Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/1)-(1/3/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/1)-(1/3/7/10)-(5/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/3/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/10)-(1/3/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/10)-(1/3/7/10)-(1/3/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/10)-(5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/10)-(5/3/1)-(7/6/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(7/6/5/2)-(9/3/6/8/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(9/3/6/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(9/3/6/8/11)-(1/3/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (9/3/6/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/6/8/11)-(9/3/6/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/6/8/11)-(9/3/6/8/11)-(9/3/6/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/6/8/11)-(1/3/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/6/8/11)-(1/3/5/6)-(8/6/7/4/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(8/6/7/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(8/6/7/4/10)-(3/4/2/9/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (8/6/7/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/4/10)-(8/6/7/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/4/10)-(8/6/7/4/10)-(8/6/7/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/7/4/10)-(3/4/2/9/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/4/10)-(3/4/2/9/7)-(4/6/8/2/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (3/4/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/9/7)-(3/4/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/9/7)-(3/4/2/9/7)-(3/4/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/2/9/7)-(4/6/8/2/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/6/8/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/2/3)-(4/6/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/2/3)-(4/6/8/2/3)-(4/6/8/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD MINISTER Feb21 Jan26 Jan08 Dec18 Oct29 (dimmett j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONEY IN MOTION Feb26 Dec22 Nov22 Nov08 Oct17 (arnett g)TOHILL S 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
3  MELODY WIN Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Sep27 Aug24 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 118 8.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Dec04 Aug30 Aug13 Jul18 Sep28 (dimmett jame)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
5  SMART JOKER Feb21 Jan26 Dec29 Oct17 Sep25 (kintz matthe)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
6  POINT LIAM Feb26 Feb02 Jan08 Nov28 Aug11 (pompay t)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 14% 5.90    
7  INDIO MARA Feb16 Jan24 Mar22 Feb23 Jan12 (smith robe)LEON SONNY 120 2.00    
8  MAPTITUDE Feb21 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Nov29 (agostini arth)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00    
 
TAM-2   03/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET EMPIRE Feb21         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 123 1.20 43% 1.30    
SCR  FIRSTFLASHOFMOON Feb21 Feb05 Nov08 Aug17   (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
3  STANLEY CAT Mar01 Jan31 Jan10 Dec27   (contessa gary )CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  HIGH PRINCE Feb07 Jan18 Dec29 Dec08 Nov01 (barboza j)LEON SONNY 123 5.00    
5  DANGEROUS DRIVER Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 Nov21 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
6  RAY'S BLUE WAGON         (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 118 12.00    
7  ARROW GHOST Feb23 Jan10 Dec27 Nov30 Sep06 (paramo martin)HESS SARA 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOTTAKEJAKE Feb14 Jan31 Oct28 Oct14 May17 (breed ron)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 20.00    
9  AMERICAN WIND Feb23         (drake robert)FERRER C 123 20.00    
10  STILL SHARP         (gardea abraham)MARIN SAMUEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   03/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT SMILES         (donaldson debra)BUSH V 118 15.00 9% 9.90    
  (by MSHAWISH out of TAP IT OUT by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  I'LL TAKE PERFECT         (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
3  PRINCESS NORMA         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by KHOZAN out of SPANISH CONCERT by CONCERTO)
4  MIT MONKEY Jan19 Dec21 Nov17 Jul30 Jun16 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
5  KADENA         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.20 40% 1.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of COR COR by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  SPEIGHTSOULCOMET         (smith ro)MARIN SAMUEL 124 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SOUL OF COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
7  CHANTALS HOPE Jan24 Dec28 Oct25     (munoz carlos)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
 
TAM-4   03/14/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE DOORMAN Feb26 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 Dec01 (barron r)GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
2  YONO Feb12 Jan10 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  OFF THE MEDS Mar02 Feb07 Jan19 Dec06 Nov04 (marrero nestor)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00    
SCR  LEAD OFF Feb26 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 Dec27 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 20.00    
5  AZURE SKY Mar01 Feb15 Jan31 Dec28 Sep27 (mendieta alejand)LEON SONNY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CATATUMBO Mar05 Feb15 Jan31 Jan25 Jan03 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  BALTASAR Feb22 Jan05 Dec28 Oct12 Sep25 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
8  GALACTIC EMPIRE Feb08 Jan19 Sep06 Aug02 Jul03 (correa maxine)MORALES PABLO 119 30.00    
 
TAM-5   03/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARK AND FITZY Feb12 Jan18 Jan01 Nov23 Oct06 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 4.00    
2  ARTIE'S ANGEL Feb08 Dec24 Aug25 Jul03 Jun08 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
3  E MINOR Feb12 Jan18 Dec14 Oct16 Sep11 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  LE GRIFFON Feb08 Jan19 Dec29 Oct05 Sep14 (avila carlo)FERRER C 122 15.00    
5  NAPOLEON'S WAR Dec24 Nov23 Nov02 Sep04 Aug01 (moysey e)HESS SARA 111 20.00    
6  MR CROWLEY Feb08 Jan04 Nov29 Sep22 Aug11 (harney heather)CASTANON L 118 8.00 15% 5.80    
7  YOU TALKIN TO ME Feb08 Jan11 Nov23 Oct11 Sep22 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
8  EDDIE THE GREAT Feb08 Jan18 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
9  FATIMA'S BLESSING Feb12 Jan11 Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
10  YES THIS TIME Feb15 Dec27 Nov24 Sep22 Sep01 (soler edisley)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
11  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) Feb15 Dec14 Oct13 Sep29 Sep05 (banks chris)GIL CIPRIANO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Feb22 Oct16 Sep20 Aug27 Aug06 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
SCR  POLICY OPTION Feb23 Feb08 Jan11 Jan01 Dec24 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  CATTIN Feb23 Jul21 Jun21 Apr27 Mar03 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 118 8.00    
 
TAM-6   03/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Mar07 Feb14 Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 118 6.00 30% 2.30    
2  DIOSA CATRINA Jan26 Jan12 Dec28 Nov17 Oct27 (wright michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
3  PURE ELEGANCE Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Oct20 Sep27 (barron ro)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  MURUMBI Feb28 Feb02 Jan15 Jan01 Dec18 (simone mi)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 6.00    
5  SING SCAT Feb28 Jan26 Jan12 Dec18 Nov30 (mendieta alej)IORIO MELISSA 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  SOLAIR Feb14 Dec28 Nov30 Oct22 Sep30 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIZ HERSELF Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 Jan28 Jan10 (rigattieri john)HESS SARA 111 3.00    
8  SWEET NOLA Feb02 Jan01 Dec13 Oct14 Sep30 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
 
TAM-7   03/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPITOL HILL Feb15         (mott william )MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEADOWSWEET by SMART STRIKE)
2  SIR OSCAR Feb08         (motion graha)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY SASSY SARAH by SUMMER FRONT)
3  MAGIC PATHWAY Feb15         (trombett)GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of GHOSTLY WIN by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  GRAHAMZILLA         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BILLESDON BESS by DICK TURPIN)
SCR  SACRED FIRE Feb21 Jan25       (vanwinkle david)FERRER C 119 30.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SOLAR SOLSTICE by BLAME)
6  MISCHIEVOUS HAN Feb21 Feb01 Jan03 Dec07 Nov16 (parra hernan)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00 25% 2.90    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of MISCHIEVOUS MAUDE by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  AUTHENTIC HONOUR Feb21 Jan18 Sep15     (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 12.00 19% 4.20    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HONOUR ISABEL by HONOUR AND GLORY)
8  UNCATALYZED (GB)         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by KINGMAN out of QUEEN'S CODE by DESERT CODE)
9  WAR FIRE Feb12 Jan25 Dec07     (lusk r)HESS SARA 112 30.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SUNNY DALE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  ROYAL'S PRIDE (GB)         (mott )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DUBAWI out of DELTA'S ROYALTY by GALILEO)
 
TAM-8   03/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JADES JAY Feb23 Jan24 Dec04 Nov23 Oct12 (vanwinkle david)HESS SARA 117 15.00    
2  GRAND PARK VIEW Mar01 Feb14 Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 126 6.00 16% 5.40    
3  KHOOLZAN Feb06 Jan09 Oct12 Sep14 Aug28 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.80 29% 2.40    
4  LITTLE LUKEY Jan22 Dec22 Apr14 Mar22   (ellebracht gar)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 17% 4.70    
5  GOWOKEGOBROKE Feb05 Jan22 Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 6.00    
6  COLORS Aug25 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar12 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 124 30.00    
7  PICCATA PRINCE Feb26 Feb05 Jan12 Dec29 Dec11 (spanabel kel)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  WIZARDOFEZ Feb26 Jan29 Jan10 Dec01 Oct11 (dominguez )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 6.00    
9  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Feb23 Feb09 Jan24 Jan04 Dec18 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 124 10.00 10% 9.30    
 
TAM-9   03/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GULF COAST GIRL Feb19 Jan26 Jan08 Dec20 Dec04 (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 124 12.00    
2  MISS BEE HAPPY Feb28 Jul21 Jun23 Sep21 Sep07 (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 12.00 6% 15.60    
3  UDIDN'TPAY Mar02 Jan29 Dec30 Dec18 Dec03 (ashmore coleen )CENTENO E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RED WREN Feb28 Feb14 Jan29 Jul08 Jun11 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
5  SISTER NELL Feb19 Jan26 Oct04 Sep20 Sep07 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00    
6  C. S. VIVACE Feb19 Jan26 Jan05 Oct27 Aug31 (baxter georg)MENESES MARCOS 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
7  PERMED Feb19 Jan29 Jan12 Dec18 Dec04 (pimental john )CASTANON L 124 10.00    
8  DAME CATHERINE Feb19 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Oct30 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.50 8% 11.50    
9  D CITY GIRL Mar02 Feb19 Aug02 Jul12 May31 (dobber w)HESS SARA 117 30.00    
10  TOO HOT TO STOP Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 Sep26 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 124 20.00    
SCR  UTOPIA ROSE Mar02 Feb16 Jan18 Nov29 Sep14 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 124 3.00    
SCR  HONEYCOMB Feb19 Jan29 Jan18 Jan01 Sep26 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 124 30.00    
SCR  AIN'T NONCENTS Feb22 Jan22 Jan01 Dec13 Nov20 (gardea abraham)COTTO L 124 30.00    
SCR  NELIDA Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Apr14 Mar30 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.