Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - March 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(7/4/3/5)-(3/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (7/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/5)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/5)-(3/1/6)-(10/7/8/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(10/7/8/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(10/7/8/6/1)-(5/8/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (10/7/8/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/6/1)-(10/7/8/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/6/1)-(10/7/8/6/1)-(10/7/8/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/8/6/1)-(5/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/8/6/1)-(5/8/2/3)-(1/3/7/5/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/3)-(5/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/3)-(5/8/2/3)-(5/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/3)-(1/3/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/3)-(1/3/7/5/9)-(7/5/9/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/3/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/5/9)-(1/3/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/5/9)-(1/3/7/5/9)-(1/3/7/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/7/5/9)-(7/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/5/9)-(7/5/9/10)-(3/9/6/8/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/5/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/10)-(7/5/11/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/10)-(7/5/11/9/10)-(7/5/11/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/9/10)-(3/9/6/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/9/6/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/8/7)-(3/9/6/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/8/7)-(3/9/6/8/7)-(3/9/6/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR STRICKLANDS ACE Feb21 Jan28 Dec13 Nov25 Nov02 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 5.00    
2  COMMERCIAL FLASH Feb01 May16 Apr19 Apr06 Mar10 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 5% 18.00    
3  COPPER MOON Jan26 Jan01 Dec19 Nov28 Aug16 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
4  SIENNA BREEZE Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Dec07 Nov13 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 120 4.00    
5  MYFRIENDSAWINNER Feb22 Jun28 May29 May10 Feb03 (gibson jonas)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  WON DAY Feb01 Dec07 Nov29 Oct26 Oct17 (landry r)THORNTON G 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
FG-2   03/03/2025 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M MO JOKE         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
2  DON'T BLINK Feb06 Dec28       (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
3  EXINGTON Nov29 Oct26 Aug29     (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 12% 7.50    
4  MIGHTY ERIU (IRE)         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  DON'T BE SALTY         (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS DEMANDING Jan20 Dec13 Oct19 Aug17 Jul13 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
7  BETTY'S DANCE Feb06 Jan17       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  RED ZONE Feb06 Jan10 Jan01 Nov20   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
 
FG-3   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RARE RUBY Jan25         (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  CARSON BAY Feb06 Jan10 Dec22 Oct26 Sep26 (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50    
3  GOLDEN IRISH Jan23 Nov28 Oct23     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  MAX'S REDEMPTION Feb16 Jan30 Jan01 Oct07   (toups brent)THORNTON G 119 3.50    
5  AUTUMN RHYTHM (GB) Feb06 Jan17 Nov06 Oct10   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 3.00    
6  BLACK GINGER Feb06 Jan10 Dec21 Oct03   (lopez elias)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-4   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN DIGITS Feb06 Nov05 Aug24 Jun29   (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  QUEEN'S KNIGHT         (ladner shane)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
3  CUSTOM FOR J J         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
4  FIRST SAMARITAN Feb20 Jan18 Jan02     (robinsjr aaron)FLORIAN JOSE 115 12.00    
SCR  ONE GRAND SLAM         (daigle)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
6  HIGHER CHARGE         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FINAL HALF Jan27 Jan02 Dec08 Nov23   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
8  YANKEESTROLGY Feb08 Jan02 Dec07 Nov14 Oct26 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 7% 14.30    
9  V CUT Feb08 Jan18       (roberson k)RIQUELME J 120 30.00    
10  THE WICKED CAT Feb16 Feb08 Dec14     (stall albert)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
FG-5   03/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSTY'S SUNRISE Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 121 6.00    
2  PIP SQUEEK Feb06 Jan25 Oct18 Aug23 Aug09 (landry r)THORNTON G 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
3  SMART IZZY Feb13 Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 Sep26 (hatche)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MO SMOKING Feb17 Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 Oct06 (rodriguez edua)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
5  VIV'S WILD ACES Feb01 Dec22 Nov30 Aug05 Jun25 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  MISS ROSIE Feb20 Jan25 Jan09 Dec20 Jul18 (gelner sco)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 4.50    
7  BROADWAY PEARL Feb20 Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 Sep17 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
8  MISS TARGET Feb13 Jan25 Dec18 Nov13 Oct17 (shamsie mike)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
FG-6   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENCES OHR         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 32% 2.20    
2  MIDNIGHT MARY Feb08 Jan10 Dec13     (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
3  SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN Feb08 Jan20 Jan01 Dec12 Oct23 (broussard jer)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
4  LITTLE BIT O STORM Jan20 Dec12 Oct23 Oct06 Sep13 (schwandt e)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
5  LAWS OF A NATION Aug15 Jul27       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 7% 13.90    
6  TARTARIA Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 Sep11   (leonard georg)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
7  DELICATE Feb06 Jan18 Aug22 Jul27 Jun28 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
8  BEAMER Feb08 Jan24 Dec22 Nov23   (calhoun will)MURRAY M 120 6.00    
9  LASKO LADY Feb07 Dec13 Nov06 Oct19 Sep27 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  TWO TIMER Oct30 Oct02 Sep10     (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
 
FG-7   03/03/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN VOW         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of KINKY VOW by PRIVATE VOW)
2  SMITTYS CHEETAH Feb06 Jan18 Dec14     (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 4.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of SMITTY'S SUNSHINE by SEEKING A HOME)
3  LADY STAR         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FLOWER LADY by FLOWER ALLEY)
4  LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN Jan28 Jan10 Oct16 Sep14 Jul25 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 125 15.00    
  (by LITTLEBITOFADEVIL out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
5  PRETTY PRAIRIE Feb06 Dec20 Nov29 Jun15 May16 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of ENDURING ERIN by KELA)
6  TOO SPICY         (schwandt e)ALBERT S 117 12.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of NO FUN by DENMAN)
7  TENSAS BOLT Feb06 Jul14 Jun14 May11   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 117 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TENSAS PATCH by BROKEN VOW)
8  TAKE TOO         (duhon joseph)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of NEW HOPE SEVEN by CARSON CITY)
9  ESKENFORAVE AND AK         (gabriel terry)CURTIS BEN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of ESKENFORMORE by ESKENDEREYA)
10  MO HAY BABY         (mouton cha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of DEAL FEVER by UNION RAGS)
11  SASSI IDOL Feb01 Dec21 Dec06     (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 117 6.00 ★    
  (by SASSICAIA out of SHE'S PRADO'S IDOL by SCREEN IDOL)
SCR  SECRET ROCKET Jan30 Jan10 Dec20     (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 125 6.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of MATERIALIST by BRAHMS)
 
FG-8   03/03/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE ALLIANCE Feb14 Jan17 Jan04 Dec12 Nov29 (zenon charles)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
2  IRON MOON Feb15 Jan17 Nov30 Nov05 Sep23 (ramirez julio)HERNANDEZ V 124 5.00    
3  TONTERIA Feb02 Jan02 Dec14 May21 May01 (jeansonne justin)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  GAME AND GORMLEY Feb05 Jan02 Nov21 Oct16 Jul05 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 4.50    
5  TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR Jan29 Dec15 Jul10 Jun29 May14 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
6  NERVY Feb14 Jan24 Jan09 Jul30 Jun15 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 13% 6.70    
7  STAR READY Feb14 Jan24 Jan02 Sep18 Aug20 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  PLAY MASTER Feb15 Jan16 Dec20 Nov16 Oct29 (escobar alison)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  JACKSON D Jan17 Dec14 Nov23 Sep18 Aug22 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.