Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - April 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/8)-(4/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/8)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/10/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(4/10/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2)-(4/10/7/5)-(3/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/10/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/7/5)-(4/10/7/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/7/5)-(4/10/7/9/5)-(4/10/7/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/10/7/5)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/7/5)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/5/1)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(6/3/4)-(5/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ DONEGAL Mar21 Dec12 Oct29 Nov17 Oct26 (englehart jeff)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 50% 1.00    
STIFLING HEAT Feb27 Jan09 Dec12 Oct17 Oct01 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 119 5.00    
ANNA'S GOT STYLE Mar21 Jan27 Dec27 Dec06 Nov15 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
TOWN'S WARRIOR Apr11 Mar14 Feb27 Jan03 Dec13 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 10% 8.50    
CHUCK ADAMS Oct26 Oct12 Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 15.00    
BRONX BOYS Mar21 Feb07 Jan09 Dec02 Nov11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
BRIGHT CHARGER Apr05 Feb27 Jan13 Dec20 Dec01 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 5.00 10% 8.60    
MITROPANOS Mar27 Mar07 Feb21 Dec27 Dec06 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VINI VIDI VICI (MEX) Mar17 Feb26 Feb05 Jan08 Dec08 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 122 8.00    
 
PEN-2   04/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CONSTITUTION Apr16 Mar24 Feb10 Feb03 Jan07 (diaz jorge)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED IRISHMAN Aug02 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May22 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CALLIN MY NAME Mar07 Feb19 Nov22 Oct31 Oct17 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00    
FATHER WALSH Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Jan30 Jan11 (albright am)RAMOS O 124 1.40 56% 0.80    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Jan09 Jan02 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
PRESSING CONCERN Apr09 Mar31 Mar12 Feb27 Jan30 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 124 12.00    
SCREEN STAR Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Aug23 Jul26 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 124 5.00    
 
PEN-3   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE LIKE CRAZY Apr02 Mar24 Feb24 Jan30 Jan01 (nicholson ju)TORRES L 112 5.00    
STORMIN HEIST Mar13 Feb19 May16 Apr14 Mar28 (siculieta)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
PIN SHOT BABE Feb27 Jan02 Dec20     (brion ker)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00    
NOBODY'S ZAPPER Mar21 Mar13 Feb28 Apr17   (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 4.50 49% 1.10    
COWGIRL NATION Apr02 Feb28 Feb19 Jan18 Jan10 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUST START DANCIN Mar28 Feb19 Dec27 Dec13 Nov20 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
QUALIFIED HIRE Feb20 Jan30 Dec12 Nov14   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARM ALARM Mar14 Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 12.00    
ZONING ORDER Mar24 Feb24 Feb05 Jan14 Dec05 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 3.50    
10  IRACEBETH Mar13 Jan30 Dec19 Nov27 Oct23 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 8.00 17% 4.70    
 
PEN-4   04/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODY PASS Mar27 Mar07 Feb14     (houghton thomas)CORA D 117 10.00    
BALLAD OF WARRIOR Mar13 Mar06 Dec30 Nov27 Oct21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 117 1.50    
SOCIALLY AWKWARD Mar13 Feb21 Jan28 Jan08 Dec11 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 1.40 64% 0.60    
PRIVATE CABANA Apr02 Mar17 Feb24 Jul03 Jun18 (marquez cesar)OCASIO M 120 15.00    
CHAIN LIGHTNING Mar13 Jan09 Dec02 Oct25 Sep12 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
EASTER BET Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 Jan09 (harigeorgio)RAMOS O 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   04/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLIPTICALS BEAR Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Dec12 Nov01 (boyer j)ROJAS MARTINA 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BROWN SHOES Apr16 Mar26 Mar07 Feb27 Feb04 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 124 20.00    
NOLO CONTESTO Mar21 Jan09 Dec19 Dec11 Nov14 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
NAUTICAL NATURE Feb07 Nov27 Oct24 Aug15 Jul11 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 20.00    
CARGO SHIP Jun13 May15 May03 Apr08 Mar08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  SIGALERT Apr04 Mar15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep16 (englehart jeff)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00    
STARSTREET Apr11 Mar13 Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 (rodriguez)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
 
PEN-6   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU KNIGHT Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 Oct25 Sep09 (rathman eli)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 3.00    
TAPAS WARRIOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 116 4.50    
CAPPETTA Feb19 Nov08 Oct07 Aug26 Aug12 (fields kevin)FLORES E 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
OLLIE BOY         (demario a)CORA D 124 8.00 14% 6.10    
ROWDY WARRIOR Mar14 Feb27 Jan09     (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00    
YACHT INTENTIONS Sep10         (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-7   04/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP FOR THE WIN Mar13 Feb21 Jan08 Dec27 Nov13 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
PICCOLO DIAVOLO Mar14 Feb07 Jan09 Dec13 Oct19 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
COPPERHEAD CREEK Mar14 Mar06 Feb24 Jan28 Dec17 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Mar20 Feb21 Jan08 Dec13 Nov21 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
PORCH SWING Mar13 Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 Nov13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
STATELY ORDER Mar13 Feb15 Jan31 Dec22 Dec11 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 122 6.00    
HERE'S WALDO Mar27 Mar06 Dec20 Nov15 Oct30 (kazamias peter)CORA D 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.