Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - September 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/6)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/6)-(1/4/6)-(3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(3/4/2)-(4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(4/3)-(4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(4/5/3)-(5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/3)-(5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/4/1)-(6/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   09/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERIAN Aug18 Jul08 Jun09 May17 Apr07 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
ALWAYSINTOMISCHIEF Jul30 Jan31 Dec21 Oct26 Sep21 (cowans d)AVILES YAN 121 2.00 19% 4.20    
SWING STATE Aug14 Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 May17 (gonzalez ric)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
LUST FOR LIFE Aug04 Jun21 Jun03 May03 Jan16 (rone mike)BRACHO A 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
OKLAHOMA JOE Aug04 Jul16 Jun21 Jun10 May28 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
DON'T STOP Aug19 Jul10 Jun18 May28 May06 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
THAT'S THE WAY Aug04 Mar19 Feb26 Dec18 Nov25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
TDN-2   09/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIOSA CATRINA Aug18 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 1.60 70% 0.40    
OCHO'S SECRET Aug18 Jul07 Jun17 May19 Apr28 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.50    
GRACIE DANCE Aug18 Jul14 Jul01 Jun16 May26 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 2.50    
KANTBACKOFF Aug21 Jul01 Jun03 May20 Apr22 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Aug21 Aug08 Jun17 Jun04 May14 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 4.00    
BO RUNKLE Jun05 Feb23 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   09/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALKI BARTOKOMOUS Aug21 Aug07 Jul14 Jun24 May17 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TOUCH OF EMMA by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
TAKE DICTATION Aug13 Jul14 Aug28 Aug10   (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
EL FAITE Aug12 Jul12 Jun20 May29 Oct28 (genoves)PILARES P 119 1.40 40% 1.50    
  (by FORT LARNED out of JUSTICEINACTION by FLASHBACK)
EMOJI TIME         (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of TIMEFADESTHEPAGES by SPRING AT LAST)
VANADIUM Aug21 Aug07 Jun24     (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AREQUIPA by HOLY BULL)
DUDE THE LEGEND Jul26 Jun21 Jun03 May26 Apr10 (lopez jacinto)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
 
TDN-4   09/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Aug21 Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 1.80    
SCR  WILD MARIAH Aug19 Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 Jan23 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
LADY FORTUNE Aug18 Jul08 Jun02 May03 Mar24 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 May28 May07 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 55% 0.80    
MO SWIFT Feb26 Feb10 Jan15     (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 1.20    
 
TDN-5   09/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SADIE'S SILVER KID Jul14 Jun17 May29 May12 Jul15 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 1.60    
SWAYBACK MOBIL Aug13 Jul14 Jun21 May28 May07 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
GHOST OF LONDYN Aug18 Aug07 Jun25 Oct09 Sep19 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIN JOE Aug11 Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 Apr10 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
SOULLESS Jul14 Jun25 May20 Apr30 Apr10 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-6   09/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OPULENT WAYS Aug14 Jul17 Jun30 Jun17 Jul30 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
WICCA WISDOM Aug21 Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 May28 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 123 1.60    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Aug18 Jul17 Jun30 May29 May19 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE Aug21 Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80    
RIGHT TRAPPE May29 May19 Apr22 Apr12 Mar30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
TDN-7   09/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY KINDA PARTY Aug11 Jun23 Jun03 Apr10 Mar20 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
JEMEL Aug21 Jul07 Jun21 Jun09 Sep09 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.50    
COMPLEXITY GIRL Aug21 Jul02 Jun23 Jun07 Mar20 (rivera r)RIVERA R 115 3.00    
HOLLABACK Aug08 Apr30 Oct26 Oct02 Aug10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
SHE'S WILLIE FAST Aug11 Jun23 Jun07 Dec11 Oct26 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  ROLLIN FREEDOM Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun07 Oct08 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   09/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM PRINCESS Aug13 Jul16 Jul07 May05 Mar31 (morales m)PEREZ A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
KATE WINS Aug13 Jun26 Jun04 Apr28 Mar18 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 115 2.00    
CHAPTER AND VERSE Aug13 Jun21 Apr04 Mar22 Mar01 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 6.00 13% 6.60    
SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Aug05 Jun10 May20 Nov13 Oct02 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
TO MUCH STYLE Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May27 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 115 2.50    
DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 May22 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 3.00 48% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.