Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Friday - August 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/1)-(7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/3/9/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-2   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(7/3/9/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(7/3/9/4/6)-(6/5/11/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-3   WIN (7/3/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/4/6)-(7/3/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/4/6)-(7/3/9/4/6)-(7/3/9/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/9/4/6)-(6/5/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/9/4/6)-(6/5/11/3)-(6/5/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-4   WIN (6/5/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/11/3)-(6/5/2/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/11/3)-(6/5/2/11/3)-(6/5/2/11/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/11/3)-(6/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/11/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(3/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3)-(3/7/4)-(7/2/9/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/5/7/4)-(3/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(7/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(7/2/9/5)-(7/8/6/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (7/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/5)-(7/2/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/5)-(7/2/9/8/5)-(7/2/9/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/9/5)-(7/8/6/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-8   WIN (7/8/6/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/5/9)-(7/8/6/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/5/9)-(7/8/6/5/9)-(7/8/6/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   08/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSY BOSS Aug07 Jun13 May16 Apr14 Feb23 (allen fer)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00 6% 17.00    
GOOD BRIGHT FLAMES Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 Apr27 Apr18 (gallegos a)CURTIS BEN 123 5.00    
BLESSED CANDY Aug08 Jul15 Jun14 Jun01 Apr19 (machado anto)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
HUMOR SENSE Jul17 Jun05 Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
CHASE BY THE MOON Jul23 Jun08 Apr26 Mar30 Feb22 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 125 1.80 7% 12.90    
TITIAN TYRANT Aug09 Jun13 May15 Apr25 Apr04 (figgins ollie )ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00    
POLA OF TROUBLE Jul17 Jun05 May04 Mar28 Mar21 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 30.00    
SCR  LORD'S LADY Jul05 Jun12 May30 May03 Apr12 (allen fe)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 111 6.00    
 
CNL-2   08/22/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFF LUCK Jul23 Jun12 May23 Feb14 Jan24 (mcmahon hugh )RODRIGUEZ YAN 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEBEDOURO Jul09 Jun06 May01 Apr09 Feb15 (tomlinson michae)CURTIS BEN 122 2.50    
REMI'S MOON Jul23 Jul06 Jun04 Sep28   (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 124 4.50    
DEVIL'S CAY Jul21 Jul09 Jun10 May26 Apr12 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
CHADO Jul30 Jul09 Jun13 Aug17 Aug01 (mccutchen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
SCR  JOE THE JET Jun08 May25 Mar27 Feb16 Feb02 (mcmahon hu)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 115 6.00    
KING COVEE Jul31 Jul18 Jun12 May02 Dec27 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 52% 0.90    
 
CNL-3   08/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG GONE SALLY Aug06 Jul10 Jun13 May17 Apr24 (braddy dav)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
SCR  BORN CHARMER Aug02 Jul11 Jun15 Jun06 May02 (wilson gregory)TORREALBA JG 118 20.00    
GENUINE PERIL Aug06 Jul16 Sep04 Aug03 Jul18 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
MOONSHINING Jul25 Jul16 May03 Mar13 Feb28 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
AIN'T NONCENTS Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 May03 Apr19 (gardea abraham)ROSADO JOHAN 122 30.00    
SOMETHINGWONDERFUL Jul26 Jul16 Jun07 May17 Apr25 (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTRYCLUB COUPLE Jul16 Jun08 Mar03 Feb03   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
MY SUGAR BOO Jul23 Jun13 May24 May02 Apr25 (aguirre anthony)CENTENO E 122 10.00    
TINKATWO Jul13 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 May26 (yates mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
10  ANOTHERHOPE Aug02 Jun29 Jun01 May03 Apr13 (robb j)RODRIGUEZ YAN 118 6.00    
 
CNL-4   08/22/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSIDEDOWN MAN Jul16 Jun27 Jun06 May26 Nov10 (magee kieron)CENTENO E 122 4.00    
GOWOKEGOBROKE Jul10 Jun02 Apr23 Apr04 Mar14 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
NO ANGEL Jul25 May19 May02 Mar19 Mar02 (lusk r)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
BANDITS HEART Aug06 Jul25 Sep29 Aug24 Aug02 (robb j)RODRIGUEZ YAN 122 30.00    
READY FOR A FIGHT Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May18 Feb23 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
BY THE SEY SHORE Jul16 Jun28 Nov03 Aug31 Aug11 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
SUE LOVES BARBADOS Jun28 May10 Feb07 Oct26 Oct13 (perri gin)CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
SCR  FAIRHOPECURLY Aug08 Jul19 May24 May03 Apr12 (gardea abraham)ROSADO JOHAN 117 12.00    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Jul25 Jul01 Feb07 Jan24 Jan08 (dimmett james)JUDE JOHN 122 30.00    
10  BUCK WILD Aug02 Jul24 Jul01 Dec19 Nov25 (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 122 50.00    
11  BIGDADDYSBOY Jul25 May31 May10 Apr18 Mar09 (perri gi)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-5   08/22/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OJIN Jul18 Apr23 Mar21 Mar02 Dec27 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00 8% 11.70    
WILEY WILLARD Jul26 Jul12 Jun16 Jul25   (desormeaux j )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.80    
SALTY LIME         (mcclure diana )ROSADO JOHAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
GOURMET DINNER Apr06 Mar05 Jan11     (braddy david)CENTENO E 118 12.00    
FLY COMMANDER Aug01 Jul18 Jun01 May15 Apr27 (ochoa gerard)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 8.00 31% 2.20    
SHEAR MAGIC Jul18 Dec11 Nov24 Nov01 Aug03 (kelly blake)KARAMANOS A 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
NORTHERN CARDINAL Nov16 Oct11 Sep15 Sep04 Jul27 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 124 6.00    
BATTLE WARRIOR Aug01 Jan24       (campbell michael)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00    
SCR  ROYAL FLUSH HEARTS Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 Apr27   (peacock m)TORREALBA JG 118 30.00    
 
CNL-6   08/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANABUSH (ARG)         (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 122 5.00    
ASPEN DAWN Jul16 Jun22 May16 Apr18 Feb20 (casse mark)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50    
DISTANT WINTER (SAF) Jun19         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00 61% 0.60    
THE AMAZING MIZZEN Aug02 Jun06 May17 Apr19 Nov02 (cooney s)CENTENO E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
PAINT ME PERFECT Jul06 Jun05 May11 Mar18 Feb16 (lovell michel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00    
ALLAMERICANBEAUTY Jul06 May26 Apr18 Mar15 Feb08 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50    
SPOTTY SHOWERS Jul14 Jun14 May27 Nov12 Oct26 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-7   08/22/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECURE'S HOPE Jul30 Jul12 Jun14 May31 Oct24 (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 120 8.00    
LADY ENSIGN Jul31 Jul16 Apr19 Jan31 Oct20 (mcmahon hu)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 115 6.00 7% 12.40    
HALE BOP Jul23 May21 Oct12 Sep05 Aug15 (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 118 10.00    
NEW AGE BAD GIRL Aug03 Jun29 Jun08 May12 Jan01 (meyers s)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
VISCIOUS GOSSIP Jul31 Jun15 May10 Mar14   (magana j)TORREALBA JG 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
FLAME DANCER Aug01 Jul12 Nov10 Oct04   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
QUADRA Jul19 Jun13 Nov10 Oct04   (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 62% 0.60    
DIVINE WORKS Jul17 Jun22 Jun07 May11 Mar15 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50    
WISE AND ELEGANT May17 Dec26 Nov08 Oct20 Sep14 (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 6% 16.20    
 
CNL-8   08/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($43.125K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUNKLE Aug07 Aug01 Jun12 May15 Apr17 (robbins w)RIQUELME J 123 50.00    
SWEET TONE Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 May25 Jan17 (payne c )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 3.50    
RECTOR Aug01 Jun14 May02 Apr25 Nov12 (meyers madison)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00    
ROARK Aug01 Jul17 Feb22 Feb06 Jan10 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00    
LIGHTNING BOSS Aug01 Jul02 May05 Apr07 Mar21 (de horac)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
REGGAE MAN Aug01 Jul18 Jun21 Jun06 Jan19 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 9% 10.20    
THICK AS THIEVES Jul31 Jul17 May18 Mar18 Dec15 (robb j)CENTENO E 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
MOTION GRANTED Aug03 Jul11 Jun20 May31 May10 (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
BALANCE OF POWER Dec21 Nov15       (white ale)CARRASCO R 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOTTA HAVE A GUY Aug01 Oct25 Sep28 Sep04 Aug13 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
SCR  SINGULARITY Aug01 Jun26 May10 Mar01 Feb15 (payne bea)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.