Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(3/5/1)-(5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/4)-(4/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/3/1)-(1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(1/3)-(10/8/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(10/8/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(10/8/9)-(8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-6   WIN (10/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/9)-(10/8/9/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (10/8/9)-(10/8/9/1)-(10/8/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/8/9)-(8/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/9)-(8/9)-(4/8/2/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-7   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/9)-(8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/9)-(8/7/9)-(8/7/9) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/9)-(4/8/2/10) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
PID-8   WIN (4/8/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/10)-(4/8/2/10/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/10)-(4/8/2/10/7)-(4/8/2/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WROTE IN STONE Jul07 Jun04 May19 Oct17 Oct10 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 8.00    
2  TRIPLE START Jul07 Jun23 May26 May20 Oct22 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 125 5.00 ★    
3  GREY CHARMER Jul08 Jun23 Jun04 Oct21 Oct01 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 11% 7.70    
4  BOLDNESS Jul03 Jan17 Dec01 Nov10 Sep28 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 4.00    
5  SHIVAREE (GB) Jun21 Jun09 Apr25 Mar09 Feb01 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 125 1.60 54% 0.90    
6  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Jun30 Jun23 Jun11 May26 Jul02 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 125 10.00    
7  ERLAN Jun10 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 (kleine l)GARCIA F 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   07/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUINAMOUS Jul03 Jun11 May26 Apr29 Oct14 (potts g)ALLEN D 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  LINNY KATE Jul09 May20 Apr26 Apr02 Mar21 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 3.50    
3  STARSHIP MACYS Jun25 Jun11 Oct16 Oct01 Sep17 (pappada micha)ROJAS MARTINA 125 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  RED ELEANOR Jun17 May20 Apr25 Apr12 Jan24 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 2.50    
5  QUEEN ANNA T Jun24 Jun02 May21 Apr20 Mar30 (rivelli larry)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  VINGATIVA Jul03 Jun17 Apr25 Apr16 Apr02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 5.00    
 
PID-3   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE R RATED Jun23 Jun11 May21 Oct21 Aug20 (potts ro)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
2  SHORTY MAC Jul07 Jun23 May28 Sep20 Aug30 (radosevich )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
SCR  SHOSHANAH Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 May16 Feb08 (horlacher kyl)ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.50    
4  FLEUR DELACOUR Jun25 Oct24 Oct09 Sep23 Aug13 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  RUSTY MY BROTHER Jul08 Jun23 Oct07 Sep17 Aug30 (rojas mu)GALLARDO A 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  PRINCESS RUNAWAY Jun27 Jun13 Oct21 Sep03 Aug14 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 123 1.80 ★    
 
PID-4   07/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED LITE DISTRICT         (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
SCR  BAYTOWN MUNNY         (mcentee pa)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
3  SMOOCH UP         (potts g)ALLEN D 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CUPID out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
4  BLAZING BRAT Jul04         (hamm timothy)STOKES J 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of BRITTNEY BRAT by PIKEPASS)
5  FROSTY MOJITO Apr16         (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 120 3.50    
  (by FROSTED out of MY AUNT MO by UNCLE MO)
6  RAVISHING RUBY         (bourke john)GARCIA F 120 5.00    
  (by DONTHELUMBERTRADER out of SMILES A LOT by DOONESBURY)
7  TIZ GOLDY         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TIZ MARIAND by TIZNOW)
 
PID-5   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Jul02 Jun17 Oct24 Oct17 Sep24 (rice adam)AYALA J 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
2  BOUJIE BETZ Jul07 Jun17 Jun04 Oct14 Oct07 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
3  EASY SEVEN Jun04 May20 Sep16 Aug27 Jul31 (pappada micha)ROJAS MARTINA 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHEZ UNTAPPABLE Jun24 May26 Oct10 Sep11 Jul10 (russell )MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 ★    
SCR  TOOTSIE TOES Mar24 Feb27 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 123 8.00    
6  BULLS N BERRY Jul09 Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 Apr13 (loudin-smith lori)SPIETH S 123 10.00    
7  ARROGANTE Jul07 May21 Mar27 Mar08 Feb27 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50    
 
PID-6   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Jul02 Jun11 May21 May08 Oct23 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00 ★    
2  LOUISIANIMAL Jul05 Jun22 Jun07 May10 Apr26 (potts g)AYALA J 123 10.00    
3  CITY TRIPPER Jul03 Jun16 Oct24 Oct08 Sep23 (barron r)GALLARDO A 123 12.00    
4  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Jul07 Oct24 Oct02 Sep04 Aug13 (russell randal)ALLEN D 123 15.00    
SCR  OLD TOWN ROAD Jun30 Jun02 Apr19 Apr02 Mar19 (arriagada jua)MORALES PABLO 123 2.00    
SCR  SNOWNAME Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 May19 Apr23 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 123 10.00    
SCR  CALYPSO CHARLIE Jul03 Jun04 May21 Apr23 Oct11 (dickey keith)CENTENO E 123 15.00    
8  THALBERG Jun30 Jun11 May26 Oct21 Oct03 (morrell r)MARTINEZ W 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
9  SPAN OF CONTROL Jul07 Jun18 May28 Oct23 Oct07 (radosevich shelly)FOX CHRIS 123 8.00 7% 14.40    
10  ENJOY THE MUSIC Jul09 Jun16 May28 Oct17 Oct08 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
PID-7   07/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hard Spun Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHADOW FACTOR Jul02 Jun11 May21 Apr26 Mar26 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 116 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
SCR  DYLAN'S RUBY Jun27 May03 Apr13 Nov11 Oct21 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of HALO HOLLIE by HALO'S IMAGE)
3  JOHN DUTTON Jun25 May21 Nov29 Oct21 Oct08 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 4.50    
  (by EASTWOOD out of RECONSIDER by GRAYDAR)
SCR  VALENTINE BUG Jul09 Jun16 Jan04 Dec14 Nov23 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00    
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
SCR  GOING UP Jul04 Jun04 Mar29 Mar12 Feb22 (potts g)ALLEN D 119 10.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
SCR  FIERCE AND STRONG Jul19 Jun27 May16 Nov02 Oct13 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 123 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLECLICKDAMOUSE by POINT OF ENTRY)
7  HEAVY POUR Jun16 Apr24 Mar14 Jan31 Jan03 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 3.00 ★    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of CHARM THE CROWD by THEATRICAL)
8  TWILIGHT DANCER Jun16 Oct24 Sep20 Aug21 Jul22 (arriagada juan)NO RIDER 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
9  HE'S A MESS Jul09 Jun16 Oct24 Oct14 Sep30 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 119 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by DRAMEDY out of NIGHTFURY by KITALPHA)
SCR  TREVESSO Jun27 Mar20 Oct12 Sep14 Aug04 (lynch cathal)CENTENO E 119 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SETUBAL by THE FACTOR)
11  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Jun23 May28 Jan17 Nov24 Oct03 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of EXTRA SEXY PSYCHIC by FREUD)
 
PID-8   07/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAP IS BACK Jul04 Jun11 Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 125 30.00    
2  STROKE OF LUCK Jul04 Jun17 May21 Mar14 Jan08 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 120 3.50 8% 11.10    
3  SUMMER FOREVER Jul04 Oct10 Oct02 Sep17   (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 12.00    
4  HIGH TRACK Jul04 Jun17 Jun02 May21 Feb09 (miller d)ALLEN D 125 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  SLAINTE MHATH Jul04 Jun16 Jun02 Oct28 Oct16 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 125 12.00    
6  SMILINGONTHEINSIDE Jun30 Jun15 Oct24 Oct03 Sep13 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 6.00    
7  CHEERFUL TROUT Jul08 Jun30 Jun17 May26 Aug21 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 ★    
8  POSITIVE CARRY (IRE) May16 May03 Apr05 Mar23 Feb22 (blankens)GALLARDO A 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  NEVER ENOUGH Apr05 Sep27       (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 10.00    
10  LUV YOUR HAIR May19 Mar14 Feb07     (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.