Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/6)-(2/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/6)-(2/5/6/1)-(3/4/9/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1)-(2/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/1)-(3/4/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/1)-(3/4/9/2)-(4/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/9/2)-(3/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/9/2)-(3/4/9/2)-(3/4/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/9/2)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/9/2)-(4/2/1)-(3/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/8/6)-(5/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/6)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6)-(5/1/6)-(4/8/1/6/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/8/1/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/8/1/6/7)-(8/2/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/8/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/6/7)-(4/8/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/6/7)-(4/8/1/6/7)-(4/8/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/1/6/7)-(8/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/6/7)-(8/2/3/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/02/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBI TWO STEPS Mar15 Feb22 Jan29 Jan15 Dec04 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
NAUGHTY NAN Mar23 Feb08 Jan11 Dec06 Sep21 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00    
UNCONSCIOUS MIND Apr03 Mar13 Feb26 Sep26 Jul11 (davis e)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
CURB Mar13 Feb19 Jan04 Nov28 Nov08 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 2.50 36% 1.80    
SKY BUY Apr24 Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan29 (smith osborne)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
GONE WITH THE WYN Apr04 Mar15 Feb21 Feb06 Jan10 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
APRIL CLOVER Apr21 May04 Mar19 Nov17 Sep13 (jones mi)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
SHE SPEAKS Apr19 Mar14 Jan10 Jul13 Jun21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 20% 4.10    
 
CT-2   05/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD OF CORK Apr19 Oct12 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CATCH THE HUMOR Apr18 Nov07 Oct12 Sep26 Nov03 (mckee cynthi)DIAZ JR 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
SOUL CATCHER Apr05 Feb15 Jan16 Nov15 Oct31 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
ESPRESSO Oct12 Jul19 Apr20 Mar23 Mar02 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
DORADO Apr19 Mar15 Feb21 Jan16 Dec13 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 2.00 13% 6.90    
LOGSTRADAMUS Feb21 Jan31 Jan17 Nov15 Oct25 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEFIANT GIANT Apr24 Apr03 Mar01 Dec04 Nov09 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00    
 
CT-3   05/02/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE ON THE CANDY Mar28 Jan09 Dec08 Nov16 Oct04 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00    
WELLING Apr10 Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PERSONABLE Mar14 Jan03 Nov20 Sep13 Jun29 (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
CROWN THAT SAINT Apr10 Mar13 Feb26 Jan24 Jan15 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00 28% 2.50    
PRACTICAL SENSE Apr11 Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
ICETECA Apr05 Mar01 Nov26 Nov13 Aug24 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 10.00    
MY SLICK NICK Apr05 Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 (conn lin)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
SCR  SOUPER FORTUNE Mar22 Mar06 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40    
STRIVE FOR STRIDE Apr10 Mar13 Feb19 Feb07 Jan16 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 8% 11.20    
 
CT-4   05/02/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POUR ME A DRINK Apr24 Mar27 Feb28 Feb19 Jan29 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00 11% 7.70    
SISTER WINNIE Mar27 Feb28 Feb19 Jan29 Dec04 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
MISS ARGENTINA Apr10 Mar15 Feb28 Feb19 Jan25 (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Mar15 Feb19 Jan29 Jan04 Dec14 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
PISTOL PENNY Mar21 Mar07 Jan10 Dec12 Nov02 (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00    
SCR  MAMA MARGE Feb06 Nov09 Oct18 Sep28 Sep13 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 0.60    
LIME STAR Mar27 Feb28 Feb08 Jan10 Dec14 (conn lin)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
 
CT-5   05/02/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS MARGARET Apr10 Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 Jan16 (sandova)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00    
MAD SWANN Apr10 Mar06 Feb26 Feb05 Dec13 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50    
GHOSTLY SQUALL Apr10 Mar22 Nov13 Oct19 Sep21 (dollinge)DAVIS A 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Apr05 Mar21 Mar06 Jan23 Jan04 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
SCR  SO RED THE ROSE Mar21 Mar08 Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
TIZ THE REASON Apr18 Mar06 Jan29 Dec03 Nov19 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS BEE BOP Apr25 Apr10 Apr03 Feb28 Jan30 (sandoval mic)DIAZ JR 122 1.80    
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Apr10 Feb21 Feb05 Jan15 Dec11 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
CT-6   05/02/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRD KING Dec05 Jun29 May30 May12 Apr20 (r)MAURICIO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMONING DENIS Mar15 Feb28 Feb01 Jan15 Dec14 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
BONDED (IRE) Apr05 Dec18 Dec04 Oct24 Oct03 (martin r)ACOSTA D 120 30.00    
YO VINNIE Apr10 Feb01 Jan15 Dec04 Nov18 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00    
GRAN ANDREWS Apr04 Feb21 Jan11 Dec07 Nov06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 66% 0.50    
RIDICULOUS Apr24 Apr04 Mar13 Mar01 Jan24 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONEY ROOM Mar01 Jan29 Dec28 Dec09 Oct22 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
SCR  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Apr27 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 Feb05 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
 
CT-7   05/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADSNUMBRONEHELPR Aug03 Jul19 Jul04     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 8.00 10% 8.80    
THIS JUICE B LOOSE Apr18 Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 Aug30 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 5.00    
GIMMETHATSUGAR Apr04 Mar08 Feb15 Jan31 Jan10 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 116 6.00    
ZACHAMUNDO Mar14 Feb01       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
GOING TO OMBRA Apr11 Mar21 Feb27 Feb06 Jan24 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
GHOSTLY LEO Apr04 Mar07 Feb06 Jan17 Nov29 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00 7% 12.50    
BOUNDFORABRUISIN Mar22 Mar13       (craig armonte)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
DIRECT APPEAL Apr04 Mar01 Feb13 Jan29 Jan10 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 3.50 12% 7.40    
SHOW TIME ALLEN Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan17 Dec13 (harrison glenn )PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
10  ROOMMATE MARTIN Nov21 Sep14 Jul20 Jun07 May16 (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  MANNY TOO Apr18 Nov07 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00    
SCR  CONNECT THE DOTS Apr18 Mar28 Feb22 Dec06 Nov15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
SCR  RAY OF SUNSHINE Apr18 Feb22       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 10.00    
 
CT-8   05/02/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUNA MARY Mar21 Feb19 Jan29 Jan10   (jackso)RIOS-CONDE JR 118 12.00    
MOON ROX Apr03 Mar14 Feb27 Oct04   (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
RUNAWAY GOLD Apr03 Mar06 Jan25 Jan04 Dec06 (stehr joseph )THORPE DARIUS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
VIESTE Mar27 Mar07 Feb19 Feb05 Dec13 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
MODEST KAY Apr18 Apr03       (gomez r)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
TINA'S BACK Apr03 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jul25 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00    
UNBRIDLED CHOPT Mar27 Mar07 Feb21 Nov06   (espinosa victor)JORGE JULIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLUSHING KAYLA Sep13 Aug15 Jul19     (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.00 62% 0.60    
MI CATRINA Apr17 Mar07 Feb19 Jan25 Dec06 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 116 15.00    
10  ENRIQUETA Apr18 Apr03 Mar28     (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 12.00    
11  PRETTY CASTLE Apr26 Apr17 Apr03 Mar21 Feb19 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
SCR  CARMELIZED Apr26 Mar27 Mar06 Nov20 Oct05 (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.