Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - April 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(5/1/2)-(8/6/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(8/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(8/6/9)-(4/2/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/9)-(8/6/9/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/9)-(8/6/9/4/1)-(8/6/9/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/9)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/9)-(4/2/3/7)-(2/1/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/7)-(2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/7)-(2/1/5/3)-(6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(6/2)-(8/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(8/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(8/5/7)-(4/6/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/7)-(8/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/7)-(8/5/7)-(8/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/7)-(4/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAR MORE Nov20 Oct18 Sep14 Aug10 Aug01 (groves janice)GILBERT KYLE 120 5.00    
2  CRAZY ANITA Mar07 Feb08 Jan18 Sep21 Aug23 (gomez r)LARROSA G 124 4.50    
3  CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Mar15 Feb07 Jan11 Nov20 Oct31 (bass cu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00    
4  ALL ABOARD Mar06 Feb21 Feb14 Jan31   (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  DIRECT CAUSE Mar21 Feb19       (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 8.00 25% 3.10    
6  COAL COUNTRY Feb26 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.20 25% 3.10    
 
CT-2   04/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BOP Mar20 Feb22 Jan23 Jan02 Dec12 (craig e)GILBERT KYLE 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
2  MITOLE CANDY Mar20 Feb26 Feb08 Jan15 Dec04 (collyer jami)LEWIS M 122 12.00 12% 7.60    
3  BULL'S LEGACY Mar15 Feb26 Feb08 Jan31 Jan15 (rideout anthony)JORGE JULIO 122 4.00    
4  EXTRA DIRTY Mar29 Mar08 Jan23 Nov27 Aug22 (straughn will)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
5  TRUE INDY Feb22 Feb07 Jan23 Jan02 Dec12 (sanderson wade)CHILO MAXIMO 124 1.80 29% 2.40    
6  GHOST OF ALCINA Jul26 Jul13 Jun20 May16 Apr20 (murdoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.00    
 
CT-3   04/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICETECA Mar01 Nov26 Nov13 Aug24 Jul27 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 ★    
2  MY SLICK NICK Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 Jan16 Dec11 (conn p)DIAZ JR 120 30.00    
3  LONG TOM Mar21 Feb21 May22 May04 Mar30 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 20.00    
4  PRINCE OF PORTLAND Mar08 Feb22 Jan30 Jan16 Dec12 (aguirre ant)HAMILTON WESTON 122 5.00 ★    
5  LET'S EAT Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 Jan23 Nov27 (gillespie ryan)GILBERT KYLE 122 15.00    
6  ARREBATO Mar30 Mar06 Feb09 Dec12 Nov23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 21% 3.80    
7  BENISSIMO Mar13 Feb26 Jan29 Dec14 Nov30 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 20.00    
8  BORLETTI (IRE) Mar13 Feb19 Jan31 Dec20 Nov29 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
9  HE'S A COMMISIONER Mar13 Feb15 Jan23 Jan02 Nov30 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   04/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOSTER SHOT Mar21 Mar08 Feb10 Dec31 Nov19 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00    
2  MAIN LINE CIPHER Mar22 Feb12 Jan25 Dec28 Dec11 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Mar15 Nov15 Oct09 Aug30 Jun16 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 5% 18.70    
4  HONOR THE CROSS Mar05 Jan25 Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
5  SESAME STREEK Mar20 Jan25 Jan02 Nov01 Oct08 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 124 4.00    
6  ORDER OFTHE KETTLE Mar13 Feb22 Feb01 Dec13 Nov17 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
7  YANGARRA Mar15 Mar06 Feb07 Jan24 Jan15 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   04/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL RAINWATER Mar13         (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of VALLEE DE LAMOUR by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
2  AMALFI SUNSET Feb06 Jan03       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 1.20 68% 0.50    
  (by ROGUEISH out of MCGUIRE by CURLIN)
3  MISS SHACK ATTACK Mar27 Mar13 Mar01 Feb08 Jan25 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
4  FROLICKING LADY Jan15 Dec06 Oct16 Mar14 Dec16 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
5  SABURO'S VOW Mar13 Dec27 Dec14 Mar27 Feb29 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SABURO out of SPECIFIC PROMISE by SQUARE EDDIE)
6  NEXT AGENDA Mar06 Jan23 Nov20     (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUCCEEDING by SMART STRIKE)
7  SWAN Mar27 Mar13 Feb07 Jan18 Dec14 (gillespi)DAVIS A 124 5.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
 
CT-6   04/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN LADY Feb07 Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 Oct31 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50    
2  ARROWWOOD Jan02 Jul20 Jun01 May11 Apr12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Mar29 Mar01 Feb15 Jan23 Jan02 (murdock stephen)BOCACHICA O 122 1.20    
SCR  BOUNDTOBEOK Mar28 Mar08 Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 (brown kelton)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
5  RIVER REWARDS RVF Mar21 Mar06 Jan23 Jan04 Dec13 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 120 30.00    
6  FRENCHIES GOLD Feb07 Jan18 Jan02 Dec04 Nov14 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  MUSIC LASS Mar08 Feb21 Feb07 Jan15 Dec11 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
 
CT-7   04/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Mar13 Feb22 Feb14 Jan23 Jan03 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
2  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Mar13 Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 Nov15 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 8.00    
SCR  TWO TONS OF FUN Mar13 Jan31 Jan09 Jul24 Jul06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00    
SCR  SMOOTH RICO Mar15 Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 Nov21 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
5  EL GUNNER Feb26 Jan18 Dec21 Nov22 Nov01 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  IRISH WARLOCK Feb21 Jan18 Dec15 Nov16 Oct12 (farrior)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50    
7  RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Mar15 Feb27 Feb05 Jan16 Dec11 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOUL CATCHER Feb15 Jan16 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
CT-8   04/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIDENS BLUSH Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Jul06 May30 (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
2  SUNSHINE THEFT Jan08 Dec11 Nov07 Oct10   (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00    
3  MADAM SENATOR Jan25         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50    
4  WAC IS FAST Nov13 Nov01 Oct03 Sep20 Aug16 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  PRETTY COAST Feb01 Jan11 Dec04 Nov13 Oct26 (cruz jaime)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00    
6  TALAVERA Oct11 Jun27 Jun12 Jul07 Jun02 (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  FLEETNESS Mar29 Feb14 Sep26 Jul06 May30 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
8  NEVER MORE VALOR Mar13 Jan11 Dec27 Dec07 Nov17 (meister will)WHITACRE GRANT 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.