Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/7)-(7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/7)-(7/3/4)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(1/4/6)-(1/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(1/5/4)-(4/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(4/6/3)-(6/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/5/4)-(2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(2/3)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/4/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUT INSTINCT May27 May06 Mar01 Jan23 Jan06 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 11% 8.20    
2  EL DANDI Aug21 Jul13 May19 Apr08 Feb08 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.50    
3  KNICKS GLORY Aug13 Jun30 May08 Mar02 Jan25 (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 117 2.50 38% 1.70    
4  KONTEEKEE Aug25 Jul10 Jun23 May13 Apr25 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
5  BIG PRANKSTER Aug28 Aug14 Oct18 Sep01 Aug21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
6  VODKA N GINGERALE Jun21 Jun03 May13 Feb26 Jan31 (cannon john )KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.50 18% 4.50    
7  ADMIRAL NELSON Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 Apr17 Mar22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINALLY FRIDAY Aug21 Aug07 May17 Apr30 Apr02 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
2  MUSIC JEWEL Aug29 Aug12 Jul18 Jul10 Jun21 (me)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.50 ★    
3  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Aug28 Aug04 Jun21 Jun06 May12 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  A VAN ON THE RUN Aug28 Aug08 Jun10 Apr30 Mar30 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 22% 3.40    
5  VANADIUM Sep01 Aug21 Aug07 Jun24   (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 123 15.00    
6  TAP THE WIND Aug14 Jul16 Jul02 Oct23 Oct05 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 6.00    
7  AFLOAT Nov14         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-3   09/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOHEMIAN STYLE Sep02 Aug13 Jul09 Jun21 Jun11 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 1.80 57% 0.70    
2  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
3  STAR QUALITY (ARG) Aug26 Jun03 Apr15 Nov14 Oct26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50    
4  LAST U TURN Aug26 Aug13 Feb21 Feb09 Sep22 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ACTION MAN Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 Jun23 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.60    
6  A BIT OF CAPTAIN Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 May17 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEEGEE'S STORY Jun29 May18 Apr10 Mar06 Feb09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 58% 0.70    
2  GLITTER QUEEN Aug27 Jul15 Jun24 Aug29 Jul17 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00    
3  PRINCESS OPAL Aug27 Aug05 Jun12 May27 Mar18 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 123 15.00    
4  LIME TREE Aug05 Jul07 Jun12 Apr28 Apr11 (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  JENN SWEET JENN Aug27 Jul07 Jun12 May27 May13 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
6  MISS LITTLE BIT Aug27 Aug05 Jul07 Jun12 May27 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OL' NELSON Aug08 Oct01 Aug27 Aug12 Jul24 (huffman candace )VIGIL NOEL 115 4.50    
2  SADIE'S GHOST Aug29 May14 Apr29 Oct28   (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.00    
3  MY VALENTINO Aug28 Aug04 Jul14 Dec16 Nov14 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SGT YORK Aug28 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May29 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  MOR STORMY Aug28 Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 May17 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.00    
6  KICKSTART Jun16 May29 May12 Apr22 Feb27 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00 12% 7.40    
 
TDN-6   09/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z BOSS Sep02 Aug04 Jun23 May29 May08 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 1.60    
2  NET WORTH Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 Jun07 May13 (swan kirsten)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
3  ASK ISAAC Aug20 Aug05 Jun12 Apr22 Nov11 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
SCR  RIGHT OF RUSH Jul25 May14 Apr29 Feb11 Dec28 (rhoden carlton)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BREEZE THE BAYOU Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun07 Apr23 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  STREETS OF WAR Aug26 Aug13 May03 Apr05 Mar22 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-7   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWILIGHT VISION Aug20 Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 Nov19 (jackson r)RIVERA R 121 3.50    
2  CLOUD STORAGE Aug20 Jul15 Jun24 May22 May07 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  MISS ATHLETIC Aug05 Jul14 Jun18 May26 Apr28 (higham)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS FUSSY PANTS Aug20 Aug03 Jul15 Jun18 May28 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 ★    
5  LIAM'S LASS Aug20 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 Nov18 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
6  WATERWORKS Aug31 Aug03 Jul16 Jun18 May13 (clouston edward)PARKER L 119 4.50    
 
TDN-8   09/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z B READY Sep02 Jul03 Jun11 May27 Aug29 (maddox a)JIMENEZ S 123 12.00    
2  CHARDU Aug20 Jul23       (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DRILLING Aug26 Jul03 Jun11 May22 May07 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
4  DESTINY'S TOT Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jun23 Jun11 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  MANDATED EVENT Aug29         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
6  PLAY BALL SUSIE Aug26 Aug12 Oct23 Sep24 Sep12 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHESTHEPERFECTSONG Aug26 Aug11 Jan06 Dec18 Nov20 (pappada ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 15.00    
SCR  EBONY'S SECRET Aug26 Aug12 Jul01 Jun11 May27 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
9  MY PLEASURE Aug12         (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.