Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(2/8/9/4)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/4)-(2/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/4)-(2/8/9/4)-(2/8/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/9/4)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/4)-(4/3/5)-(2/3/4/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/3/4/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/3/4/6/10)-(1/6/9/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/3/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6/10)-(2/3/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6/10)-(2/3/4/6/10)-(2/3/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6/10)-(1/6/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6/10)-(1/6/9/4)-(1/8/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/4)-(1/6/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/4)-(1/6/9/4)-(1/6/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/9/4)-(1/8/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/9/4)-(1/8/3/2)-(8/6/12/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2)-(1/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/2)-(8/6/12/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/2)-(8/6/12/2)-(5/1/3/7/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/6/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/12/2)-(8/6/12/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/12/2)-(8/6/12/2)-(8/6/12/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/12/2)-(5/1/3/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/12/2)-(5/1/3/7/12)-(2/4/7/10/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (5/1/3/7/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/7/12)-(5/1/3/7/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/7/12)-(5/1/3/7/12)-(5/1/3/7/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/3/7/12)-(2/4/7/10/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (2/4/7/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/10/6)-(2/4/7/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/10/6)-(2/4/7/10/6)-(2/4/7/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANDED ROCKET Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 Jan18 Sep21 (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
2  BIG LOUIE Apr16 Mar29 Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 (dye steven)MENESES MARCOS 122 10.00    
3  CAPTURE THE TIME Apr06 Feb22 Dec14 Nov27 Oct05 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
4  EL PRINCIPITO Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan24 Dec28 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 3.00    
5  HECTOR Mar15 Oct21 Sep30 Aug26 Aug13 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 8.00 6% 16.50    
6  AGGRANDIZE Feb12 Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 Oct19 (lopez mario)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ZYDECEAUX Nov30 Sep22 Jul28 Apr06 Mar24 (castro m)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50    
 
TAM-2   04/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALWAYS WIN         (simone micha)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
2  EMIRATES HONOR Apr09 Mar02 Feb22 Jan10 Dec18 (dini mike)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  G SPEEDY Jan17 Dec27 Dec07     (romero rafael)BRACHO A 120 4.00    
4  NOBLE SOUL Aug05         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUPER CASPER Sep26 Sep13       (richards renaldo)FERRER C 120 20.00    
SCR  CINCO HALO Apr04         (marrero nestor)HESS SARA 120 30.00    
7  WOW BUBBLE Apr06 Mar28 Nov16     (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.50    
8  HIGHS N LOWS Apr11 Mar15 Sep09 Aug28 Aug12 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 6% 15.40    
9  SO GRAND Mar06 Jan25 Sep11 Aug11   (seale christop)GIL CIPRIANO 120 12.00 6% 16.40    
10  FIT TO FIRE Apr09 Dec18 Oct20 Sep14   (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50    
 
TAM-3   04/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENEZUELAN FLOWER Mar20 Feb05 Jan03     (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
2  MS KENDRICK B. Apr11 Feb15 Feb01 Jan15 Dec29 (bennet)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.00    
3  WILDCAT MINNY Mar16 Jan17 Oct06 Aug31 Aug18 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00 19% 4.40    
4  CHARLIE'S BEAUTY Apr12 Sep08       (o'connel)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  LADY COLLECTED Mar16 Feb26 Feb01 Jan17 Aug31 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAN THE RED Mar16 Mar01 Feb12 Jan03 Nov29 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 4.00    
SCR  CANTAFIO Mar16 Feb12 Feb01 Dec29 Dec20 (delgado j)MARTINEZ L 118 8.00    
 
TAM-4   04/30/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KALINBA Mar09 Feb23 Jan29 Jan10 Dec08 (cascallares nesto)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
2  ESTILO MAGICO Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 Feb26 Jan29 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 5.00 35% 1.90    
3  BRAGGADOCIOUS Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 Mar02 Feb15 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
4  COACHES MEETING Apr13 Mar16 Feb05 Dec28 Nov23 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  HABERDASHERY Apr05 Mar21 Feb12 Jan17 Jan04 (mckathan)RODRIGUEZ O 118 15.00    
6  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 Jan19 Dec14 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ONYX Apr13 Mar29 Mar19 Mar02 Feb15 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.00    
8  DIAMOND MESSA Mar30 Mar08 Feb23 Jan04 Dec20 (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
9  POSEIDONS MYTH Feb26 Feb05 Jan17 Dec22 Nov20 (ubide max)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00    
10  LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Apr05 Mar21 Feb21 Jan08 Nov29 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  LEOPARDI Apr16 Mar30 Mar22 Jan19 Dec22 (harvey dan)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 6.00    
SCR  GUN RIGHT Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 Jan19 Jan04 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 8.00    
SCR  GUCCI BOY Apr19 Apr04 Mar19 Feb23 Jan29 (carrascojr vic)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
 
TAM-5   04/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROWTH CAPITAL Mar26 Feb28 Jan25 Dec10 Sep01 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  ROCKET DRAGON Apr05 Mar19 Nov29 Oct15 Sep16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
3  MAGIC HEART Apr13 Mar28 Mar05 Feb08 Dec24 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.50    
4  PRALINE'S CAT Apr13 Jul18 Jun22 May29 May04 (posadas pedro)HESS SARA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BENVOLIO Apr19 Mar28 Feb15 Dec27 Dec06 (parra hernan)FERRER C 122 4.50    
6  TORO FORWARD Mar28 Mar16 Feb02 Jan05 Dec18 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 3.00 11% 8.00    
7  SON OF A SLEW Mar26 Feb23 Jan25 Jan01 Nov10 (deaton)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
8  FAST N STEADY Mar08 Feb02 Dec29 Aug16 Aug04 (marrero nesto)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 30.00    
9  DIAL HIM UP Apr09 Mar16 Mar05 Feb12 Feb02 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   04/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICALITY Apr11 Mar30 Feb23 Jan31 Jan12 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  THELASTBULLETSMINE Apr12 Mar01 Jan31 Jan10 Feb14 (vinson john )MENESES MARCOS 118 8.00 7% 13.30    
3  ZIP CODE ENVY Mar15 Feb28 Jan19 Dec04 Oct26 (wasiluk pete)BATISTA A 118 15.00 9% 9.90    
4  D' TIGER LILY Apr11 Sep14 Aug25 Jul20 Jun30 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
5  MOANAS POWER Mar19 Feb22 Dec24 Nov24 Aug12 (munoz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.00    
6  MORETASTIC Apr11 Mar30 Mar09 Feb21 Jan24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 3.00    
7  SPANISH DELIGHT Apr12 Apr05 Mar15 Feb28 Jan18 (mcgoey monica)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00    
8  WHEELINGNDEALING Apr05 Mar15 Mar02 Feb14 Jan31 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-7   04/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARPOON HARRY Apr16 Mar22 Mar07 Feb08 Jan11 (padilla tim)FERRER C 116 3.50    
2  CINCO DE MO Apr06 Jan19 Jan04 Dec14 Oct10 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POLICY OPTION Mar22 Feb23 Feb08 Jan11 Jan01 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 116 3.00    
4  YES THIS TIME Mar14 Feb15 Dec27 Nov24 Sep22 (soler edisley)GIL CIPRIANO 116 5.00    
5  FEUILLETON Mar19 Feb15 Feb01 Jan12 Dec04 (dimmet)VASQUEZ ANGEL 116 15.00    
6  SMART STRIKER Apr13 Mar16 Feb05 Dec29 Sep04 (pompay terri)ALLEN D 120 8.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BURNIN TURF Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 Dec20 Aug23 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 2.50    
8  ARAK Apr11 Dec06 Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 116 15.00 38% 1.70    
9  STARSHIP MOCHA Apr06 Mar21 Feb19 Jan29 Jan19 (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 116 30.00    
10  WELL CONNECTED Apr19 Mar07 Feb19 Jan22 Jun20 (march william)HESS SARA 116 20.00    
SCR  DAMIR Apr16 Jan27 Jan13 Dec22 Aug26 (vigil jai)MARTINEZ L 116 30.00    
12  POST FACTO Apr18 Mar09 Feb01 Jan12 Sep15 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 10.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Oct24 Aug27 Jul26 May24 Nov06 (englehart j)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 15.00    
SCR  ELEVATED GAME Apr06 Feb28 Nov02 Sep07 Aug29 (ramsey)VASQUEZ ANGEL 116 4.00    
 
TAM-8   04/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR KHOZIE ROSIE         (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 4.50 9% 10.10    
2  CAWAMA Apr06 Mar26 Dec18     (lusk brian)INFANTE A 125 30.00    
3  CURLING ROSE Apr13 Mar26 Feb19 Aug18 Jul21 (cascallares ne)MARIN SAMUEL 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAMAS LULLABYE Apr19 Apr05 Mar26 Mar12 Feb23 (cook devin)SUAREZ JESUS 125 12.00    
5  SOUNDTRACK Apr13 Mar26 Dec29 Dec11 Nov20 (goodwin g)HESS SARA 125 2.50 63% 0.60    
6  ALWAYS DRAMA Dec24 Nov27 Jul19 May30 Apr21 (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 125 15.00    
7  BONITA DIAMOND Apr19 Mar26 Feb28 Dec02   (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ELECTRICA Mar05 Feb12 Oct23 Sep24   (posadas pedro)VARGAS E 108 30.00    
SCR  ADJUST MY HALO Apr12         (ward dennis)LINDSAY CHAD 118 3.00    
10  FINAL NOTE Apr23 Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb19 (gardea abraham)TORRES R 125 20.00    
11  CAMEO Apr12 Feb26 Jan16 Dec26   (munoz carlos)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00    
12  GRACIOUS BEAUTY Mar28 Mar05 Feb12     (gardea ab)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   04/30/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY TRAIL Apr05 Mar16 Feb28 Feb01   (vinson jo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 5.00    
2  CRAFTY COLLECTOR Apr05 Mar15 Feb21 Jan31   (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  NOUVEAU Mar15 Jan24       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 3.00    
4  TOO MUCH FUN         (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 7% 12.50    
5  DOROTEA DREAM Apr16 Apr05 Mar15 Mar02 Jan29 (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 119 6.00    
6  POWER PARTY Apr23 Apr05 Mar16 Feb26 Aug23 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  AUTHENTICATE NOW Apr05 Mar15 Feb22 Aug22 Jul04 (dini mike)MARTINEZ W 119 4.00 7% 12.50    
8  LA CANONICA Apr05         (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 119 15.00    
9  GIFTBOX SURPRISE Apr05 Mar19 Jan24 Dec28 Dec07 (kutt m)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
10  FRATERNIZE         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 20.00 5% 18.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.