Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(4/1/7/3)-(1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/3)-(1/4)-(7/2/1/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(7/2/1/6)-(7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(7/4/5/1)-(5/4/6/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(5/4/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/4/6/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3/1)-(5/4/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3/1)-(5/4/6/3/1)-(5/4/6/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASANOVA KITTEN May21 May03 Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Jun27 Apr29 Apr02 Dec09 Aug26 (west m)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.50    
READY FOR ACTION May29 May15 Mar11 Feb06 Jan16 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 118 2.00    
SARGEANT BARGER Jun13 May21 Apr02 Mar12 Feb12 (alessi james)PENA L 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
FEELTHEBEAT Jun26 Jun11 May21 May08 Apr08 (ortiz-ruiz )FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 3.50    
 
BTP-2   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 Dec13 Nov03 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 4.00    
SCR  BAMBY BOOM Jun24 Jun01 May20 May13 Mar22 (cambray andres)DIAZ CESAR 114 6.00    
LUMIERE Jun19 May30 Mar14 Feb22 Feb13 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 3.00    
PICCATA PRINCE Jun27 Jun11 May24 May03 Apr19 (spanabel )SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOUTHERN BREEZE Jun27 Jan04 Sep21 Sep07 Aug21 (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 123 4.50 22% 3.50    
FIRE WIRE Jun27 May29 May08 Mar29 Mar19 (ware c)SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
BTP-3   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUIXTLA Mar21 Feb28 Jan31 Jan17 Oct30 (ortiz-r)PILARES P 119 4.00 7% 13.70    
CALCETINES Jun19 Oct13 Sep26 Aug29 Jun29 (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 114 6.00    
FLATTER ME ZEN Jun21 Jun06 May13 Apr15 Mar26 (childs g)MCKEE J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MT. D'ORO May22 Apr05 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 2.00 66% 0.50    
LITURGIA Oct23 Oct04 Sep13 Aug14 Jul13 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 3.00    
STEAL THE DEAL Jun09 May19 Apr24 Feb12 Jan25 (silva fern)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00    
HEAVENLY CHARM Jun21 Jun06 May24 Oct02 Sep12 (dailey ronald)COURT J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESPIONAGE Jun13 May25 Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
OUT WORK'N Mar23 Aug21 Jul26 Jun26 May03 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 10.00    
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW May16 May01 Mar29 Feb24 Feb03 (crichton roha)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 1.80    
NABOKOV Jun13 May23 Sep26 Aug28 Jul27 (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 117 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  GOD OF WINE Jun20 Jun06 May10 Apr16 Mar28 (cristel j)MCKEE J 122 2.50    
SCR  INSOLITO Dec06 Oct13 Sep11 Aug20 Jun16 (estvanko )CORREA L 122 5.00    
 
BTP-5   07/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY FROSTY Feb22 Feb08 Dec19 Nov29 Oct26 (ennis john)MURGIA A 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
FORT BULL Oct06         (rodriquez )HERNANDEZ A 125 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  WHISKY RESERVE May28 May15 May08 Apr11 Mar19 (douaihy mi)HERNANDEZ N 121 8.00    
SCR  DANCER'S SHADOW May23 Mar15 Feb19 Jan15 Dec24 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 10.00    
SCOVILLE Mar08 Feb14 Jan23 Dec19   (mcguire kara )GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 10.00    
TRIPS TO WIN Jun02 May13 May03 Feb14 Jan24 (rodak g)PILARES P 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
DAMIRON (IRE) Nov04         (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCOVILLE UNIT Jun03 May15       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 3.00    
HALTER BOY Jun20 May09 Mar13 Dec19 Nov30 (butcher j)CORREA L 121 12.00    
10  ZEN IT Jan23 Oct03       (axmaker w)MOJICA JR 125 15.00    
 
BTP-6   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAANTJE Jun21 Jun02 May18 May08 Apr19 (urbaneja os)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
VOTARY Jun21 Aug29 Aug03 Jul17 Nov29 (quezada in)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 12.00    
LA MARINERA Jun14 May31 May14 May02 Apr17 (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 114 10.00 7% 13.20    
CITIZEN JUDY Jun18 Jan18 Dec26 Nov20 Oct23 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  VICTORIOUS NYQUIST Jun12 May17 May03 Apr09 Oct10 (caramor)PILARES P 125 5.00    
BRIGHT LADY DAY Jun21 Feb13 Dec26 Dec01 Nov01 (jack)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 3.00    
WEST MEMORIAL Jun07 Sep14 Jul11 Jun06 May02 (morey william )DOYLE SOPHIE 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
BTP-7   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 2 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET ESPRESSO Jun24 Jun05 May15 Apr25 Apr11 (torres a)JURADO EDDIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BOOM TOWN SALLY by YES IT'S TRUE)
ESTRELLA SILVER Jun18 Apr25 Apr06     (acevedo isr)FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SILVER LIGHT by MAXAMAX)
A ROSE FOR SKYLER Jun21 May30 May01 Apr17   (spanabel kell)SOSA LAUREANO 119 6.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of LET RIGHT BE DONE by WAR FRONT)
SPASTIC BID Jun21         (jazdzewski jon)MOJICA JR 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of OUR MUSICAL MOMENT by BELLAMY ROAD)
BY MY DREAMS         (perez juan)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 12.00 6% 15.40    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of MAGIC LAMP by SUPER SAVER)
TALE OF LADY MARIA Jun21 May26       (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 5.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of LADY EMPRESS by CARSON CITY)
THE LITTLE SULTANA Jun21 Apr06       (acevedo i)CORREA L 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LITTLE PAO by TIZNOW)
 
BTP-8   07/04/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COTE D'IVOIRE Jun13 May29 May09 Mar19 Feb26 (andrade h)CORREA L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jun13 May22 May10 Mar29 Mar12 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 10.00    
ENGLISH CHALLENGE Jun19 Apr19 Mar13 Feb07 Dec20 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHANTRY FLATS May29 Mar19 Feb14 Jan03 Dec04 (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
SOME R BLESSED Jun14 May31 May15 Mar12 Feb26 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50 46% 1.20    
HARD MISSION May12 Mar13 Feb21 Feb07 Dec13 (meah m)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 3.50 11% 8.20    
STITZY Jun20 May21 Apr06 Feb22 Feb09 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 20.00    
MOON CHARGER Jun24 Jun08 May27 May06 Jan28 (cambray and)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 15.00    
JUANITA'S EXPRESS May27 Mar13 Aug22 Jun27 May29 (deegan c)MOJICA JR 123 6.00    
SCR  OVERHAUL Jun19 Apr09 Mar28 Feb26 Jan31 (alessi james)PENA L 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.