Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (1/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/10/3)-(1/8/6/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/6/3)-(4/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/5)-(7/9/1/6)-(2/3/8/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-3   WIN (7/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/6)-(7/9/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/6)-(7/9/1/2/6)-(7/9/1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/9/1/6)-(2/3/8/7)-(9/5/6/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-4   WIN (2/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/7)-(2/3/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/7)-(2/3/8/7/4)-(2/3/8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-5   WIN (9/5/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/6/11)-(9/5/4/6/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/6/11)-(9/5/4/6/11)-(9/5/4/6/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-6   WIN (4/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/1/5)-(4/3/8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/5)-(6/12/5/10/13)-(4/3/11/2/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-7   WIN (6/12/5/10/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/12/5/10/13)-(6/12/5/10/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/12/5/10/13)-(6/12/5/10/13)-(6/12/5/10/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/12/5/10/13)-(4/3/11/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-8   WIN (4/3/11/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/11/2/8)-(4/3/11/2/8/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (4/3/11/2/8)-(4/3/11/2/8/12)-(4/3/11/2/8/12) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIA Jun14         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by SOUTHERN HALO out of TEOCRATICA (ARG) by FARNESIO (ARG))
2  MO'O LIO         (davis h)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IN THE LEE by TAPIT)
3  APPEAL         (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAVERDICT out of MOONDI DANCER by IMA TEAS DANCER)
4  TIZ A TEN I SEE         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 10.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of WATCH ME BURN by HOLD ME BACK)
SCR  GAMBLING DEN         (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00    
  (by BURROW out of TAP TWENTY ONE by TAPIT)
6  CHICKA CHICK Jun29 Jun07       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by KEEN ICE out of CHICKAMAUGA by CUVEE)
7  TODDY         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00    
  (by SOLAR LAUNCH out of WILD INTENTION by A.P. INDY)
8  HOT PINK Jul05 Jun14       (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by HOLD ME BACK out of GO GO PINK by FOREST CAMP)
9  GIRLS KNICKS NOW Jun29         (young e)REYES R 119 20.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of PRINECESS DOIR by BROKEN VOW)
10  EL SUNSHINE         (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 ★    
  (by EL DEAL out of MIRABEAU by BIND)
 
LS-2   07/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYBE DOLCIE May30 Oct12 Sep05 Aug24 Jun15 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 3.50 10% 9.20    
2  KENTUCKY ANGEL Jun28 Apr27 Jan31 Jul06 Jun15 (young bob)QUINONEZ S 124 8.00    
3  GEOMETRIQUE Jun20 Jun06 May24 May02 Feb28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  FINE FINISH Jun01 Apr27 Mar21 Feb07 Jan10 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  WILD EXPRESS Jun29 Mar07 Feb15 Jan03 Sep29 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PAINTBRUSH Jun20 May09 Apr06 Mar07 Feb15 (garza e)DIEGO V 124 5.00    
7  GET READY GAL Jun29 May24 Apr27 Mar23 Feb21 (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 12.00    
8  SAN MATEO KAT Jun20 Jun06 May24 May09 Apr25 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00    
 
LS-3   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUADALAJARA Jun07 Apr24 Mar28 Nov03 Oct12 (petalino joe)REYES R 124 15.00 10% 9.30    
2  DRAMA KING Jun21 May24 May11 May02 Apr19 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 3.50 ★    
3  BISHOP CREEK Jun20 Jun07 Apr27 Mar21 Feb21 (rossi lee )ERAMIA E 124 4.50    
4  NOBLE REIGN Apr24 Apr12 Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 (milligan camero)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
5  KOCHAN Jun28 Jun07 Mar16 Feb15   (eoff terry)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00    
6  COAL STONE Jun06 May24 Apr19 Mar15 Feb15 (sanchez noel)FUENTES MARIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  KING OF THE DISCO Jun20 May24 Apr27 Mar09 Feb08 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
8  TRUE RICARDO Jun07         (calvario samuel)PEREZ A 120 20.00    
9  FALCON QUEST Jun28 Jun07 May18 Jun05 Apr27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
LS-4   07/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOUBLEBARRELVINNY Jul05 Jun22 Jun08     (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 117 99.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of DOUBLE AXEL by ORB)
2  FLASHOUT Jun15 May25 May10     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 1.00 43% 1.30    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BIN QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  PREACHERMAN Jun13         (caldwell r)REYES R 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by DEPUTY MINISTER out of ALL A TWITTER by D'WILDCAT)
4  CHIEF BROWN         (bryant george)FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00 ★    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of BIG MARA by BIG BROWN)
5  SHE'S A COWGIRL Jun22 May24       (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 117 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BENNY'S BOMBSHELL by BENNY THE BULL)
6  SIR ARCHIBOLD         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 15.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of L T RECKLESS by HENNY HUGHES)
7  CINCO BLAKE Jun15 May25       (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLAKE THE GREAT by BIG TOP CAT)
8  BIG TIME CHARLIE         (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 6.00 8% 11.80    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SHOW HOSTESS by MINESHAFT)
9  CANDY THIEF         (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 20.00    
  (by SHOPLIFTED out of CANDY ON THE ROCKS by TWIRLING CANDY)
10  SPEAK IT May25         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 120 20.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of RATE RISE by HIGH YIELD)
 
LS-5   07/11/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORWAY BEACH Apr29 Apr01 Dec11 Nov09 Nov02 (offolter s)QUINONEZ S 122 20.00    
2  MOONSHINE MISCHIEF May24 Apr26 Dec10 Nov19 Oct20 (green greg)PEREZ A 120 15.00    
3  PINEHURST (IRE) Jul03 Jun01 May03 Apr04 Feb28 (roubion steve)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00    
4  HOFF May31 Nov01 Sep25 Sep11   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 5.00 ★    
5  STORM MAN Jun13 May24 Apr14 Mar29 Mar07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00 36% 1.80    
6  MIKEL W May09 Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 (padi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CATALINA CRUSH May30 May01 Aug25 Jul25 Jun29 (williams ma)WETHEY JR 122 4.50    
8  SPRINGTOWN Mar19 Jan18 Jun10 Mar24 Mar10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 20.00    
9  LET'S GO MARK Jun11 May26 Apr17 Mar05 Jan31 (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  IMPERIAL RED BIRD May30 May11 Apr27 Jun16 Apr18 (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50    
11  ELUSIVE POWER Apr28 Mar31 Mar19 Dec13 Nov09 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  PASS LINE Jun21 Jun04 May24 May11 May02 (green ike)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
 
LS-6   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE MINISTER Jun28 May26 May04 Apr24 Mar22 (ramirez-rodrig)QUINONEZ S 122 3.50 ★    
2  BLUE DEVIL May26 Apr06 Feb07 Dec21 Nov09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 4.00    
3  SARA'S SHAMAN Jun14 May26 Apr05 Feb08 Dec12 (young bob)DIEGO V 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
4  MINE THAT STAR May25 Apr06 Nov26 Oct27 Sep29 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  HOW DID HE DO THAT Jun14 Apr11 Sep24 Sep02 Aug13 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  NUMBER ONE DUDE Jun14 May26 Apr26 Dec13 Nov23 (young scot)ERAMIA E 122 15.00    
7  BIG BERNIE Mar16 Feb22 Jan03 Oct19 Sep28 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
8  BENDER Jun14 May25 Apr19 Apr06 Feb07 (valdez-cabral mar)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
9  WITHOUT A TRACE Jun14 Jun07 May11 Apr26 Mar16 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
 
LS-7   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALK ABOUT AUTISM Jun14 May03 Apr06 Mar16 Feb22 (calvario samuel)PEREZ A 124 30.00    
2  RUNHAPPY D'ORO Jun14 May25 Apr27 Nov16 Oct31 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00    
3  THREEFIFTYSEVEN Oct06 Sep19 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00    
4  HE'S A ROCK Jun14 May13 Apr21 Sep13 Jul18 (young scot)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
5  LOCO LUNA May25 Apr27 Feb21 Dec18 Dec09 (cappellucci)WETHEY JR 124 10.00 16% 5.10    
6  IT MAKES SENSE Jun14 Apr26 Apr04 Oct04 Sep06 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
7  RISK PROFILE May24 Apr18 Mar01 Jan24 Dec07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00    
8  DA RINGO Dec04 Nov12 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 (baldillez )PEREZ ANGEL 119 30.00    
9  ARTHUR May24 May03 Mar21 Feb07 Dec20 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 4.50    
10  LARRY'S LEGEND Jun14 May24 Apr18 Apr04 Mar14 (petalino joe)REYES R 124 30.00 11% 8.00    
11  SIR RUCKUS Jun14 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Jan30 (valdez-cabral)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
12  CHANGING TIMES Jun13 Mar30 Jan26 Nov09 Oct03 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
13  DERBY DATE Jun14 Apr27 Apr04 Mar14 Feb07 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
14  AFFECTIONTO AUTISM Jun13 May09 Apr18 Apr04 Mar07 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
 
LS-8   07/11/2025 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEACON JONES Jun07 May18 Apr26 Apr18 Mar23 (mallery vonn)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of LADY HEATHER by BRAHMS)
2  SOLEVO Jun06 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 8.00 7% 13.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PLEASANT MINE by MINESHAFT)
3  TOWN HERO Jun06 May10 Apr19 Mar29   (ashford r)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 12% 7.60    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SYMBOL OF FREEDOM by THATS OUR BUCK)
4  CROCKETT Jun06 Apr09       (fincher w)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 52% 0.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SALARY DRIVE by MIZZEN MAST)
5  AWOL Jun20 May24 Apr13 Mar16 Feb03 (petalino joe)REYES R 124 30.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of AFLEETING LISA by AFLEET ALEX)
6  COWBOYCENTS May03 Feb23 Dec29     (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WILD HOPE by QUAKER RIDGE)
7  MAJOR ORTIZ Jun06         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 120 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TEXAS BELLE by ANGLIANA)
8  GET DREAMY May10 Apr19 Mar22 Mar09 Feb07 (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DAYDREAM by BELIEVE IT)
9  FOLLOW THE STAR Jun06 May10 Apr17 Feb21 Jan24 (eoff terry)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ALL OTHERS FOLLOW by SEA THE STARS)
SCR  MEASURE OF FAITH Jun20 Sep23 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (cruz j)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of LEAVE A MESSAGE by FAVORITE TRICK)
11  ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN Jun06 May10 Sep30 Aug26   (newbold jon)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.00 8% 11.70    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LETCHWORTH by TIZNOW)
12  YOU TIME May10 Nov07 Oct18 Sep26 Sep06 (mendoza v)DIEGO V 124 5.00 ★    
  (by LIAISON out of PLUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
13  BLINKNUMISSIT Jun20 May18       (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 30.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of TICKLE BUNNY by SHACKLEFORD)
SCR  TIZABELLARINA May14         (young scott)WETHEY JR 115 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of TIZNO NOW by TIZNOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.