Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3)-(4/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/3)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/3)-(3/1)-(6/7/4/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/7/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/7/4/5)-(5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/5)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/5)-(5/1/3)-(6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(6/4/7)-(3/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(3/2/5)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEOFTASTYCAKE Feb28 Nov20 Nov01 Sep11 Aug23 (montford leslie)FLORES E 124 6.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
R PENELOPE Aug21 Aug05 Jul16 Jun17 May27 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 124 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LA GREY ZULIANA by BORREGO)
SIMPLY TENACIOUS Mar28 Mar13       (montford leslie)CORA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
WARRIORS JEWEL Apr08 Mar30 Feb19 Dec13 Nov01 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of TRUSTY by IS IT TRUE)
NITTANY LIONESS Mar24         (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PINK PRINCESS by WEIGELIA)
DIAMOND ESSENCE Apr08 Mar21 Mar07     (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of KIMBERLEY DIAMOND by POSSE)
AVRIL Feb20 Jan02 Dec20 Nov14 Oct23 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 121 5.00 6% 15.30    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SWEET EIRE by TRUST N LUCK)
 
PEN-2   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENTATONIC Apr23 Mar21 Feb06 Dec11 Nov27 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00 6% 16.10    
HELMS DEEP (GB) Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb07 Jan03 (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 1.60    
SAINT TEMPLAR Mar13 Jan02 Dec18 Dec11 Oct25 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
WARRIOR ON TAP Mar27 Mar14 Feb21 Jan08 Dec18 (kulp brando)RAMOS O 122 2.50    
SCR  MASTERMIND Feb27 Feb11 Dec31 Nov27 Oct03 (bullock jordan )BOWMAN ADAM 120 12.00    
 
PEN-3   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT STOP MAN Apr04 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 (magee kieron)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00    
YES IT'S ROO Mar21 Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 Jan03 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
MAT MATTERS Mar21 Feb21 Jan24 Jan02 Dec18 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 12.00    
ONE WAY FARRIOR Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan08 Dec12 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00 9% 10.50    
MASK PATROL Mar17 Feb10 Jan02 Nov29 Oct16 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BYK Apr13 Mar20 Jan18 Jan03 Nov27 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
MOBEER Aug06 May17 Mar13 Feb09 Dec08 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
MAJESTIC TIGER Apr23 Apr06 Mar11 Feb28 Jan26 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTURE THIS Mar28 Jul12 Jun25 Jun04 Mar01 (klesaris )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
QUILLING Mar28 Mar06 Feb05 Dec27 Nov22 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 117 3.50    
CAPT. CANDY Mar21 Feb06 Dec12 Sep20 Aug29 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
TACTICAL HUMOR Mar21 Feb21 Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 (kreiser c)FLORES E 120 4.00    
MR SANDMAN Apr14 Mar27 Feb25 Jan09 Dec17 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
FORCE OF JUSTICE Mar27 Mar06 Oct13 Sep16 Aug28 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   05/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNELLY'S HOLLOW Apr16         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00    
KEVIN MAC Apr23 Mar10 Jan29     (kravets m)CORA D 121 3.00    
SCR  SPEZIA'S SON Mar27 Mar20 Mar14 Dec20   (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 121 30.00    
POPS HARPER Sep15 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 Mar15 (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 22% 3.70    
SCR  MICHAELSHATRICK Mar07 Feb21 Jan09 Dec13 Nov13 (boyer david)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 50.00    
SAPPHIRE PRINCE Apr15 Feb19       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
SAMS AFTER PARTY Apr15 Mar11 Feb03 Dec30 Dec17 (padilla hugo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 Jan09 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 30.00    
MAGNIFICENT RIDE Mar27 Mar13 Feb27 Dec27 Dec11 (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 10.00 12% 7.60    
TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Apr23 Mar20 Jan08 Nov07 Oct17 (murillo a)FLORES E 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
TROPHY ROOM Mar27 Mar14 Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
MY BLUE EYES Mar21 Mar07 Feb07 Jan25 Nov13 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KBCYA LATER Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Dec18 Nov22 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
SCR  EDDIEMUSH Apr15 Mar31 Mar07 Feb27 Feb03 (pe)GONZALEZ JORGE 122 6.00    
SWING OIL Apr15 Mar24 Feb27 Feb10 Jan30 (diaz jorge)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 6.00    
 
PEN-7   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE JOHNNY Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Jan09 Dec19 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
HARBOUR BRIDGE Feb05 Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Nov12 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 122 2.00 77% 0.30    
ROLLY Mar28 Feb07 Jan23 Dec27 Dec13 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 4.00    
MIDNIGHT AMBITION Nov21 Oct16 Oct03 Sep18 Aug13 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SYLVIA I AM Mar21 Mar06 Feb07 Jan09 Dec27 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
WIZARDOFEZ Mar14 Feb26 Jan29 Jan10 Dec01 (deiter l)CHUAN MARTIN 122 3.50    
PRIVATE CABANA Apr24 Apr02 Mar17 Feb24 Jul03 (marquez cesar)OCASIO M 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.