Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - April 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(5/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8)-(5/2/8)-(5/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/8)-(5/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8)-(5/3/2)-(8/10/6/9) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(8/10/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/9)-(8/10/6/7/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/9)-(8/10/6/7/9)-(8/10/6/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (8/10/6/9)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/1/4)-(4/1/2/7) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHEN REIGNS Jan29 Jan02 Dec10 Nov10 Sep11 (inirio carlos)TAPARA LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
PORTIA'S HOPE Nov23 Oct30 Oct20 Oct08 Sep24 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY LUCKY DEIA Dec10 Nov25 Oct30 Oct20 Oct08 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
COAL COUNTRY Apr05 Feb26 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 0.60 36% 1.70    
ESSENTIAL MAGIC Apr17 Jan29 Jan04 Dec14 Nov08 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
FRIENDLY LUCY Dec10 Nov25 Jul15 Jun23 May14 (baird michael)AVILES YAN 120 6.00    
SCR  PARALLAX VIEW Apr20 Nov25 Nov14 Oct05 Aug24 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
YOUR TROPHY GIRL Apr11 Mar17 Feb19 Feb04 Jan07 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00    
 
MNR-2   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS GLORIA JEAN Feb21 Jan09 Nov20 Oct02 Jul31 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
DADDY CLASSY DILL Apr21 Mar19 Feb25 Feb06 Jan09 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 120 1.20 35% 1.80    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Apr04 Mar01 Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 (collins tim)TAPARA BRANDON 120 20.00    
SCR  TRACI'S GIRL Aug06 Jun17 Jun04 May21 Nov01 (sparling way)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
INTO TOURING Feb28 Jan30 Jan03 Nov17 Oct11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
CHARLOTTES WAY Apr21 Dec03 Nov20 Nov10 Jul25 (brown t)DIAZ R 120 12.00    
CEDAR'S IMAGE Nov20 Nov10 Sep22 Sep15 Aug11 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 20.00    
KISS ME ON OCONEE Dec02 Oct29 Oct06 Sep10 Aug28 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-3   04/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATNAPPING Apr20 Apr11 Mar25 Feb05 Dec26 (aguirre jua)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 15.00    
ORGULLOSA PACIFICA Mar30 Mar12 Jan29     (flores christian)AVILES YAN 116 10.00 6% 16.80    
MONEYSLOT Dec03 Nov17 Oct30 Oct21 Oct08 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY Mar07 Jan22 Jan05 Oct14 Jul16 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 1.60    
SISTER SOLA Oct24 Sep04 Aug14 Jul08   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Dec18 Nov24 Nov10 Nov02 Aug17 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 123 5.00    
 
MNR-4   04/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYBE SARDONIC Nov17 Nov03 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 (cluley denni)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
KIM'S MONEY Mar21 Mar08 Feb12 Jan29 Jan01 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 116 4.50    
  (by MR. MONEY out of WIN WINNEY by EXCHANGE RATE)
GLORY HALLELUJAH Feb14 Jan08 Dec19     (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 6.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of SUNSET SILHOUETTE by WILDCAT HEIR)
SO MUCH JAZZ Mar16 Feb26 Sep05 Aug03   (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 116 15.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of URSOKY by OXBOW)
SCR  SUPERMODEL Apr21 Mar30       (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 116 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of G G'S DOLLY by COMIC STRIP)
LEGACY TRAIL Aug20 Jul31       (ramgeet ti)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SWEET LEGACY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
LIL RAINWATER Apr05 Mar13       (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 5.00    
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of VALLEE DE LAMOUR by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
UNALAKLEET Mar08 Jan24       (godsey)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by IQBAAL out of PORTICIPATION by INCLUDE)
STORY CHANNEL Oct28 Sep06 Aug21 Jul15 Jul02 (monday kevin)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of OPEN STORY by OPEN FORUM)
10  DONT COMPRESS Nov13 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16   (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 8.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
 
MNR-5   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY TRUTH Oct14 Sep18 Aug26 Aug13 Jul31 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTIN FRONT Feb08 Oct29 Oct06 Sep11 Sep01 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
MILANO Apr01 Mar13 Jan25 Jan07 Dec04 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
VERSATILE Apr12 Mar30 Mar17 Mar06 Oct14 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 3.50    
TEXTPECTATION Apr21 Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 (morzan e)PAUCAR E 123 4.50    
DARK TIMBER Apr21 Mar06 Jan30 Jan07 Dec12 (silva jose )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 1.60    
 
MNR-6   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELY SECRET Mar26 Feb28 Feb06 Jan15 Jul28 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
TATTERED HEART Apr12 Apr02 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50    
SAVE THE FLAG Apr20 Nov07 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 (zook w)WHITACRE B 123 4.00    
SCR  PRINCESSTAPITURE Apr08 Feb28 Feb03 Jan15 Dec02 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 2.50    
MYRA FLEENER Nov19 Oct13 Sep30 Sep22 Sep03 (lopez jose)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ONE NIGHT STAND Mar18 Jan15 Dec26 Nov11 Oct20 (poole jami )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 4.50 43% 1.40    
 
MNR-7   04/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TATE Nov18 Oct20 Oct08 Sep16 Sep01 (scallan ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 12.00 21% 3.90    
TOMMY BEE Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Mar08 Jan04 (hetrick krista )NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
TIZ SPEEDY Apr12 Mar24 Mar11 Mar01 Dec28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
ROAD TO STARDOM Jan30 Jan16 Dec28 Dec01 Nov19 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 18% 4.40    
HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS Apr20 Nov25 Sep05 Aug08 Jun15 (silva jose )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 4.00    
SCR  MOTIVATING Mar01 Jan18 Nov06 Oct17 Aug23 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00    
TWO TONS OF FUN Apr20 Mar13 Jan31 Jan09 Jul24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 3.50    
 
MNR-8   04/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOT THE BREEZE Apr03 Mar13 Feb14 Jan23 Dec07 (joy j)WHITACRE B 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
BIG WAY Nov25 Oct29 Oct23 Oct16 Sep25 (silva jose )GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  HARDLY EVER BETTER Apr17 Mar29 Jan23 Jan04 Nov14 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00    
BOOYAH Jan23 Dec27 Oct06 Sep08 Jul07 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 120 5.00 48% 1.10    
THIS KATZ FOR REAL Dec27 Sep27 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (robillard julie)TAPARA LUIS 120 15.00    
GOLD DILEMMA Mar20 Feb06 Nov19 Nov12 Oct28 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
STANDINGINTHEFIRE Dec09 Nov26 Oct02 Sep23 Aug18 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
FREE FROM GUILT Apr22 Feb28 Feb06 Jan23 Jul20 (inman robert)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 3.50    
SCR  MO SNOW Apr08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 Jul10 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.