Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (9/1/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/5/7)-(9/1/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/5/7)-(9/1/4/5/7)-(9/1/4/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/4/5/7)-(7/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/1/4/5/7)-(7/6)-(4/5/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/6)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(4/5/7)-(8/9/4/7/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(8/9/4/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(8/9/4/7/5)-(3/6/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-4   WIN (8/9/4/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/7/5)-(8/9/4/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/7/5)-(8/9/4/7/5)-(8/9/4/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/4/7/5)-(3/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/7/5)-(3/6/7)-(1/5/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(1/5/7/6)-(3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/6)-(3/7/5)-(8/3/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(8/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(8/3/1/7)-(4/2/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-8   WIN (8/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7)-(8/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/1/7)-(4/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/06/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOGUN BE FAST May31 Jan08 Nov20 Nov06 Oct18 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  JERRY'S TURN Jun22 May31 Apr24 Apr04 Feb07 (hills timoth)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00    
3  FOOD BANK HELPER Jun15 Mar16 Feb05 Jan19 Aug31 (mcburne)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
4  BETWEEN THE COVERS Dec01 Oct26 Jul25 Jun17 Dec24 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 15% 5.80    
5  BRAMBLE BLAZE Apr13 Mar16 Feb05 Aug31 Aug11 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 12% 7.60    
6  LAST SECOND LOUIE Mar08 Feb14 Jan25 Dec20 Nov29 (alvarado di)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00    
7  CISCO KID Jun22 Jun02 May07 Apr15 Mar26 (padilla e)VARGAS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WORD FOR WORD Jan19 Dec04 Oct04 Sep14 Aug25 (sanchez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00    
9  NIMMO Jun15 May07 Apr23 Apr07 Feb25 (brown howard)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
MTH-2   07/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J J VALENTIN Jun14 May31 May11 May03 Mar28 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 121 6.00    
2  REAL BLUES Jun16 May01 Apr12 Mar23 Mar01 (ness jamie)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.00    
SCR  METALHEAD Jun20 May22 Apr10 Mar19 Feb05 (padilla e)VARGAS A 121 6.00    
4  DEPORTIVO Jun01 Apr26 Mar26 Mar02 Jan24 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 117 12.00    
SCR  HAWKSTONE Jun08 Mar11 Feb14 Jan25 Dec27 (lynch cathal)BATISTA A 115 4.50    
6  GO YOSHIDA Jun08 May25 Sep15     (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00 10% 8.70    
7  GOD WITH US Jun20 May11 Apr18 Mar28 Feb23 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
MTH-3   07/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A COZY THING Jun01 May17 Dec13 Aug14 Jul21 (einhorn k)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
SCR  GIANT'S AUDIBLE Jun28 May24 May18 Apr21 Mar31 (ramirez silvin)AGUILAR JEAN 117 30.00    
3  NAKED EYE Jun07 Jun01 May02 Mar29 Mar08 (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50    
4  DYNA SOAR Jun14 May18 May10 Mar21 Feb21 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  VANILLA SUNDAE May18 Apr05 Feb27 Nov21 Aug18 (pletcher todd )PENNINGTON F 117 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  RUTH May31 May01 Apr06 Mar06 Jan18 (pletcher todd )MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.50    
7  TOWER TWENTY TWO Jun15 Jun07 May18 Apr09 Mar17 (ramirez silvi)JARA FERNANDO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-4   07/06/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCE OF TROY Jun01 Oct12 Oct05 Jul07 Jun09 (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 121 10.00    
2  FABELMAN Jun21 Feb02 Jan19 Dec27 Oct18 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00    
3  LAKE CHAPALA Jun21 Jun07 Mar16 Feb28 Jan17 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
4  FAKE CELEBRITY Jun21 Jun01 May03 Apr12 Mar26 (o'connell kat)OLVER MADISON 119 10.00 8% 12.30    
5  PAL Jun21 Jun01 May25 May11 Oct12 (frangella jame)SUTHERLAND C 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Jun08 Oct18 Oct12 Oct05 Sep21 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
7  BOLD LICORICE Jun21 Jun06 May11 Nov09 Oct18 (deiter kelly )JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  EXTREME ACCESS Jun21 Apr24 Mar26 Feb26 Jan25 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 53% 0.90    
9  ITS PIZZA TIME Jun08 Apr27 Apr09 Mar05 Feb07 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 117 3.50 13% 6.90    
10  TAP THE CANDY Jul02 Jun01 Apr14 Feb08 Jan18 (aro michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 20.00    
 
MTH-5   07/06/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLAND SPIRIT Jun27 Jun14 May25 Sep08 Aug25 (huston rory)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
SCR  OPTICAL BIJOU Jun14 May18 Apr25 Nov10 Oct04 (perkins jr)PENNINGTON F 120 5.00    
3  DOIN THIS Jun27 Jun14 May31 May11 Oct04 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  OPTIC WAY Jun08 May06 Apr23 Mar10 Feb10 (soto- martinez )RUIZ ELISEO 120 2.50    
5  MAX'S GLORY Jun08 May25 Jul13 Jun28 Jun09 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
6  AMATTEROFTIME Jun27 Jun08 Feb10 Jan15 Dec04 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 12% 7.40    
7  CRAFTY DON Jun20 Nov12 Oct25 Sep30 Sep08 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 12.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  POST COMMAND May25 May18 Oct18 Oct05 Aug25 (spina charles)LEON SONNY 120 10.00    
 
MTH-6   07/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN UNITY Jun26 May31 Sep17 Aug29 Aug16 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
2  MIDNIGHT AWARD Jun01 May11 Apr21 Mar04 Feb15 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00    
3  LATE CALL Jun29 Jun14 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
SCR  BEAN MACHINE Jun21 Jun01 May11 Mar30 Mar13 (simon linda)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
5  SPACE LAUNCH Jun15 May18 Apr06 Mar12 Jan19 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
6  MT SURIBACHI Sep17 Sep05 Aug29 Aug03 Jul19 (smylie timot)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jun28 May31 May02 Dec31 Dec04 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00 10% 8.80    
8  MISSOURI RIVER Jun07 May13 Apr09 Mar17 Feb24 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 121 20.00    
9  SPANISH NOBLE Jun15 May18 May03 Apr18 Mar22 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 121 5.00    
 
MTH-7   07/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE May24 May17 May03 Apr12 Mar21 (bernardini ju)OLVER MADISON 121 30.00    
2  LLOYD Jun20 May31 May24 Jan08 Dec04 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
3  LIBERTY STAR Jun15 May28 Apr29 Apr08 Mar26 (soto- ma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  DIAMOND HEIST Jun20 May31 May24 Nov02 Oct13 (synnefias pa)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50    
5  FACE ABARRIO Jun20 May24 May10 Mar02 Feb09 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  FEAST May24 Apr09 Feb28 Dec18 Nov20 (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 122 8.00    
7  MAGICAL WARRIOR Jun20 May31 Apr02 Mar15 Mar02 (ness jamie)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 3.00 30% 2.30    
8  BALTASAR Jun20 Jun12 May28 May17 Apr19 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
 
MTH-8   07/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Irish War Cry Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TIME WILLARD Jun01 May11 Apr10 Mar12 Jan31 (breen kelly)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PINOT GRIGIO by UNBRIDLED JET)
2  LEO MONTE May18 Apr25 Mar29 Nov30 Oct04 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 6.00    
  (by HEY CHUB out of SPLENDORED THING by LANGFUHR)
3  HE'SPUREGOLD May24 Nov02 Sep29 Sep02 Aug16 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
4  I'M ON FIRE Jun21 Jun01 May11 Apr11 Sep02 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 119 6.00    
  (by JUMP START out of MARE ON FIRE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  GO TO THE KINGDOM Jun07 Oct18 Jul07 Jun09 Nov18 (lynch cathal)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of VADA by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  WILD JAIME Jun15 May31 May11 Oct05 Aug31 (synnefias pa)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 20.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
7  GOLD TRUST Jun27 May26 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
8  THERE ARE NO WORDS May24 Oct18 Oct03 Sep15 Sep02 (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WAY WITH WORDS by SEFAPIANO)
SCR  VESPARO Jun29 Jun08 May18 Oct18 Oct04 (huston k)NO RIDER 117 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  SPEAKING May18 Mar27 Mar01 Sep15 Sep01 (owens edd)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HIGH NOON NELLIE by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jun08 May18 Aug25 Aug03 Jun28 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of CHOCOLATE BLUSH by FIT TO FIGHT)
 
MTH-9   07/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICE BAG Jun22 May11 Mar12 Feb23 Jan29 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 117 8.00    
2  GUNNERY SERGEANT Jun15 May26 May10 Jan26   (hernandez enri)CAMACHO SAMY 117 2.50 13% 6.40    
3  K PAZ Jun22 Mar12 Feb23 Feb02 Jan18 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 5.00    
4  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Jun22 May26 May11 Apr23 Mar14 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  SOUTHERN DREAM Jun30 Jun10 Apr03 Mar07 Feb21 (polanco a)RUIZ ELISEO 121 4.50    
6  BLUE MARBLE Jun15 May25 May10 Apr13 Jul20 (mcburney pat)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT May30 May11 Apr25 Mar27 Dec27 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
8  FULLY COMMITTED Jun14 May25 Apr23 Apr07 Mar18 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.