Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - May 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3)-(7/6/1)-(11/1/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(11/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(11/1/2/6)-(1/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (11/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/1/2/6)-(11/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/1/2/6)-(11/1/2/6)-(11/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/1/2/6)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/1/2/6)-(1/4/6)-(8/4/1/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(8/4/1/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(8/4/1/6/7)-(2/4/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-5   WIN (8/4/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/6/7)-(8/4/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/6/7)-(8/4/1/6/7)-(8/4/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/1/6/7)-(2/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/6/7)-(2/4/1)-(5/7/1/11/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/7/1/11/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/7/1/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/11/3)-(5/7/1/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/11/3)-(5/7/1/11/3)-(5/7/1/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   05/01/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMITE KARMA Apr02 Mar07 Feb19 Dec19 Jun19 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 10% 8.80    
FIRST GLIMPSE Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Jan10 Nov24 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
DEBATE Mar28 Mar08 Feb15 Feb07 Jan10 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MEMORY BOUQUET Apr11 Mar13 Dec27 Dec04 Nov13 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 4.50    
STYNER Apr04 Mar19 Oct28 Oct08 Sep27 (englehart jeff)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
CURLINGTON Mar13 Jan08 Dec27 Nov06 Sep27 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Mar28 Jan08 Dec27 Nov20 Oct09 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY LILY Apr14 Mar27 Mar03 Feb05 Jan15 (rojas )GONZALEZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
LADRO DI FICHI Mar20 Mar06 Feb06 Jan08 Dec20 (murillo a)CORA D 120 5.00    
EARLY FROST Mar20 Mar06 Nov13 Oct23 Sep29 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 50.00    
SCR  BELLA PRIMA Mar20 Feb20 Jan09 Dec04 Oct25 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 120 3.50    
STORMY SPELL Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Dec13 Nov29 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00    
KAZ MUSIC Jan17 Jan08 Dec20 Nov23 Nov13 (albright am)RAMOS O 120 4.00 24% 3.30    
TILTED TIARA Feb21 Feb06 Jan03 Dec13 Nov20 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-3   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAD OF THE CLASS Apr05 Jan10 Oct12 Sep14 Aug23 (magee kie)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CASH RESERVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BUILT BY KHOZAN Apr19 Mar15 Feb23 Jan25 Dec15 (mcmahon dem)HAMILTON WESTON 121 5.00 18% 4.70    
  (by KHOZAN out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
SIETE SIETE SIETE Mar30 Mar15       (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 121 30.00    
  (by ZELZAL out of IT ASPEN AGAIN by TEMPLE CITY)
SCR  MUNTAGE         (beattie m)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of COPPER BAY by FAST ANNA)
SCR  MINISTER Mar01 Jan25       (pecoraro )RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of MISS SWEETNESS by UNITE)
SAFFIE JUNIOR         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of EBONY MOMENT by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  JACE IS NO JOKE Mar20 Jan24       (synnefias p)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DIXIE DANCER by UNION RAGS)
SCR  MANSEEYASWAY Apr11 Mar15       (mancilla g)RUIZ JORGE 121 30.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
PUMP IT UP Mar07 Sep16       (lynch cathal)CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of EVITA'S SISTER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  THICK AND JUICY         (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CHURCH CAMP by FOREST CAMP)
11  PILOTE COMETE Feb08 Dec14 Dec02 Oct12 Sep22 (perkins b)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ABUNDANCE OF CLASS by MINESHAFT)
 
PEN-4   05/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESI'S REWARD Mar14 Feb28 Dec06 Oct30 Sep25 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
A BIT BAD N BOUJEE Apr22 Mar10 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 (chacon gusta)TORRES L 110 10.00    
MY JO JO Mar31 Feb28 Jan17 Dec20 Dec07 (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
LOUELLA STREET Mar20 Feb27 Feb04 Dec10 Nov19 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Mar14 Feb19 Nov29 Nov06 Oct30 (salinas jose)CORA D 120 2.50    
SCOTT ALAIA Mar20 Dec13 Nov11 Jul22 May04 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARDINAL WAR CRY Mar14 Jan09 Dec13 Nov07 Aug22 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
CRUZIN ANNA Mar21 Feb19 Dec13 Aug23 Aug15 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
DAKOTA SPRINGS Mar27 Feb19 Jan02 Dec06 Oct31 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 6.00    
WARRIOR'S DEFENSE Mar21 Jan03 Nov29 Nov07 Jul25 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
DANCING CHIME Mar28 Mar13 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
FLEETING EMBER Mar28 Mar07 Feb07 Dec19 Dec06 (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 5.00 7% 12.90    
QUIVIRA CRANE Mar13 Dec19 Nov27 Sep28   (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
CLOUD IN THE WIND Mar07 Dec27 Dec04 Nov13 Oct17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
DANCING DIANA Mar25 Feb27 Sep11 Aug24 Jul25 (lawrence james )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
10  KASHMIR WITCH Mar13 Feb07 Dec12     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 117 12.00    
 
PEN-6   05/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPISTEME Mar14 Jan08       (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED BETTY Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 Dec18 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
DAISY'S ANGEL Mar29 Mar13 Jun05 Oct14 Sep16 (deiter l)CHUAN MARTIN 124 3.50    
CASHPOINT May28 May11 Feb22 Jan30   (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
R SERENITY Mar21         (montford leslie)FLORES E 124 20.00    
SCR  ONE EYED JACKIE Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun18 May23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 2.50    
ANALOG Feb28 Feb19 Dec13     (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
 
PEN-7   05/01/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHANCY PHILLY Mar28 Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 Dec19 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BAHAMA PEARL Apr01 Mar20 Feb28 Nov11 Oct09 (soto- martin)TORRES L 114 3.50    
ROAD TO DREAMS Apr16 Apr01 Mar10 Feb27 Feb11 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Oct31 Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 Jun26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00    
BOWTOTHEQUEEN Feb21 Jan31 Dec01 Nov08 Oct24 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
AMIRATI Mar20 Feb20 Feb06 Jan03 Dec13 (kravets m)CORA D 124 30.00    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Mar20 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Jan03 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Dec20 Dec07 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00    
LA LIMA Mar20 Mar06 Dec20 Oct31 Jul26 (ippolito mar)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 20.00    
10  BONITA LASSIE Feb24 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 Nov13 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 10.00    
11  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Mar20 Dec04 Oct30 Sep28 Aug22 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.