Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (3/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/6)-(4/1/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/6)-(4/1/6/5/2)-(7/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-2   WIN (4/1/6/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/5/2)-(4/1/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/5/2)-(4/1/6/5/2)-(4/1/6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/6/5/2)-(7/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/5/2)-(7/1/4)-(5/3/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-3   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(5/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(5/3/1/2)-(9/2/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/2)-(9/2/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/2)-(9/2/8/4)-(8/2/3/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-5   WIN (9/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/4)-(9/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/4)-(9/2/8/4)-(9/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/8/4)-(8/2/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8/4)-(8/2/3/4/6)-(3/6/11/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-6   WIN (8/2/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/4/6)-(8/2/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/4/6)-(8/2/3/4/6)-(8/2/3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/3/4/6)-(3/6/11/10/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/4/6)-(3/6/11/10/5)-(2/1/6/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-7   WIN (3/6/11/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/11/10/5)-(3/6/11/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/11/10/5)-(3/6/11/10/5)-(3/6/11/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/11/10/5)-(2/1/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/11/10/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(11/10/12/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/5)-(11/10/12/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-9   WIN (11/10/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/10/12/2)-(11/10/7/12/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/10/12/2)-(11/10/7/12/2)-(11/10/7/12/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   08/28/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALCON BLUE Jul26 Jun20 May26 Apr25 Apr04 (joy j)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of FLIRTATION WALK by OUTFLANKER)
RAR Aug07 Jul25       (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 119 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLECLICKDAMOUSE by POINT OF ENTRY)
THEN WHAT TIME Aug07 Jul17 May10 Apr26 Nov15 (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.80 34% 1.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BELVEDERA by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  CAYUGA Aug24 Jul31 Feb27 Jan18 Jan10 (smith l)BRICENO GREGOR 114 30.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of MEADOW GEM by QUALITY ROAD)
MONTIE WHITE SHOES         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by MO TOWN out of DIXIELAND DUDES by FIRST DUDE)
CHIMNEY SWEEP Jul25 Jun20 May23 Dec01   (aguirre antho)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SAUCY COUNTESS by TABASCO CAT)
SCR  SERENDIPITYMONDAY Jul25 Jun20 Feb23 Jan25 Dec21 (mcclure diana )BOYCE FOREST 119 6.00    
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of BOHEME DE LAVI by GRAEME HALL)
KARMA'S INTHEHOUSE Jul24 Jun08 May23 Apr19 Feb23 (mcclure dia)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 5.00 16% 5.20    
  (by IMAGINING out of GAL NEXT DOOR by LIMEHOUSE)
SCR  SUMMERINTHECOUNTRY Apr19 Apr11 Mar13 Feb02 Sep15 (mcmahon i)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of SUMMER KISS by SUMMER FRONT)
10  APOLAUSTIC Jul25         (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 10.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of LADY VICKI by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA)
 
CNL-2   08/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL SWEEZEY Aug01 Jun15 Oct27 Sep05 Aug15 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
SPICE GAL Aug15 Jul18 May02 Sep05 Aug22 (flores i)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
WORKING ON IT May03 Jan18 Oct24 Sep06 Aug16 (collins tim)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00    
HAPPY THIS DAY Aug06 Jul04 Jun14 May09   (milosevic milan)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
LAST GLANCE Aug15 Nov01 Oct05 Sep04 Aug24 (williams gary)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
CALL ME BABE Aug02         (lynch cathal)CENTENO E 118 8.00 18% 4.70    
V INSPIRED Jul31 Jul12 Aug01 Dec22   (godsey karen)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 20.00    
PROMAJA Aug15 Jun10 Apr25 Apr06 Dec28 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 124 5.00    
LOVE SAGA Aug07 Jun26 Sep13 Aug12 Jul20 (mcdermott s)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 12.00    
10  HERMOSO MOMENTO Aug20 Jul18 Jun15     (williams gary)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 20.00    
 
CNL-3   08/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONQUERTHOSEWECAN Jul12 Jun21 Nov03 Oct04 Aug22 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 4.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  WILLOW BEND Aug13 Jul16 Jun19 Jun07 May02 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
SCR  PASSAGE EAST (IRE) Aug08 Jun11 May11 Apr18 Mar14 (mcmahon hu)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00    
GLORIETTE Aug13 Jul17 May01 Apr12 Mar23 (stuart sh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 11% 8.30    
COSTA AMALFITANA Jul26 Jul17 May31 May03 Mar07 (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 118 15.00    
ADMIRAL HOPPER Jul26 May16 Apr12 Feb22 Oct18 (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
CUZ UR PRETTY Jul31 Jul10 Apr19 Mar13 Feb14 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
CNL-4   08/28/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR ONE Jul23 Jun29 Jun13 May26 May27 (dickey ke)CARRASCO R 122 12.00 9% 9.60    
DIAKONISSA Jul24 Jun24 Apr26 Nov02 Oct12 (farrior anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT MARY Jul25 Jun26 May08 Mar03 Feb08 (catalano wa)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
MONEY'S WORTH Jul19 Jun22 Apr19 Jul14 Apr28 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00    
ITHINKILOVEYOU Jun13 May11 Apr25 Apr11 Mar08 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
YOUMAKEMECHARLIE Jul10 Jun15 May25 Apr26 Mar28 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
SCR  SHARE THE BLESSING Jul17 Apr19 Oct04 Aug13 May22 (stidham mic)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50    
LOU ANNA Jul19 Jun05 May23 Apr26 Sep04 (mccutchen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
PRINCESS GLADYS Aug17 Jul18 Jun29 May25 May02 (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 122 10.00    
 
CNL-5   08/28/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINTILLISM (GB)         (motion g)SANCHEZ J 119 4.00    
  (by BLUE POINT out of TIME OF CHANGE by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
REST ASHORE         (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SPUNDERFUL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  WAR BEACH Jul19         (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of BEACH BEAUTY by DYNASTY)
INDE ROSE         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of RAINBOWS AND ROSES by THUNDER PUDDLES)
SENSACALI Jul26         (shanley mar)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MY CALIFORNIA by CALIMONCO)
SCR  CHRISTMAS JONES Jul31 Jul09       (brion keri)CENTENO E 119 4.50    
  (by FORESTRY out of STAR OF WICKLOW by FAST PLAY)
MIS BRUNELLAS         (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FAROFA by TIZNOW)
ALDENE Jul26         (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MYBABYBABYSBABY by AWESOME AGAIN)
BYWAY         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by VALLEY CROSSING out of SMARTEST by KARAKONTIE)
 
CNL-6   08/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONOR AZTECA Aug13         (desormeaux k)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
MY LADY JBELLA Aug08         (cibelli jane)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
NAPOLI (GB)         (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 9% 10.40    
TOP DOWN DAY Aug07         (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DON'T JUDGE ME Jul19         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
YEAH GLO Aug07         (godsey ka)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTIFUL EMMA Aug08         (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
SHE'S HONED IN Aug08         (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
NANCY MAK Aug07         (cooney susan )CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 30.00    
10  KELSEY HILL GIRL Jul31         (meyers madi)HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00    
 
CNL-7   08/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEAM KNOT Aug02 Jun08 May10 May02 Nov09 (cooney s)RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00    
MILA JUNES Jul11 Jun07 Apr17 Mar12 Feb05 (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 123 6.00    
PRINCESS JAVONCIA Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 Nov09 Oct09 (merryman eliz)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 52% 0.90    
SALTAMONTES DIVA Jun14 May17 Apr18 Mar23 Mar02 (werneth rob)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
DON'T TELL DEREN Jul11 Jun21 Jun07 May15 Jan26 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOGO CHANEL Jul11 Jun07 May11 Feb23 Jan23 (dilodovico d)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50 12% 7.70    
SCR  DON'T TELL KELLY Jul26 Jun27 May24 Apr13 Mar21 (cox kenneth )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00    
STARRY HOPE Aug08 Jul23 Jun08 May03 Apr17 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 50.00    
ATMIDNIGHT Jul09 Jun01 May18 Mar22 Feb16 (campbell m)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00    
10  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Jul26 Jun19 Apr16 Mar21 Oct11 (downing william)CENTENO E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  TIMELESS ROSE Jul08 May08 Apr16 Mar21 Feb09 (granitz a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 10.00 11% 8.30    
 
CNL-8   08/28/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOPPY O Aug06 Jul11 May17 Mar30 Mar02 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
MISTER ABARRIO Jul10 May22 Apr27 Apr10 Feb27 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
EYE WITNESS Jul31 Jun28 May16 Apr30 Apr12 (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 122 30.00    
STREET EARNINGS Aug09 Mar30 Feb15 Jan23 Nov09 (casse mark)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
ATLAST (FR) Aug02 Jun14       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CORINGA Aug06 Jun20 May25 Apr26 Mar29 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 11% 8.30    
TAPIT KISSIT WINIT Aug06 Jul11 May24 Nov03 Oct10 (casse mark)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
SCR  DEAN MARTINI Jul26 Jun26 Jun11 Apr19 Feb15 (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
CURLY LARRY AND MO Aug09 Jun27 May16 Apr09 May17 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 10.00    
SCR  FREEDOM PRINCIPLE Jan31 Dec14 Nov02 Oct06 Sep07 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 50.00    
 
CNL-9   08/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLEAR ECHO Aug07 Jul19 Apr27 Apr18 Apr06 (stuart sh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
YERCAN MARO (ARG) Aug06 Jul10 Nov30 Nov08   (salazar marco)RUIZ JORGE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
ZAINO Aug07 Jul19 Jun07 May02 Feb05 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00    
JUST FOR GIGGLES Aug06 Jul18 Jun21 Jun06 Mar20 (dilodovico)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
LOYAL CLEMENT Apr26 Apr12 Mar09 Feb22   (amaya gustavo)LEON A 118 30.00    
BOURBON OUTLAW Aug16 Jun26 Jun08 Apr20 Mar26 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50    
CHRIS'S REVENGE Aug06 Jul16 May30 Apr29 Jan31 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00    
WHERE'S CHARLIE Aug07 Aug30 Aug13 Jul18 Jul11 (morris neil)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
ORA CERTA Aug07 Jul10 Aug20 Jun18 Jun08 (caramori ed)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 30.00    
10  AMERICAN WIND Aug06 Jul12 Jun07 May02 Apr11 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  CHILL THE J Jun29 Jun01 May08 Mar15 Feb16 (casse mark)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 72% 0.40    
12  LORD DONEGAL Aug06 Jul12 Sep18 Aug30 Jun26 (morris r)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  PLEASANT FANTASY Jul20 Dec13 Oct11 Sep07 Aug04 (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.