Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Friday - August 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(7/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(7/4/5/3)-(2/6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/3)-(2/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(9/3/1/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-3   WIN (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/3)-(9/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/3)-(9/3/1/4/6)-(6/4/1/8/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-4   WIN (9/3/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/1/4/6)-(6/4/1/8/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/3/1/4/6)-(6/4/1/8/5)-(10/12/1/13) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-5   WIN (6/4/1/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/8/5)-(6/4/1/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/8/5)-(6/4/1/8/5)-(6/4/1/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/1/8/5)-(10/12/1/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/8/5)-(10/12/1/13)-(1/8/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-6   WIN (10/12/1/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/12/1/13)-(10/12/7/1/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/12/1/13)-(10/12/7/1/13)-(10/12/7/1/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/12/1/13)-(1/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/12/1/13)-(1/8/3/2)-(4/10/7/11/13) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-7   WIN (1/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/2)-(4/10/7/11/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-8   WIN (4/10/7/11/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/7/11/13)-(4/10/7/11/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/7/11/13)-(4/10/7/11/13)-(4/10/7/11/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   08/08/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE COLD JONES Jul18         (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
CHANCE ON ME         (lightner mary)HESS SARA 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
DAUNTED Jul16         (caramori caio)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50    
SCR  IHAVEANAPPFORTHAT Jul10         (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 4.00    
CRUISETHEFOREST Jul18         (flores ir)CARRASCO R 119 3.00    
BETTINONIT May23         (lightner m)HUSBANDS J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-2   08/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE SEC Jun28 May31 May15 Apr27 Apr06 (voss katharine)TORREALBA JG 118 12.00    
PYROMANIA Jul19 Jul11 May26 May17 May08 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 8.00    
EDELWEISS Jul30 Jun28 Jun08 Dec22 Nov09 (allen fer)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SET ABOUT Jul19 Jun15 Jun23     (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 1.80 14% 6.30    
MITBY Jul05 Jun26 Nov20 Aug30 Aug04 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
DEVELOP PRODUCT Jul11 May25 Apr18 Mar22   (braddy david)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
TRACK RANGER Jun13 Feb07 Jan16 Dec06 Nov08 (tomlinson michae)CURTIS BEN 118 2.00 51% 1.00    
WAR FIRE May20 May02 Apr12 Mar14 Feb12 (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 118 30.00    
 
CNL-3   08/08/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICKAHOMINY Jul19 Jun22 Nov02 Aug31 Aug12 (godsey den)CURTIS BEN 122 12.00    
SIMPLY STATED Jul17 Jun13 May16 Apr19 Apr04 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
BAHAMIAN MOON Jul17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar15 Feb22 (lightner mary)HESS SARA 122 12.00 12% 7.60    
HURRICANE DEBBIE May25 Aug30 Aug04 Apr07 Feb17 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
ZO LEE Jul17 Jun14 May17 Apr10 Mar19 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.50    
CAVALIER CUPID Jul17 Jun07 May23 Oct20 Oct03 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
GASTOWN BABE Jul17 Oct20 Aug31 Aug03 Jun28 (nixon justin)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00    
 
CNL-4   08/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BASILEA Jul09 Jun01 Mar23 Feb13 Dec18 (joseph saff)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
DAZZY Jul19 Jun29 May31 Apr27 Apr04 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00    
PASSAGE EAST (IRE) Jun11 May11 Apr18 Mar14 Feb21 (mcmahon i)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
GOLDEN SWORD Jun21 Jun01 May15     (machado )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
BRUNCH WITH AMY Jun27 Jun11 Mar21 Jun15 Apr27 (eurton p)GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
SHE'S MY LADY LUCK Jul17 May23 Apr25 Mar23 Feb09 (braddy david)CENTENO E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ESTOCADA Mar02 Jan24 Dec21     (machado antoni)TORREALBA JG 118 15.00    
PARADISE WINS Jul19 Jun23 May17 Dec06 Nov03 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00    
GRAMMY GIRL Jul04 Apr19 Mar15 Feb15 Jan23 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 123 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
CNL-5   08/08/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUREMEANTTOOBE Jun20 May24 Apr25 Mar15 Feb23 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 7% 13.10    
COLLECTED DREAMS Sep04 Jul20 Jun15 May30 May04 (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 117 50.00    
BENNY HAVENS Jun14 May10 Apr25 Nov02 Oct13 (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
AL'S ROMEO Jul19 May01 Apr19 Mar01 Jan17 (stuart sh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00 25% 2.90    
CORSO'S PICK Jul19 Jun26 May09 Aug10 Jul26 (oliver victoria)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAJARO Jun27 May18       (gallegos a)CENTENO E 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
MY VOODOO DOLL Jul19 Mar16 Jan19 Dec13 Sep06 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) Jun16 Apr19 Mar28 Mar02 Jan30 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 10.00 7% 14.30    
VIRGINIA FITZ Jun14 Oct20 Oct04 Aug31 Jul25 (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 118 12.00    
10  ISLAND D'LITE Jul16 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 May16 (mcmahon tho)CHAVEZ ANDRES 122 30.00    
11  ELVIS HIMSELF Jun27 May31 Apr06 Mar23 Feb23 (salazar marco)RODRIGUEZ YAN 117 6.00    
 
CNL-6   08/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRESHING         (caramori ca)HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
DARE GREATLY May01         (lightner m)HUSBANDS J 119 12.00    
SUGAR PRINCESS Jul11 Jun01       (sanchez )GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
NEMAIN Jul24         (munoz carlos)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00    
SCR  AUTHENTIC ANGEL Aug03 Jul04 Jun21     (desormeaux k)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00    
EVER YOURS Jul18 Jun28       (alonso cassidy)RUIZ JORGE 119 12.00    
SHE'S HONED IN         (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
MY LADY JBELLA         (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 119 10.00    
IXCHEL Jun13         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00    
10  MATADORA Jul05 Jun12       (motion h )CARRASCO R 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
11  BETO'S GATA Jul19         (vazquez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 119 50.00    
12  LIMITED VINTAGE         (russell br)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
13  BEAUTIFUL EMMA         (ochoa gerard)RUIZ JORGE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-7   08/08/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDYCRUMBS Jul17 Jan23 Dec07 Nov09 Sep07 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 66% 0.50    
MI DINERO Jul11 May23 Apr16 May17 Apr04 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS Jun02 May05 Jan05 Nov22 Oct11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BASIC TRUTH Jul26 Jul16 Jun12 May17 Feb07 (keithan rac)HAMILTON WESTON 122 50.00    
SCR  GALPIN SUNDAY Jun26 May21 Apr16 Mar01 Jun21 (west aaro)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  GRANUAILE Jul23 Jun27 Jun15 May23 Apr25 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 8.00    
HOLY ALIMONY Jun12 Jul18 Jun20     (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00    
EL TINMARIN Jul11 Jun19 May16 Apr26 Mar26 (lusk bri)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 5% 18.20    
TAKETHEFIFTH Jul11 Jun08 May24 Mar01 Jul21 (rubley k)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 6.00    
10  DERZ SMART Jul11 Jun14 Apr26 Mar23 Feb01 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
 
CNL-8   08/08/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROSPECTIVE FORUM Jul19 May30 Apr27 Nov20 Sep24 (ramos ben)HAMILTON WESTON 122 30.00    
NEXT EPISODE Jul23 Jul11 Jun07 Mar28 Feb22 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
SCR  COVENANT LADY Jun15 May13 Jan16 Dec28 Oct17 (granitz a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
Z FIRST Jul19 May18 Apr18 Mar20 Aug26 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
MOOR STRENGTH Jul19 May21 Apr27 Mar05 Feb12 (lusk brian )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
MATTITUDE Jul19 Jul02 Jun07 May23 Apr19 (magana j)TORREALBA JG 122 4.00    
GOLDEN CAN Jul31 Jul02 Apr27 Mar06 Dec28 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHARED AUTHORITY Jul24 Jun20 May15 Apr27 Jan11 (maldonado j)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 20.00    
FAIRHOPECURLY Jul19 May24 May03 Apr12 Mar22 (gardea abraham)ROSADO JOHAN 122 6.00    
10  PALEO'S PRINCESS Jul05 Jun15 Nov28 Nov01 Aug24 (gallegos a)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
11  NOW SHOWING Jun14 May24 Mar21 Mar09 Feb09 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  STARRY HOPE Jul23 Jun08 May03 Apr17 Apr02 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 30.00    
13  INSTPARTY Jul05 Jun13 Apr27 Nov15 Nov01 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.