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOHEMIAN STYLE Sep15 Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 Jun21 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  DOMI Sep10 Aug21 Aug11 Jun18 Jun02 (mahan p)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPELLED WELL Sep02 Jul09 Jun14 May31 May24 (vlaun man)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00    
4  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Sep02 Aug11 Jul07 Jun07 May13 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
5  CACIQUE ABARRIO Sep12 Aug20 Aug11 Jun24 Jun04 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 12.00    
6  RED MOSCATO Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 Jul17 Jun15 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80    
7  CANAVERO Sep02 Aug20 Jul01 Jun14 May22 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 10.00 20% 4.10    
8  GREEWHIZ Sep10 Aug21 Aug11 Jun24 Jun10 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   09/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSE OF LOVE Aug27 Aug18 Jun11 May21 Apr21 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
2  KERRI'S MIRACLE Sep08 Jul07 Jun16 May27 May08 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00    
3  FANCIFUL Aug29 Jul25 Jul12 Jun18 May08 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 118 5.00    
4  PRETTY PATTY Aug29 Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May27 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  HELLO SWEETS Aug29 Aug20 Jul01 Jun07 May21 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  SHEZ SHACKED UP Aug27 Aug11 Jul08 Mar18 Mar05 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIZZEN THE POINT Aug29 Aug11 Jul08 May27 Apr29 (overholt paul)BRACHO A 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-3   09/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE IN A FLASH Aug06 Jun17 May12 Apr21 Apr07 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
2  OHIO STRONG Sep11 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jul01 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 4.50    
3  DARK VADER Aug12 Mar31 Mar03 Feb10 Dec11 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 1.80 64% 0.60    
SCR  CLASSIC MO Aug27 Aug12 Jul03 Jun11 Oct07 (skerrett jeffre)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00    
5  SPIRIT OF AKRON Sep11 Aug19 Aug06 Jun30 Jun12 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUCHO PRIMO Aug29 Jan08 Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 123 12.00 13% 7.00    
 
TDN-4   09/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EILEEN'S DESPERADO Aug27 Aug13 Jun25     (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  UP IN TIME Sep08 Aug19 Aug05 Jul02   (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
3  VALID CONNECTION Aug16 Jun08 Dec08 Nov14 Sep28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
4  INTERVAL Sep08 Aug25 Jun16 May29 May20 (rivera r)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  RUFUS Sep08 Jan30 Jan13 Dec12 Nov25 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 5.00    
6  DIXIE MAN Sep08 Aug13 Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LEGENDARY STAR Jan16 Dec11 Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 8.00 8% 12.20    
 
TDN-5   09/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'LL FIGURE IT OUT Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 Sep03 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 63% 0.60    
2  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Aug13 Jun16 May20 Jan29 Dec17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 10% 9.10    
3  T MONEY Aug29 Jun18 May03 Mar10 Feb06 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 4.50    
4  MEXITEXAFORNIA Sep02 Mar17 Jan07 Nov25 Nov07 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GILLIGAN Sep08 Aug13 Jun10 May26 Apr29 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 3.00    
6  MSHINDI Aug29 Aug13 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 123 2.50    
 
TDN-6   09/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAM KNIGHT Sep10 Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 Apr16 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 123 15.00    
2  CARILLO Aug29 Jul02 May26 Nov25 Oct28 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 15% 5.50    
3  ROYAL DRAGOON Aug03 Jun12 May22 Mar01 Jan27 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  P H FACTOR Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jul10 Jun18 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
5  JOHN'S ROCK Aug29 Aug19 Aug07 Jul02 Jun11 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80 50% 1.00    
6  DR SCHUSTER Sep11 Aug18 Jul30 Jun30 Jun10 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00    
 
TDN-7   09/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PALACE Aug20 Jul17 Jul02 Jun16 May22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50    
2  CANDYMONIUM Jul01 May20 Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
3  OAXACA Jun26 Jun11 Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 13% 6.90    
4  DIVINE FASHION Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 Jul28 Jul15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LIAM'S LASS Sep15 Aug20 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 123 2.00    
6  CEVICHE Sep10 Jul28 Jun16 May26 May05 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00    
 
TDN-8   09/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI DELIGHT Jun24 Jun07 Mar05 Feb04 Dec27 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
2  JEMEL Sep01 Aug21 Jul07 Jun21 Jun09 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 115 4.50 15% 5.90    
3  RAZZBERRY RIPPLE Sep08 Aug18 Jul14 Jun24 May06 (gorham m)RIVERA R 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  EXALTADA Aug29 Aug11 Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00    
5  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Aug05 Jul01 Jun10 May27 May06 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 7% 12.70    
6  NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK Sep02 Aug11 Jul16 Jun23 May27 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 12.00    
7  ILLUMINATE (IRE) Aug22 Jul14 Jun21 Sep16 Aug28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 55% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.