Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(5/9/4/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(5/9/4/3/10)-(4/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/9/4/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/3/10)-(5/9/4/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/3/10)-(5/9/4/3/10)-(5/9/4/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/4/3/10)-(4/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/3/10)-(4/6/9)-(10/4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/9)-(4/6/1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/9)-(4/6/1/8/9)-(4/6/1/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/9)-(10/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9)-(10/4/1/2)-(7/8/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (10/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/1/2)-(10/4/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/1/2)-(10/4/1/2/5)-(10/4/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/1/2)-(7/8/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/1/2)-(7/8/5/10/9)-(9/6/1/3/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/8/5/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/10/9)-(7/8/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/10/9)-(7/8/5/10/9)-(7/8/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/5/10/9)-(9/6/1/3/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (9/6/1/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/3/11)-(9/6/1/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/3/11)-(9/6/1/3/11)-(9/6/1/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   04/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRINSON Mar24 Feb18 Jan23 Dec27 Nov07 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
I'M MR. SHENANIGAN Apr03 Mar19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan24 (o'brien danny)HARVEY B 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BRAINIAC Mar24 Mar05 Feb12 Jan23 Jun13 (ortiz isaiah)CORBETT W 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
ROYAL CURLIN Apr03 Mar24 Feb25 Feb12 Jan29 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
GOLDEN AFFAIR Mar17 Mar06 Feb10 May04 Apr18 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.50    
EL SIETE LEGUAS         (kemper kasey)BARNES JOSE 124 8.00 21% 3.90    
MR FABRICATOR Mar22 Mar02 Jan20 Apr04 Feb25 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
SHAKE THE DUST Mar14 Feb09 Jan18 Nov29 Nov17 (silva jr)GARCIA F 118 6.00    
 
TUP-4   04/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBO Mar18 Mar03 Jan24 Jan11 Oct19 (silva a)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
THEUNTOUCHABLEONE Mar10 Feb24 Dec04 Aug30 Aug03 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00    
IMPASSIONED CLAIM Mar26 Feb27 Dec16 Nov26 Oct18 (whitehouse wilton )GARCIA F 124 6.00 7% 13.10    
FLINT STROLL Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
MY INDY Mar04 Feb10 Feb14 Dec09 Nov12 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 41% 1.50    
FLY NIGHTLY Mar27 Mar12 Feb19 Jan27 Dec28 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
CALIFORNIA SWING Mar26 Mar04 Feb19 Jan30 Jan08 (gleason m)KRIGGER K 124 4.50    
DIXON TUFF Mar26 Mar04 Feb12 Jan23 Jan01 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
FORT LANGLEY Mar17 Mar06 Feb18 Jan22 Dec05 (gutierrez juan )LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
10  HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Mar27 Feb11 Jan22 Jan07 Dec01 (diodor)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOCAL RED Mar27 Mar10 Feb19 Feb06 Jan15 (story chad)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50    
SCR  ITS A BOY Mar27 Mar12 Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 (sanderson bruce)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   04/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT LEGS ROMOLO Mar23 Feb23 Feb08 Jan04 Oct11 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
RENEW Mar24 Jan22 Dec31 Dec11 Dec02 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
CANDY'S CHROME Mar11 Feb10 Jan27 Dec17 Nov27 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 5.00    
JULLIAN IN PARIS Mar05 Jan24 Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 58% 0.70    
DRIVE TRAIN Apr01 Feb20 Jan29 Dec31 Dec11 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
DESERT BREEZE Feb18 Feb04 Jan02 Dec17 Nov25 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 118 10.00 17% 4.80    
PURE CANE SUGAR Mar06 Feb18 Jan14 Dec26 Jul26 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
BORDER VIGIL Mar25 Feb10 Dec27 Dec10 Sep15 (evans justin)CORBETT W 118 3.00    
THE RONALD Apr03 Feb06 Jan22 Dec31 Oct23 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   04/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPTING PROSPECT Mar27 Feb25 Jan23 Oct19 Sep22 (peery deb)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
DORADUS Apr03 Mar03 Feb20 Feb12 Dec28 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOE DID IT Mar05 Nov29 Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 (o'brien dan)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
SCR  CLUBHOUSE CHARLIE Mar19 Feb03 Jan24 Dec23 Dec12 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 4.50 9% 10.30    
AVELLINASA Mar19 Feb10 Jan14 Dec12 Aug24 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 124 5.00    
SWISS LAKER BOY Mar19 Feb26 Jan22 Dec06 Nov15 (story chad)CORBETT W 118 12.00    
CYBER SMART Jan29 Dec29       (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
TAKE MY ALLOWANCE Mar27 Feb25 Dec12 May04 Apr04 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
SCR  CREE Feb27 Feb05 Jan02 Dec04   (williams da)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 20.00    
10  CHASIN A DOLLAR Apr01 Mar20 Feb18 Feb02 Jan03 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
TUP-7   04/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN SPRING Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan29 Jan02 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 124 8.00    
ROSENQUIST Mar13 Feb22 Feb04 Jan23 Dec10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
MR INSENSITIVE Mar07 Jan31 Dec20 Oct10 Sep26 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
BENNY BUCKETS Apr03 Mar11 Feb22 Feb05 Dec19 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 124 15.00    
LEVON Mar27 Feb22 Jan23 Jan15 Dec23 (hernandez valenzue)GARCIA F 122 10.00 14% 6.40    
K R RULES Mar18 Jan22 Dec27 Dec11 Sep06 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 12.00    
NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Mar12 Feb22 Jan15 Dec30 Nov22 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
ECHO CANYON Mar25 Mar12 Jan30 Jan13 Dec30 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
KEEP IT COMING Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 Dec31 (betts nanc)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  SYNTACTIC Mar12 Feb13 Jan30 Jan07 Dec23 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  BRAVO KOLT Apr29 Apr03 Oct28 Oct22 Oct07 (johnson )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
SCR  TOM AND JAZZY Mar04 Dec27 Dec14 Nov22 Oct27 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   04/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTS FANTASY Mar20 Mar03 Jan23 Dec06 Nov15 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MAJESTIC VIBES         (lawrence heath)KRIGGER K 121 15.00    
BETTY RYANO Mar20         (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00 9% 10.20    
SPAGHETTI TREE Apr02 Mar20 Mar06 Feb17 Feb03 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00    
SLEW CITY TIZ Mar20 Feb06 Jan28 Jan06 Dec18 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
SOCIAL PROMISE Mar25 Feb20 Oct13 Sep14 Aug31 (rennie richard )CRUZ M 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
HULA PRANCER Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan23 Dec29 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 12.00    
HARBOR STRIKE Mar20 Feb13 Jan23 Dec15   (dennis g)HARVEY B 121 20.00    
CRYSTALIZED SECRET Mar25 Oct06       (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  IFEELGOOD UHH HUH Apr02         (gleason m)BARNES JOSE 121 20.00    
11  LOTSA SALITA Mar13 Mar03 Feb03     (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KOOL TAP DANCER Mar25 Feb17 Feb03     (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.