Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HOU-2   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(4/3/1)-(2/3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(2/3/4/5)-(8/1/7/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-4   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/5)-(8/1/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/5)-(8/1/7/4/2)-(2/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/1/7/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/4/2)-(8/1/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/4/2)-(8/1/7/4/2)-(8/1/7/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/4/2)-(2/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/4/2)-(2/6/3)-(1/4/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(1/4/5)-(1/3/11/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/3/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-8   WIN (1/3/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/11/2)-(1/3/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/11/2)-(1/3/11/2)-(1/3/11/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   03/21/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXECUTIVE POWER Feb02 Jan19 Dec13 Oct17 Oct08 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 46% 1.20    
BRUCELEA Mar01 Feb01 Nov15 Oct16 Oct04 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 3.00    
OPTIMAL COURAGE Feb16 Sep26 Sep03 Aug07 May20 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 121 4.50 27% 2.60    
QUINQUELA Mar02 Jan25 Jul13 Jun09 May24 (johnson leona)FUENTES MARIO 114 50.00    
CLASSIC RICK Oct24 Sep20 Sep04 Jul04 Jun08 (gelner j)PARKER L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TURQUOISE BLUE Feb16 Jan11 Nov15 Nov06 Oct16 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
WISH MAN Mar01 Feb02 Jan11 Dec12 Nov30 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
PHILO BEDDOE Jan04 Nov16 Sep28 Aug29 Aug03 (rengstorf ton)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00    
 
HOU-3   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNOLIA AVENUE Feb14 Dec27 Nov15 Oct16 Sep29 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEVILETTA Feb28 Feb02 Dec15 Aug23 Jul06 (asmussen )TRIANA JR 121 4.50    
HAYAI UMA May03 Feb10 Jan13     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
MATURITY DATE Feb14 Jan16 Dec21 Oct06 Jul17 (diodoro robertin)PARKER L 121 1.20 38% 1.60    
SUPER LUXE Feb28 Jan18 Oct16 Aug29 Aug03 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50    
 
HOU-4   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADE TRAVELER Mar02 Jul14 May26     (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of MORO JOY by MORO TAP)
GRIND JIM Mar02 Feb14       (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by GHURAIR out of BUMFOOJALUM by GRINDSTONE)
MR JAWS Mar02 Feb09 Jan25 Dec06 Nov18 (pish )MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 1.40 28% 2.60    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPANISH ANGEL by EARLY FLYER)
BRADIX Mar09 Feb21 Feb01 Jan10 Dec12 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by BRADESTER out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
XANDER S Mar02 Feb22 Feb09 Jan11 Jun15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
HANK RIDGE Feb23 Jan25       (k)DE CRUZ 119 30.00    
  (by RETIREMENT FUND out of HENYETTA by KING TUTTA)
IRISH BILLY Feb20 Jan08 Nov14     (ramirez e)SANCHEZ OBED 119 30.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ESS E CEE by LAWYER RON)
KEEP A COPY Feb22         (gustafson a)WETHEY JR 119 20.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of MIMEOGRAPH by ANGLIANA)
 
HOU-5   03/21/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY DREAMIN Feb16 Jan19 Nov25 Nov14 Oct17 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 117 15.00 12% 7.60    
MONEYLINE Dec29 Nov25 Sep29 Jul22 Jun30 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD PRIZE Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Nov30 Oct25 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 6.00    
PHILANTHROPER Feb21 Jan17 Mar22 Mar01 Feb04 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAGITTARIUS Feb02 Jan01 Dec14 Nov23 Nov07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00    
BISHOP CREEK Feb21 Jan25 May05 Mar22   (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 30.00    
GUNNY HIGHWAY Feb28 Jan25 Oct18 Sep14 Aug16 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
NERKY ROSE Feb28 Oct17 Sep18 Sep07 Aug22 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
MAGNA TAP Feb01 Jan04 Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 121 4.50    
SCR  RAIL TOWN Feb28 Jan04 Jan19 Oct21 Sep03 (willis mindy)PARKER L 121 15.00    
11  ROYAL COACH Feb14 Jan10 Dec19 Oct23   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 3.50    
 
HOU-6   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 35 M/F PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MAVIS Feb16 Feb01 Nov08 Jul13   (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 2.00    
GLITTERS ANDIE Feb22 Feb01 Jul20     (young bob)WADE LYNDIE 119 1.60 33% 2.00    
AUTISM RIGHTS Feb22         (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MUCHO VAPOR Mar09         (martin steve)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 3.00    
ALONG CAME THUNDER Feb22 Feb07 Nov22 Oct31 Aug31 (baldillez )PEREZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
PEBBLES B AWESOME Feb22 Feb01 Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
HOU-7   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3 F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL ALLURE Mar09 Feb07 Nov13 Sep01   (gustafson austin)PARKER L 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
SECURED Feb28 Jan19 Nov18 Oct02 Aug25 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50    
SWIFTWIND Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 Oct23 Aug29 (asmussen )TRIANA JR 122 2.50    
TAPIT FIRST Feb28 Jan17 Oct04 Apr24   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
ARSONIST Feb15 Jan19 Sep29 Sep05 Aug23 (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00 6% 15.20    
FLASH MASTER Feb28 Jan04 Nov23     (gourneau jer)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 12.00    
 
HOU-8   03/21/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZITI (FR) Feb21 Jan11 Oct05 Aug22 Jun16 (cappellucci dick)PARKER L 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
AIRO DINERO Feb28 Feb01 Jan12 Sep28 Jul14 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
MADE AN OFFER Jan31 Nov13 Oct11 Sep19 Jul06 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
STRIKE THE BELL Feb14 Jan31 Jan05 Jun15 May26 (eoff terry)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
SCR  IZE A BLAST Feb23 Jan25 Nov08 Oct10 Aug29 (cravens ronni)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
COUNTY SLUGGER Jan11 Oct09 Sep11 Aug30 Jun30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 8.00    
SCR  CHARLUCHE Feb23 Jan26 Nov02 Oct17 Aug24 (brinkman brett)DIEGO V 121 30.00    
CHATON ROUGE Feb21 May18 Apr28 Mar15 Feb20 (r)DE CRUZ 121 4.00    
SCR  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Feb07 Dec05 Oct04 Jul07 Jun21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 30.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY PRESENCE Feb07 Jan17 Jul14 Jun22 May05 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00    
11  KINKY MOON Mar08 Feb09 Dec06 Nov17   (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 15.00 19% 4.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.