Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/9/10/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/9/10/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/10/8/4)-(3/9/10/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/10/8/4)-(3/9/10/8/4)-(3/9/10/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/9/10/8/4)-(5/7)-(6/1/3/9/8) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LS-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(6/1/3/9/8)-(7/11/8/1/10) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/1/3/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/9/8)-(6/1/3/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/9/8)-(6/1/3/9/8)-(6/1/3/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/9/8)-(7/11/8/1/10)-(7/2/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LS-5   WIN (7/11/8/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/8/1/10)-(7/11/8/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/8/1/10)-(7/11/8/1/10)-(7/11/8/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/11/8/1/10)-(7/2/3)-(8/4/11/10/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LS-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-7   WIN (8/4/11/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/11/10/7)-(8/4/11/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/11/10/7)-(8/4/11/10/7)-(8/4/11/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-8   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/1)-(6/1/9/3/8)-(8/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-9   WIN (6/1/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/3/8)-(6/1/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/3/8)-(6/1/9/3/8)-(6/1/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/9/3/8)-(8/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LS-10   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/4/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/4/2/3/1)-(8/4/2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN COLE Feb19 Jan04 Jul13 May11   (ramirez-rodrig)REYES R 119 4.00    
2  OK BY ME May04 Apr15 Feb28 Feb14 Jan10 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 4.50    
3  JUST A SIP May04 Apr05 Jul04 May17 Sep30 (ashford ray)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
4  MAYBELLY Apr18 Apr06 Feb01 Sep19 Nov25 (young bob)DIEGO V 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  DONT BE SHY SAY HI Apr18 Mar21 Jan30 Jan09 Dec16 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 3.50    
6  AUTISM RESILIENCE Apr18 Mar14 Jan31 Dec06 Sep21 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-2   05/17/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY MISCHIEF Apr06 Jan31 Dec21 Nov08   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00    
2  KEEP A COPY Apr25 Mar21 Feb22     (dupuy allen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 30.00    
3  COVET Apr04 Mar03       (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  LEGENDARY DREAM         (ma)PEREZ ESCALERA 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  TEXAS LONE STAR Apr19 Mar29 Mar07     (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 119 30.00    
6  OH AND GEE Mar15 Dec19       (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 119 20.00    
SCR  BAD BOY FOR LIFE Apr25 Apr06 May27 Mar30 Jan06 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 6.00    
8  MALACHI Apr19 Mar23 Feb16 Jan17 Oct11 (milligan cameron)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00 8% 11.00    
9  NIGHTNTHEQUARTER May03 Oct25       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
10  GIMME A WHO Aug18 Aug02       (marr jo)FUENTES T 119 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
LS-3   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SENSE OF AWE         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of AWESOME BELLA by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  CUR NON Apr27         (sanchez noel)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of ANNUITY by FLATTER)
SCR  BLING IT May10 Dec28       (fincher todd)FINCHER TANNER 119 15.00    
  (by PONTIFF out of IT'S MY KNIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  SISTER HONEY Mar22 Mar09 Feb16 Feb01 Jan04 (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HONEY BUNNY by TAPIZAR)
5  KRISTABELL Apr25 Mar09       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 0.80 58% 0.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of SIMPLE SURPRISE by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  MATILDA'S MARK         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 4.50    
  (by MARKING out of ROLL ON MATILDA by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
7  FOR THE HOME FRONT         (sanchez noel)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 5% 17.90    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOR HOME by NORMANDY INVASION)
 
LS-4   05/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPS MISTRESS May03 Mar23 Feb08 Jan11 Jul12 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
2  SALTAMONTES DIVA Apr18 Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Jan12 (hurley re)SANCHEZ OBED 122 8.00    
3  COUNTY SLUGGER May04 Mar21 Jan11 Oct09 Sep11 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  HOLIDAY PRESENCE Apr18 Mar23 Feb07 Jan17 Jul14 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 4.50    
5  SCHOOL TEACHER Apr27 Mar23 Feb23 Feb08 Dec13 (garza e)DIEGO V 117 20.00    
6  GRACIE'S KITTEN Apr18 Mar22 Mar02 Feb07 Jan17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
7  WILD STEEL Apr18 Mar23 Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 (cruz eduardo)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
8  KAUSE I'M DEVINE May02 Apr18 Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 (knox mary)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MIGHTY ENTICING Mar22 Feb23 Jan24     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-5   05/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRADE TRAVELER Apr20 Mar29 Mar21 Mar02 Jul14 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING OF GRACE         (baldillez ale)JUAREZ J 119 20.00    
3  UNCLE ARTHUR May03         (ashford tri)DE CRUZ 114 12.00    
4  FIST BUMP RIDGE Apr20 Mar29 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 (rivera )FUENTES T 124 15.00    
5  FIRST CAPE Apr20 Apr10 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50    
6  DEVITO Jun21 Jun07 May11 Apr21 Mar01 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00    
7  HI PLAINS HUNK Apr25 Mar29 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
8  MORO TRENDSETTER Mar08 Feb21 Dec12 Nov16 Oct24 (villafranco frede)DIEGO V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  WITT'S RINGER Mar29 Mar09 Feb08 Jan18 Jan04 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 119 12.00    
10  NOTIME FORMISCHIEF Apr25 Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 Nov14 (morgan kevin)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  XANDER S May02 Mar21 Mar02 Feb22 Feb09 (padilla carlo)RIVERA SANTOS 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
LS-6   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($35.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIETNAM VICTORY Jul06 Jun09 Feb17 Dec08 Nov02 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00    
2  AMERICAN XPERIMENT Nov16 Sep06 Aug17 Sep24 Aug24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 10.00 21% 3.70    
3  GUNFLASH Mar01 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Nov16 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 7% 12.60    
4  JOSH'S DREAM Nov14 Oct17 Aug14 Jun23 Jun01 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
5  CLASSIC MOMENT Apr27 Feb13 Jan26 Jul14 Jun24 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00    
SCR  BLUE LIGHT Apr15 Mar16 Feb16 Nov30 Sep14 (caldwell r)JUAREZ J 124 2.00    
7  TOO MUCH ACTION Apr19 Mar22 Feb15 Dec12 Aug24 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
LS-7   05/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD MAKIN GIRL Mar14 Feb21 Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 (eoff terry)REYES R 124 12.00    
2  CACTUS BLOSSOM Apr06 Mar15 Feb21 Jan05 Dec13 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 3.00    
SCR  RUN WITT RUN Apr06 Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Jan10 (gourneau jer)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 12.00    
4  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Feb21 Jan24 Nov13 Nov02 Oct11 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 10% 8.70    
5  GYPSAN Apr19 Apr06 Mar09 Feb02 Jan12 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00    
6  HOLLYWOODBOULEVARD Apr19 Apr05 Mar14 Jan04 Oct24 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
7  CLAIRE JUNE Mar15 Feb28 Feb02 Jan12 Mar02 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ARINNITI (FR) Mar15 Feb21 May25 May04 Mar15 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
9  CALLIN FOR DOLLARS Apr06 Mar09 Jan04 Oct30 Oct10 (milligan came)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00    
10  MAGNOLIA AVENUE Apr19 Mar21 Feb14 Dec27 Nov15 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
11  BOLTORO May01 Mar30 Mar07 Feb23 Jan26 (ashford ray)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  KEEP THE BLING Apr06 Mar09 Feb21 Dec13 Oct26 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 12.00    
SCR  NORTH EAST STAR (IRE) Mar13 Apr21 Feb15 Jan12 Nov04 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 6.00    
SCR  GLOBAL HOLIDAY Apr18 Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Nov18 (davidson br)CASTILLO AMIN 119 12.00    
 
LS-8   05/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW ME THE CANDY Apr20 Feb28 Feb05 Oct30 Aug28 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Apr27 Feb15 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 1.20 28% 2.50    
3  CHASING SHADOWS Apr27 Apr11 Mar09 Sep19 Aug04 (milligan c)ERAMIA E 122 20.00    
4  PERFECT WISH Apr19 Jan28 Nov08 Sep29 May27 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
5  LOOKINFORBARGAINS Apr20 Mar21 Feb23 Jul28 Oct14 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  NGALA Apr25 Apr11 Mar23 Feb03 Dec13 (sanchez noel)SANCHEZ OBED 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLUSHING BELLE May03 Apr17 Mar22 Feb15 Jan10 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 122 6.00    
 
LS-9   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABSAROKA Apr26 Jan30 Jan15 Dec28 Nov18 (arey anthony)SANCHEZ OBED 123 3.00 7% 13.90    
2  JIM NED May09 Apr24 Mar02 Sep19 Jul06 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00    
3  STANS HOME RUN Apr06 Feb28 Feb15 Feb05 Sep10 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR. T'S THIRSTY Apr17 Oct11 Sep21 Aug09 Jul21 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 123 15.00    
5  WIN WORTHY Apr06 Mar28 Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 (herrera arnol)FUENTES MARIO 123 15.00    
6  HOPPIN JOHN May03 Mar30 Mar08 Jan26 Oct30 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 123 2.50 58% 0.70    
7  LEVY Apr26 Apr18 Mar30 Mar14 Feb23 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 8.00    
8  HARD GOLD Apr18 Apr06 Mar07 Feb23 Feb02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TIGERS 'N BEARS Apr18 Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 Jan04 (pish danny)DIEGO V 123 10.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  FAST TRAFFIC Apr26 Feb02 Jan18 Sep23 Sep09 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 123 15.00    
SCR  HELLO HELLO MISTER Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 (garza joaquin)CASTILLO AMIN 123 30.00    
 
LS-10   05/17/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STACY'S PRINCESS Apr04 Mar09 Jan31 Jul12 Jun21 (uriegas henry)FUENTES MARIO 124 5.00 ★    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
2  BELLE BLAZE         (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LETHAL LEGACY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  MARETTE         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of JULIE'S MEMORY by ETESAAL)
4  NANCY LYNN Apr04 Mar09 Jan17 Nov17 Sep29 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GLAMOURATTI by STREET SENSE)
5  BOSTON ELLE Dec06 Nov08 Oct12     (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 30.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of SHOW ELLE THESTAGE by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  MIZZ FACTOR Apr04 Mar14 Feb08 Jan11 Nov02 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
7  DEADLY BEAUTY Apr04 Mar09 Jan19     (davidson br)RIVERA SANTOS 120 20.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of BUTTON GIRL by MIZZEN MAST)
8  FOREVER SAFE Aug30 Jul02 Jun06 May14   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 72% 0.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HERE TO STAY by TOSSOFTHECOIN)
9  RITZY MISCHIEF Apr04 Mar09 Feb07 Oct02   (clary r)REYES R 120 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  GO PURPLE Mar13 Feb22 Jan17 Nov06 Sep21 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WAKI PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.