Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/3/5)-(8/3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(8/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(8/3/2/1)-(3/7/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/2/1)-(3/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2/1)-(3/7/4/8)-(3/1/11/6/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/8)-(3/1/11/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/8)-(3/1/11/6/8)-(5/6/4/9/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/1/11/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/11/6/8)-(3/1/11/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/11/6/8)-(3/1/11/6/8)-(3/1/11/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/11/6/8)-(5/6/4/9/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/11/6/8)-(5/6/4/9/11)-(9/8/3/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/6/4/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/9/11)-(5/6/4/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/9/11)-(5/6/4/9/11)-(5/6/4/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/4/9/11)-(9/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/9/11)-(9/8/3/7)-(2/3/5/7/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-9   WIN (9/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/3/7)-(9/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/3/7)-(9/8/3/7)-(9/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/3/7)-(2/3/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-10   WIN (2/3/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7/8)-(2/3/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7/8)-(2/3/5/7/8)-(2/3/5/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   05/03/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTPORT CAPTAIN Jul05 Jun02 Apr29 Apr15 Mar14 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 68% 0.50    
2  SHUDDER Apr23 Apr01 Mar04 Nov13 Sep29 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 5.00    
3  DESERT BREEZE Apr15 Feb18 Feb04 Jan02 Dec17 (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 118 4.00 8% 10.80    
4  RACER REX Apr23 Mar18 Feb27 Feb12 Jan23 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 3.50    
5  WHERE YOU GONNA GO Apr23 Jul03 Jun09 May19 Aug27 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00    
6  BRAINIAC Apr15 Mar24 Mar05 Feb12 Jan23 (ortiz isaiah)CORBETT W 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   05/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURRFECT MOON Apr16 Mar19 Feb06 Jan24 Jan02 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 4.00 58% 0.70    
2  SAHARA SUE Mar27 Mar18 Feb25 Jan20 Dec07 (barrio ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00    
3  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Apr16 Mar25 Jan08 Dec27 Dec18 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
4  LOCK IT DOWN Mar25 Feb22 Feb13 Jan16 Dec03 (gu)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 ★    
5  ATHENA THE GODDESS Mar27 Mar03 Feb20 Feb06 Jan24 (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Apr23 Apr01 Mar19 Mar03 Feb17 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 6.00    
7  BEE A BALI Apr09 Jan08 Nov25 Nov11 Oct18 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
 
TUP-5   05/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ACCELERATE Apr03 Mar06 Feb17 Jan24 Jan13 (koler steve)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Apr08 Mar27 Feb17 Feb06 Jan13 (bourdieu martin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  GYPSY WIFE Apr09 Mar25 Feb22 Dec27 Dec12 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 2.00 7% 12.80    
4  JAZZY LOVE Apr23 Apr08 Aug16 Jul26 Jul03 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  LUCKY STEPPER Mar03 Jan24 Jan08 Dec18 Sep16 (weaver g)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 20.00    
6  MAMALONA Apr23 Mar27 Mar11 Feb20 Dec27 (soto antonio)MAWING A 124 6.00    
7  DANGERELLA Apr17 Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan22 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
8  BEA MISCHIEF Apr08 Mar06 Feb25 Feb06 Jan24 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
 
TUP-6   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOTTLE CAPS Mar31 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jan16 (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 121 6.00    
2  BAKERSFIELD AFFAIR Apr09         (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00    
3  ROBARANDO Mar24 Jan22       (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00 39% 1.60    
4  CASCABEL Apr11         (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHATTY LEROYBROWN Apr10 Aug09 Jul20 Jul07 Jun22 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA F 116 10.00    
SCR  CROCKETT Apr09         (evans justin)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
SCR  ILEAN RIGHT         (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
8  WISHING GOLD         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  JOHNNY B GOODE         (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 121 12.00    
SCR  UH OH EL TRAVADOR         (laufenberg )MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
 
TUP-7   05/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH DANGER Apr09 Mar26 Mar10 Feb06 Jan08 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00 6% 15.10    
2  IF YOU WANT IT Mar26 Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 May04 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
3  MASTERY KAT Mar17 Feb26 Feb06 Dec07 Nov02 (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 65% 0.50    
4  CRYSTAL COAST Mar22 Feb26 Feb06 Jan16 Nov15 (mckinney )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00    
5  CHAMAVILLE Apr22 Mar17 Feb14 Jan20 May31 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 15.00    
6  BIG CATTY Nov05 Sep02 Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ASPIRATIONAL Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Feb25 Apr21 (stevens satchell)MAWING A 122 20.00    
8  FOREST ACCLAMATION Apr19 Apr09 Mar25 Feb24 Feb10 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  JEWEL AZUL Sep12 Aug04 Jun09 Apr29 Apr11 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
SCR  SUNGLASSES (GB) Mar31 Mar10 Feb09 Jan20 Nov02 (perez s)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
11  YOGYA Apr09 Mar17 Feb26 Feb06 Jan16 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
12  LADY MARY LOU Apr17 Mar26 Dec26 Sep06 Aug18 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
 
TUP-8   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGIC LUNA         (koler ste)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
2  HULA PRANCER Apr15 Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan23 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00    
SCR  SOCIAL STATUS Apr23 Apr16 Mar26 Feb26 Jan24 (bourdie)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
4  GLIMPSE OF GOLD Mar26 Feb13 Apr17 Sep09 Aug12 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
5  AL B RAECIN Mar19         (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
6  LOTSA SALITA Apr15 Mar13 Mar03 Feb03   (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
7  BETTY RYANO Apr15 Mar20       (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 118 12.00    
8  ON THE TOE ROAD Mar20 Feb20 Jan10 Dec10   (peacock sha)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 118 15.00    
9  DIVINE GIFT Apr16 Mar26 Mar06 Feb26 Jan29 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LUCKY LARA Feb13 Jan29 Dec18 Aug18 Apr08 (dominguez an)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
11  UNARMED Mar13 Feb11 Jan15 Dec19   (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-9   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Paradise Open Spring Futurity Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OOH BABY IT'S ME Apr10         (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MAXIMUM EDGE by DIALED IN)
2  MISS MADAME Apr10         (barraza s)GARCIA F 118 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of TWIRLING THRILL by TWIRLING CANDY)
3  TOMMY NORRIS Apr10         (evans justin)CORBETT W 121 4.50 9% 9.90    
  (by STANFORD out of MINSTER'SADVENTURE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
4  CANTCATCHTHISCAT Apr10         (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 121 5.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MAHEE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  MARKING BROADWAY Apr10         (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 121 20.00    
  (by MARKING out of LIGHTS ON BROADWAY by REAL SOLUTION)
SCR  RUN YOUR MOUTH Apr10         (ortiz isaiah)VERGARA P 118 10.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ROO DEW by ORIENTATE (GB))
7  IN A PICKLE Apr10         (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ARANIA by DYNAFORMER)
8  CODE OF VALOR Apr10         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of GRAZEN VALOR by GRAZEN)
9  WHISKEY HIGH Apr10         (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
10  PI TIME Apr10         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
  (by ARIZONA MOON out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
 
TUP-10   05/03/2025 7260ft TURF RC11 FIRM Richard Hazelton Overnight Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEARLESS SOLDIER Apr02 Mar22 Feb12 Feb02 Jan04 (gutierrez juan )VERGARA P 122 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HESSIE'S GIRL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  SALINE RIVER Mar22 Feb12 Jan16 Dec18 Oct23 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
3  KENNEBEC Mar22 Feb12 Jan16 Dec18 Nov19 (gu)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of THISDANSEISTAKEN by GATORS N BEARS)
4  CAPIAT Apr19 Apr03 Mar11 Feb06 Jan22 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 30.00    
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of BIG ALICE by MR. BIG)
5  CORNISHMAN Mar10 Feb12 Jan25 Dec31 Dec16 (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by CURLIN out of PENWITH by BERNARDINI)
6  UNCHARTED Apr22 Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Jan21 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LIVE YOUNG by SMART STRIKE)
7  WHAT A DUDE Apr02 Mar22 Mar04 Feb12 Jan16 (hernandez migue)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of OFF THE BOAT by MORE THAN READY)
8  TALLIS Apr22 Mar23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan04 (evans justin)CORBETT W 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ISABELLA SINGS by ESKENDEREYA)
9  I AM FREAKY FAST Apr16 Mar11 Mar05 Feb05 Jan22 (fergus)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of POUNDS TO PENNIES by EXCHANGE RATE)
10  NONE ABOVE THE LAW Mar28 Mar08 Jan18 Nov29 Nov09 (miller pete)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of LEGALLY BLANCA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.