Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - March 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(8/1/5/3)-(7/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (8/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/3)-(7/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/3)-(7/4/3/2)-(1/5/2/10/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(1/5/2/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(1/5/2/10/7)-(7/4/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/5/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/10/7)-(1/5/2/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/10/7)-(1/5/2/10/7)-(1/5/2/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/2/10/7)-(7/4/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/10/7)-(7/4/5/1)-(5/4/8/11/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/10/1)-(7/4/5/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(5/4/8/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/4/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/11/7)-(5/4/8/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/11/7)-(5/4/8/11/7)-(5/4/8/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   03/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT THE BEAM Feb27 Jan04 Dec18 Nov29 Oct19 (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 7% 13.80    
IN VRONSKY STYLE Mar03 Feb10 Dec15 Sep01 Jul07 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
WINNING BIG Feb20 Feb10 Jan28 Jul06 May24 (valerio g)GARCIA F 122 10.00    
THE SCENT Mar04 Feb12 Dec15 Nov16 Oct13 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
FORTY NINER GOLD Mar03 Jan25 Dec29 Oct20 Sep29 (fuentes ruben)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
TRIPLE PASS Mar03 Feb17 Feb05 Jan27 Dec06 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50    
NOW AND ZEN Feb22 Jan24       (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.50 68% 0.50    
RHODESIA Feb27 Feb10 Jan21 Jan13 Dec26 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
TUP-4   03/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRIVE TRAIN Feb20 Jan29 Dec31 Dec11 Nov20 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 13% 6.60    
SUPERSONIC ME Feb18 Jan14 Oct29 Aug28 Aug10 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
KLINKERBRICK Feb03 Jan14 Dec12 Nov29 Nov20 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
KAWAZAKI (IRE) Dec28 Dec13 Nov10 Oct13 Jun04 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 1.60    
YELLOW JACKET Feb10 Jan14 Dec26 Jan27 Dec01 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE MAN THE MYTH Feb18 Jan14 Dec26 Nov29 Nov20 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 12.00    
GOLDEN AFFAIR Mar06 Feb10 May04 Apr18 Apr03 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 10.00    
REBELLIOUS RED Feb25 Feb03       (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 124 5.00 56% 0.80    
 
TUP-5   03/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTPHAL Mar04 Feb10 Jan13 Dec27 Dec19 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 10.00    
EMPEROROFTHENORTH Jan22 Jan06 Dec05 Nov26 Nov11 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DENNARD Feb27 Feb11 Dec28 Dec09 Nov26 (baze robert)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
FORT LANGLEY Mar06 Feb18 Jan22 Dec05 Nov26 (gutierrez qui)MOJICA O 124 6.00 33% 2.10    
HONKY TONK HERO Jan22 Dec05 Nov12 Jun09 May01 (wolf a)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00    
CLAYTON DELANEY Feb11 Jan22 Sep15 Sep07 Aug17 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
PICAHOUSE Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 Jan15 Jan07 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
HANDSOME HARRY Feb11 Jan30 Jan08 Dec07 Sep26 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50    
 
TUP-6   03/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDDIE CROSSWIRE Feb10 Jan25 Jan11 Dec15 Dec01 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
ROYAL HALO Feb27 Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 8% 11.70    
GONNA GETCHA GOOD Feb19 Feb04 Dec01 May05 Mar23 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 5.00    
SCR  FED GRANT Feb27 Jan13 Dec27 Oct13 Sep21 (garcia f)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
SAINT PIO Feb19 Dec27 Dec18 Nov20 Sep24 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
YANKEE HUMOR Feb12 Nov21 Sep26 Aug19 Jul31 (vitali marc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00    
THIRSTY THURSDAY Feb27 Feb04 Jan14 Dec26 Dec03 (marin martin)HARVEY B 124 8.00 5% 17.80    
BARE BACK JACK Feb19 Jan27 Jan14 Dec26 Nov02 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
HEZADOOZIE Feb27 Feb13 Jan22 Jan14 Jan02 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 20.00    
10  CODE CHARLIE Feb10 Oct04 Jul03 Jun23 Jun01 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 10.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Feb11 Nov30 Nov20 Nov12 Jun26 (wolf ashle)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
TUP-7   03/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOGYA Feb26 Feb06 Jan16 Dec27 Dec03 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
DOMINEERING Feb19 Jan25 Mar01 Feb04 Dec30 (perkinson c)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
SCR  BEAUTY N THE BOLT Feb19 Jan20 Dec18 Nov23 Oct18 (silva l)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Feb20 Feb12 Jan24 Dec02 Nov05 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
TWELVE STARS Feb24 Jan29 Jan16 Dec30 Aug18 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 8% 11.70    
CHARLEY PAINTS Feb24 Feb12 Jan30 Jan07 Dec16 (kato akif)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
MASTERY KAT Feb26 Feb06 Dec07 Nov02 Sep15 (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 47% 1.10    
DENDERA Feb15 Jan31 Jan17 Dec26 Aug29 (dollase craig)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
CHASINGSERENDIPITY Feb15 Jan20 Dec27 Dec03 Nov09 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
10  DIPLOMATICA Feb06 Jan16 Dec30 Dec03 Aug18 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   03/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRYDENT Oct20         (sepich edwa)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00    
GLORIOUS OSCAR Oct25 Aug15       (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 121 15.00    
PETRIFIED Feb26 Jan18 Dec07 Nov16 Aug10 (belvoir van)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00    
EMPIRE WARRIOR Mar05 Feb02 Jan03 Nov16 Oct11 (silva pablo)MOJICA O 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
WAR ECHO Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 Jul22   (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 36% 1.80    
BOB'S KID Jan22 Jan09 Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
JUST KEN Jan22 Jan01       (o'haga)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
KARAOKE HERO Feb26 Jan29 Jan09 Nov25 Nov13 (gleason t)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 9% 10.40    
LAST VINTAGE Feb20 Jan03 Dec08 Jul04   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 15.00    
10  AMERICAN TANGO Mar10 Dec17 Nov25 Oct26 Oct06 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 20.00    
11  START THE MUSIC         (lawrence heath)KRIGGER K 121 10.00 7% 13.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.