Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - April 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (9/1/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/10/3/5)-(9/1/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/10/3/5)-(9/1/10/3/5)-(9/1/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/10/3/5)-(2/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/10/3/5)-(2/4/8/3)-(5/12/9/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-2   WIN (2/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/3)-(5/12/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/3)-(5/12/9/4)-(3/8/6/4/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-3   WIN (5/12/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/12/9/4)-(5/12/9/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/12/9/4)-(5/12/9/4/1)-(5/12/9/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/12/9/4)-(3/8/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/12/9/4)-(3/8/6/4/10)-(7/1/8/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/8/6/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/4/10)-(3/8/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/4/10)-(3/8/6/4/10)-(3/8/6/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/6/4/10)-(7/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/4/10)-(7/1/8/2)-(7/4/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-5   WIN (7/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/2)-(7/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(3/2/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-6   WIN (7/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/2)-(3/2/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/2)-(3/2/8/4)-(4/3/5/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/8/4)-(4/3/5/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-8   WIN (4/3/5/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/10/8)-(4/3/5/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/10/8)-(4/3/5/10/8)-(4/3/5/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSE YOU ASKED Jan31 Dec20 Nov29 Feb18 Jan21 (mouton chadwi)VARGAS P 124 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  RIP RULES Feb12 Jan15 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 (giangrosso)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
MY UNCLE BILLY Feb14 Jan25 Nov26 Nov13 Oct19 (bernard john)ARANA KELVIN 119 4.00 12% 7.20    
FIRST CAPE Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jul29 Jul14 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 15.00    
MISSISSIPPI CO. Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
LA BOUCANE Mar12 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 Dec20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 20.00    
KAH NIGH Feb21 Jan29 Dec14 Nov29 Oct19 (dussette alvin)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00    
WHATDIDWEDO Feb14 Jan31 Dec27 Dec07 Nov26 (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.00    
MAXI BOOTS Feb20 Dec07       (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 5.00 32% 2.10    
10  WILDCATS'S MEOW Feb14 Jan31 Dec27 Dec07 Oct19 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
11  OLYMPIA HARBOR Feb22 Jan10 Dec13 Nov16   (ward ronni)ALBERT S 124 15.00    
12  WAY TOO TOUGH Feb14 Jan29 Jan15 Jan03 Dec07 (cormier cardel)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
SCR  WEDDING GIFT Mar12 Feb14 Jan30     (sanchez ju)ALBERT S 121 10.00    
SCR  MY HIGHMOON         (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
EVD-2   04/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA PALABRA Jan25 Jan08 Dec06 Oct25   (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
BET TOWINIT Mar21 Feb12 Jan16 Dec29 Dec06 (landry r)THORNTON G 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
GOLDEN BARCENTS Feb19 Dec19 Oct12 Aug09   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
LIAM'S MIST Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 Dec14 Nov22 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
WICKED SAILOR Mar14 Feb22 Feb05 Jan24   (lorefice matt)SINGH R 120 15.00    
TDZ DANCINLILSLEW Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 Dec14 Dec06 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 122 8.00    
CLEARLY CREDO Mar08 Feb12 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 3.50    
INCOGNITO BURRITO Mar01 Feb08 Jan16 Dec29 Dec06 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.00 6% 15.00    
 
EVD-3   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASSIE BEE Mar14 Feb15 Jan10 Nov26 Oct29 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LASSIE OF MINE by MINESHAFT)
INEZ Sep24 Sep10 Aug06 Jul03 Jun08 (jarvis robert)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of TENSAS CIEL by LEESTOWN)
PRODUCTION MEETING Mar20         (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 121 6.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of TUJUACAGOFAST by BWANA CHARLIE)
WELCOMETOMYHOLIDAY         (klanfer alan)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of GOTTAHAVEAHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
WELCOMETOHAZEVILLE Feb19 Jan30 Jan10     (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of CORA LEONA by LONE STAR SKY)
LYRICAL BELLE Mar23 Feb15 Feb23 Feb03 Dec29 (cormier hou)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 12.00    
  (by ELIJAH'S SONG out of BADGER BASIN BELLE by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
F J'S CHAOS Mar23 Feb19 Nov30 Nov13 Aug24 (maturin chad)VARGAS P 124 12.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of MYSTIC BLUE by GOLD SAGA)
POPPY RED Mar23         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 15.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of LAURIGOLIGHTLY by ARCHARCHARCH)
A WISH FOR JEANNE         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of A WISH FOR TRAVIS by MOONLIGHT DANCER)
10  DAY STORM Feb15 Jan28 Jan10 Aug22 Jul20 (escobar aliso)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 20.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of DEELITEFUL DAY by STORM DAY)
11  STORM SURGE Mar14 Feb19 Jan25 Jan03   (faul jason)MELANCON JANSEN 121 20.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of MAHOGANY STORM by FORESTRY)
12  CONGRATS CADET Mar01         (jeansonne )RAMIREZ JR 116 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BOHEMIAN BLISS by CONGRATS)
SCR  NIGHT TIZZY Sep24 Sep14 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 (beene linda)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 20.00    
  (by LUCKY TIZ out of NIGHT PARADE by PARADING)
 
EVD-4   04/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F J'S FLACO Mar20 Jan30 Nov14 Oct26 Aug24 (zenon shelton)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 6.00    
SLIM JIMMY Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan24 Mar24 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00    
COWBOY CAUSE Feb22 Jan17 Jan05 Dec04 Nov21 (litfin veronic)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
SAUCY ARGUMENT Feb22 Jan15 Jan02 Dec07 Nov14 (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 116 8.00 7% 12.90    
LOVE A FIGHTER Mar20 Mar06 Feb22 Feb01 Jan16 (morrell cy)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
MUNTALIQ Feb22 Feb08 Jan10 Aug03 Jul06 (flugence h)ALBERT S 124 10.00 10% 9.00    
BOBBY MERLOT Feb22 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 Dec11 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 4.50    
TAP TO CONNECT Mar23 Mar02 Feb22 Jan17 Dec07 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
GOLD CAPO Feb20 Jan30 Jan08 Dec18 Dec07 (giangrosso )SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 15.00    
10  MUNCLE Feb15 Jan29 Jan18 Jan03 Dec18 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  WATCH THE COAST Feb20 Feb05 Dec11 Nov30 Nov13 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 20.00    
 
EVD-5   04/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE EDGE SWORD Feb19 Dec28 Nov07 Sep11 Aug08 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
SPEIGHTFUL ONE Mar23 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan16 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLASHY LOVER Feb07 Jan25 Dec28 Dec06 Oct25 (dison phillip )ARANA KELVIN 117 20.00    
SAINT PETER'S BAY Mar04 Jan30 Jan17 Dec08 Jun02 (mouton chad)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.50    
SCR  MUD ON MY BOOTS Feb19 Jan29 Jan09 Nov29 Nov16 (giangrosso )SANTIAGO EDWARD 122 15.00    
GUITAR DOCTOR Feb21 Feb01 Jan15 Dec11 Oct23 (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
USUALLY WRONG Oct10 Jun08 Mar08     (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
MESA SPIRIT Mar09 Feb14 Jan19 Dec29 Dec13 (wong j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 12% 7.00    
INDIA INK (ARG) Feb13 Jan19 Dec29 Dec13 Oct10 (sanchez ju)RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00    
SCR  ONASA Mar21 Mar06 Feb13 Jan19 Dec26 (ladner chad)VARGAS P 122 20.00    
 
EVD-6   04/10/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
START SINGING Mar13 Feb28 Feb20 Jan26 Jan05 (duke steven)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
ALL ABOUT KATHERN Feb15 Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 Feb21 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HONEST ANGUS Feb05 Jan16 Oct30 Sep23 Aug03 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
GASTOWN Mar07 Jan31 Dec15 Nov23 Sep29 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
ROSIE'S ANGUS Sep16 Aug17 Aug03 Jun07 Apr17 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 10.00 16% 5.20    
DADDY HEY DADDY Jan25 Aug19 Jul01 Jun17 May25 (garcia lui)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00    
MIDNIGHT BELLA Mar13 Jan31 Dec22 Aug27 Jul16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  CINCY'S ANNA Dec19 Nov21 Nov01 Aug10 Jul04 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 2.50    
 
EVD-7   04/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO WHITE FLAGS Feb22 Feb01 Dec26 Nov30 Oct17 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00    
TODDCHERO Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov14 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
TAPE TO TAPE Oct18 Aug17 Jun29 May27 Apr21 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
HE'S JUST LUCKY Mar22 Feb27 Feb01 Jan08 Dec16 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LAGOON Jan28 Jan03 Dec11 Oct18 Jul11 (segura kearney)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
SCR  UN OJO Jan27 Dec30 Dec03 Oct29 Oct06 (courville ri)MAGNON H 122 2.00    
CAPTIVATING BOY Mar13 Feb13 Dec28 Nov01 Oct05 (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 12.00    
LAURI'S WISH Feb13 Jan11 Dec28 Nov23 Nov08 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-8   04/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE FACE Mar09 Feb27 Feb08 Jan27 Dec28 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00    
QUIK PUNCH Feb20 Jan18       (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 15.00    
TACLOBAN         (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 15.00 19% 4.30    
HIGHER CHARGE Mar19 Mar03       (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
OCEAN'S RULER         (grimal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
ABOUT THE BUSINESS Feb19 Jan16 Dec07     (alberto anto)BARRERA J 122 4.50    
PISTOL RIDGE KID Feb21         (fontenot cur)EDISON JOCELYN 117 20.00    
RAISE THE BET Feb19         (walker phillip)ARANA KELVIN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCOOTIN' BOOTS Mar19 Feb27 Feb08 Jan24 Dec28 (castille carro)THORNTON G 122 3.50    
10  THEBOYZ WARNING         (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
11  JONAS GRUMBY Feb27 Jan27 Dec29 Dec14 Aug31 (dandridge )RAMIREZ JR 117 6.00    
12  LUCKY BOURBON Feb27 Jan29 Dec28 Dec06   (zeno benjamin)FLORIAN JOSE 117 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.