Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(3/1/2)-(2/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/5/6)-(4/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/1/5)-(3/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/4/6)-(3/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/1/6)-(4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(4/2)-(4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPING GIANT Aug03 Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 May08 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 May22 Apr22 (sondej amy)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00    
3  REINVEST Jul16 Jun02 May08 Apr21 Apr08 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 6.00 7% 14.30    
4  KADESH Jul10 Jun02 May08 Apr11 Mar26 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
5  REAL NAUGHTY Aug05 Jul10 May10 Apr21 Mar27 (cline robert )BRACHO A 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  PANTHERA'S FATE Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 May20 Apr21 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
7  ICE BLAST Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 Jun04 Mar12 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
 
TDN-2   08/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF AUDREY Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 May21 Apr29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 May03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY CAJUN LADY Aug03 Jun23 Jun04 May13 Apr23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  WICCA WISDOM Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May03 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 5.00    
5  KANTBACKOFF Jul01 Jun03 May20 Apr22 Apr12 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
6  LUBU Aug05 Jun23 Jun03 Feb06 Jan24 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 1.80    
 
TDN-3   08/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOTO HOP Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May06 (castillo j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
2  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Aug05 Jun07 May15 Apr22 Nov29 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  GREEWHIZ Aug11 Jun24 Jun10 Apr22 Nov14 (juarez-mendoza r)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
4  RULE IT Jul02 Jun18 May22 Mar21 Feb05 (lopez jr)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50    
5  LEAVENWORTH Aug07 Jul10 Jun18 Jan06 Dec19 (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  DOMI Aug11 Jun18 Jun02 May21 Mar27 (szczepans)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
 
TDN-4   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANEL SPIRIT Aug09 Oct26 Sep17 Sep05 Aug10 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 20% 4.00    
2  BELLE BOTTOMS Aug04 Jul14 Apr28 Mar20 Mar05 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 3.00    
3  COMPLEXITY GIRL Jul02 Jun23 Jun07 Mar20 Mar05 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
4  MIESHA Aug04 Jul14 Jun03 Apr28 Mar30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 1.60 22% 3.50    
5  SONNET Oct09 Sep17 Aug27 Oct28 Sep26 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-5   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALKI BARTOKOMOUS Aug07 Jul14 Jun24 May17   (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TOUCH OF EMMA by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
2  VANADIUM Aug07 Jun24       (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AREQUIPA by HOLY BULL)
3  WILLIE T Aug07 Jul14       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRESELI'S PULPIT by PULPIT)
4  FINALLY FRIDAY Aug07 May17 Apr30 Apr02   (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BROOKLYN BITES by GRAYDAR)
5  AFFAIR TO REMEMBER Aug07 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May17 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 2.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PERIPHERIQUE by CROSS TRAFFIC)
6  PLUM TUFF Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17   (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
 
TDN-6   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATKINS Aug03 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May03 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 15% 5.50    
2  WITHOUT OBJECTION Jul02 May17 Apr06 Mar23 Feb28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50    
3  MIGHTY LES Aug04 Jun26 Jan16 Nov11 Oct30 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
4  IAN GLASS Aug04 Jul02 May29 May08 Apr22 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
SCR  LOGICO Jul17 Jul02 May08 Apr22 Apr01 (genoves)PILARES P 121 6.00    
6  AYE AYE SIR Aug04 Jul10 Jul02 Jun18 Apr30 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEMEL Jul07 Jun21 Jun09 Sep09   (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 117 3.00    
2  SMARTASSET Jul14 Apr23 Apr11 Mar24 Jan25 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 8.00 6% 16.80    
3  S'MOR CRAFTY Jul15 Jun21 Oct26 Oct09   (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 115 12.00    
4  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 Mar24 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 1.80 55% 0.80    
SCR  J. P INDY Aug08 Jul05 Jun25 Jun07 Apr23 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
SCR  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jul14 Jun02 May12 Sep16 Jul22 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 115 2.50    
 
TDN-8   08/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEMSHINE Aug07 Jun24 Jun09 May06 Nov20 (lopez jacinto)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
2  CREDIT CHECK Aug04 Jun24 Jun07 May19 Apr30 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 115 5.00 25% 3.10    
3  RED SEVEN Aug04 Jun23 May29 Apr23 Jan10 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 117 4.00    
4  INSTIGATION Aug04 Jun25 Jun07 May19 Aug07 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 115 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  FLASHY N Mar27 Mar20 Mar05 Dec26 Dec11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 115 2.00    
6  WINDY VALLEY Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 May19 May06 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.