Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/6)-(3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(3/6)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(2/4)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/3/1)-(5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/6)-(4/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/3/1)-(8/6/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(8/6/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/4/7)-(8/6/3/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS LAUGHS ON YOU Jul02 Jun04 Oct22     (russell )MARTINEZ A 118 3.00    
2  SCHNITTKER Jun25 Jun03 May19 Jul03 May22 (guciardo john)MORALES PABLO 123 1.40 70% 0.40    
3  NONE THE WISER Jun24 Jun09 Oct25 Sep06 Aug17 (stokes lance)BAYS BROOKE 116 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXCLUSIVE ENTRY Jun30 Jun11 May26 Jul29 Jul01 (depasquale)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 8.00    
5  VENIK Jul09 May30 May10 Apr13 Mar15 (rice linda)SPIETH S 118 2.50    
 
PID-2   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM WIND Jun20 May29       (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 72% 0.40    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of WENT WITH THE WIND by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  JUSTICE BELL Jun05         (rawles alcina)MARTINEZ W 125 5.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of BELLA NORA by STREET MAGICIAN)
3  WETLANDS WILLY Jun25         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00 ★    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of SCORE BOYERA by SCORPION (IRE))
4  CHUBS ROCKET Jul08 Dec07 Nov23 Oct22   (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 120 4.50    
  (by HEY CHUB out of LOCKETS ROCKET by FLAT OUT)
5  DOUBLE UP LARRY Jul08 Jun25 Jun04     (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 113 2.50    
  (by GIFT BOX out of MY AUDUBON by AMERICAIN)
6  GRAYTE WHYTE Nov13 Oct24 Oct10     (mckinley r)GARCIA F 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JACOB'S RUN out of RUBY'S NECKLACE by TWIN HALO)
 
PID-3   07/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I'M THE CABANA BOY Jun18 Jun04 May21 Oct23 Sep18 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 123 5.00    
2  TIZ LUCKY Jun25 May21 Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 123 4.00    
3  ONE LAST BID Jun18 Apr27 Feb26 Jan29 Jan18 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 123 3.00 67% 0.50    
4  PARTNER TOURS Jun25 Jun04 May28 Oct16 Sep30 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 4.00    
5  ANCHISES Jun24 Jun10 May19 Oct06 Aug30 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 125 2.50 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT AMBITION Jun19 May26 May03 Nov21 Oct16 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-4   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GAVICHI Jul08 Jun24 May09 Apr22 Apr02 (brooks e)GARCIA F 123 12.00    
2  HALF BIRTHDAY Jun18 May29 May03 Apr02 Mar19 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 1.60 60% 0.70    
3  BELLE BREZING Jun03 May27 May09 Mar27 Mar08 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 2.50    
4  CHEROKEE CHATTER Jul04 Oct17 Oct09 Sep24 Aug27 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  SECOND EXCHANGE Jun19 May27 May15 May08 Apr24 (johnston rebecca)MARTINEZ W 123 8.00    
6  NEGRA GATA Jun24 Jun09 May21 Apr04 Mar05 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 125 4.00    
 
PID-5   07/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTIN' THE RUT Jul03 Oct24 Oct09 Sep18 Sep03 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FORCE OF JUSTICE Jun20 May21 May03 Mar27 Mar06 (rojas murray)BELISARIO JUAN 113 4.00    
3  JOE PHILLIPS Jun23 Jun17 Jun04 May19 Sep20 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
4  DANEFIELD Jul03 May04 Oct28 Oct10 Sep12 (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  BEAR CREEK Jun04 May19 Apr04 Mar15 Oct07 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 123 3.50    
6  BEACH HOLIDAY Jul03 Jun17 Jan01 Oct14 Oct08 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 123 4.50    
 
PID-6   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CROWNING PRINCE Jul08 Jun04 May26 Oct10 Sep26 (morrell justin)ALLEN D 125 6.00    
2  HURRICANES ABLOWIN Jun25 Jun04 May26 Oct05   (winters michelle)STOKES J 123 10.00    
3  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Jul03 Jun11 May26 Apr18 Mar26 (kulp l)SPIETH S 123 2.00 ★    
4  COLONEL POPPY Jun25 Jun04 Oct15 Oct08 Sep11 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 2.50    
5  TIZ SPEEDY Jun11 Jun02 May13 Apr28 Apr12 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  DRUNKLE Jun25 May27 Oct21 Oct07 Sep20 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   07/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT NURSE Jun26 Jun16 May20 Apr11 Mar17 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  JASMINES WORLD Jun24 Jun10 May26 Apr02 Oct23 (kleine l)GARCIA F 118 4.50    
3  VALIANT ENYA Jun25 Jun10 May26 Apr16 Oct15 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 2.50 8% 10.80    
4  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Jul03 Jun24 Jun04 May20 Oct24 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 3.00 57% 0.70    
5  HAZARD PAY Jul03 Jun04 Mar21 Jan29 Oct08 (hamm timothy)STOKES J 118 3.50 ★    
6  SHE HAD A SECRET Jun08 May11 Oct30 Oct23 Oct01 (roberson don)ALLEN D 123 10.00    
7  CALADIUM Jul03 Jun12 May26 Jun14 May05 (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 123 6.00    
 
PID-8   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Jul02 Jun18 Jun02 Apr28 Apr02 (ccamaque marc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 12.00    
2  PERMANENT PROBLEM Jun26 May31 Mar21 Mar01 Jan29 (johnston rebecc)BAYS BROOKE 111 15.00    
3  JOYS OF SUMMER Jun23 Jun02 May19 Nov07 Oct15 (rojas murray)BELISARIO JUAN 108 10.00 7% 12.70    
4  LILY'S TIME Jul03 Jun11 May21 May07 Mar31 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 ★    
5  PERFECT PINK Jul02 Jun16 May20 Apr26 Mar03 (girten t)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00    
6  MRS. MANICOTTI Jun30 Jun10 May26 Feb05 Jan10 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 120 3.50 19% 4.10    
7  SILENT DIVA Jul03 Jun18 Jun03 Feb21 Jan08 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  KEEP IN TOUCH Jun25 Jun04 Feb22 Feb01 Jan08 (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
9  DAISY JONES Jul03 Jun16 Jun02 Mar31 Mar06 (ruberto )MARTINEZ A 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.