Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/3)-(2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/3)-(2/3/8)-(7/3/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(7/3/4/1)-(10/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/1)-(10/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/1)-(10/4/1)-(6/9/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (10/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/1)-(10/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/4/1)-(10/4/1)-(10/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (10/4/1)-(6/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/4/1)-(6/9/4/5)-(5/1/2/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/5)-(6/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/5)-(6/9/4/5)-(6/9/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/4/5)-(5/1/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/5)-(5/1/2/8/3)-(5/8/9/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/1/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/8/3)-(5/1/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/8/3)-(5/1/2/8/3)-(5/1/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/2/8/3)-(5/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/8/3)-(5/8/9/6)-(8/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/6)-(5/8/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/6)-(5/8/9/6)-(5/8/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/9/6)-(8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/9/6)-(8/5/1)-(9/10/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/7/5/1)-(8/7/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(9/10/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-9   WIN (9/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/2)-(9/10/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/2)-(9/10/6/5/2)-(9/10/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL BIG BOSS         (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
PEACE CRUSADER Sep05 Jul11 May21     (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
FLIGHT WAY Feb13 Jan23 Nov26 Nov05 Oct21 (f)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BANK Feb14 Jan16 Dec08 Nov25   (fiesman robert)GILBERT KYLE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WAR THUNDER Feb01 Jan15 Dec11 Oct26   (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00    
WHISKEY AND WINE Feb14 Feb01 Oct30 Aug11 Jun19 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
R CHELLO Feb01 Dec06 Nov15 Oct24 Oct16 (shanley timo)DIAZ JR 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
RIP N ROLL Jan31 Jan17 Dec11 Nov29 Nov07 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00    
CHIPPER ME TIMBERS Dec15 Nov23 Aug23 Jul20   (lane j)BATISTA A 124 4.00    
 
CT-2   02/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOOD BROTHER Feb06 Jan25 Dec07 Oct17 Sep19 (viands stace)LEWIS M 122 10.00    
TOUR GUIDE Feb04 Nov24       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
VOODOO DEVIL Feb05 Jan17 Dec14 Nov15 Oct30 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
RETURN FIRE Feb14 Jan25 Dec15 Nov29 Nov10 (sanchez-sal)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 10.00    
ORANGE JUICE Feb06 Jan17 Dec13 Nov16 Oct31 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
SCR  BREWMASTER Feb07 Jan26 Dec20 Dec01 Nov09 (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
SCR  HONOR THE CROSS Jan25 Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 (capuano)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.20    
ALWAYS A WARRIOR Feb05 Jan11 Dec14 Nov03 May06 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 8% 11.10    
 
CT-3   02/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCO SUN         (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00 6% 16.30    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of CO CO HEART by DR. BLUM)
NICOLE'S STYLE         (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 124 15.00    
  (by FEELS ALL RIGHT out of SEAMLESS STYLE by SARDEGNA)
NO BRAKE NEEDED Feb05 Jan23 Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ABRAYA         (lane ri)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of S S FACTOR by SCIPION)
ZAPTASTIC Feb05 Jan23 Dec04 Nov14 Sep28 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 124 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHEERY OATS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Feb05 Jan16 Dec11 Oct12 Aug31 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of CAMILLE'S COMET by BUSTIN STONES)
CHASING COLTON Feb05 Jan05 Nov17 Oct18 Sep14 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by LEOFRIC out of HOBOKEN HONEY by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  ANNOINTED Feb05 Oct17 Aug11 Jun30 Jun06 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of AMBROSIA by FLAT OUT)
I WANNA ROCK Jan23 Jan04 Dec22 Nov29 Nov10 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 124 10.00    
  (by MOSLER out of ROCK SAPPHIRE by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
CT-4   02/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBELDE Jan18 Dec13 Nov01 Oct17 Aug16 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
CHICO CHARLIE Feb07 Jan04 Dec14 Oct29 Oct11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
SCR  HAZEDNCONFUSED Jan16 Dec20 Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 (mancilla carlos)MENA E 124 1.60    
QUALIFLY Feb06 Jan17 Dec13 May09 Mar15 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 22% 3.60    
DREAM RIVER Feb19 Dec11 Nov29 Oct19 Sep29 (leaf robe)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 8.00    
TAPIO (IRE) Jan17 Dec13 Oct10 Sep21 Aug22 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
SCR  KING'S OVATION Jan13 Dec02 Oct27 Sep21 Aug12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40    
SCR  JUSTIN FRONT Feb08 Oct29 Oct06 Sep11 Sep01 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 122 30.00    
SCR  Z U AT THE RACES Nov02 Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 (vaughn terry)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
10  BODYSLAM Feb06 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 25% 3.00    
 
CT-5   02/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BULLY'S NOTION Jan31 Jan18 Dec06     (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SILENT NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
POOGIE Jan31         (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
CREED CALLING Jan31         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
STARS OVER JUBA         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of LIANA STAR by LINE OF DAVID)
LOVELY ODDS         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of NOT EVEN FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
FIRST PRINT Jan31         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.40 60% 0.70    
  (by LAST PRINT out of ROCKET RIDGE by OFFICER ROCKET (GB))
SHULER GRAY Jan30 Jan18       (shuler r)WHITACRE B 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of ACUMEN by CINNAMON CREEK)
VIGILANTE Jan31         (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 20.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPITEAO by TAPIT)
CHANGES Jan31         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LOOKS LIKE TROUBLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CT-6   02/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNY HAD A NOTION Feb06 Dec13 Nov21 Nov01 Oct10 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
BIG SMILE Jan30 Dec12 Nov08 Oct03 Aug09 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
BONNIE BILL Feb06 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
JADE'S DREAM Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Jun20 May16 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 122 20.00    
SKI COUNTRY Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct03 Sep01 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
KIT KAT KIDD Jan31 Jan17 Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 12.00    
A FEW TOO MANY Feb07 Dec11 Nov06 Oct08 Sep17 (reynold)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
HAGLER Sep09 Jul21 Jun02 May24 Apr21 (collins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOHN HALL Jan30 Jan18 Dec29 Dec08 Oct25 (joy j)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00    
10  PROTA Jan18 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   02/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN PLUNGE Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 Oct24   (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
MOON ROX Oct04         (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
  (by ALDRIN out of TONI ROX by BROKEN VOW)
ALLFORMENONEFORYOU Jan31         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of GEMINI DREAM by GIROLAMO)
SCR  I'M A COOL QUEEN Jan30 Jan10 Dec06 Nov06   (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 122 3.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
PEACH PARFAIT         (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 10.00 18% 4.60    
  (by ALDRIN out of BRASS MAGNOLIA by GREAT NOTION)
KAYLEE'S FIREBALL Feb08 Jan31 Jan10     (clatterbuck fre)STANLEY O 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
BUTTERFLY EFFECT Jan31 Jan17 Dec12     (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 4.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MICHAELS BUTTERFLY by JUMP START)
OUR STREET ANGEL         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ROCKY'S ANGEL by ROCK SLIDE)
REDHOTCHILIPHILLY         (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of RED RING by EL CORREDOR)
10  MISS JANE PLANAR Jan31         (shuler r)HO WESLEY 122 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PLANAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CT-8   02/27/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE CHINITO Dec07 Nov07 Sep21 Aug23 Jul26 (reynolds )BOCACHICA J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BERTRAM FLIGHT Jan29 Dec13 Nov29 Nov06 Sep27 (rose davi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 30.00    
SCR  REMYS GUNSMOKE Feb19 Dec07 Oct19 Sep27 Sep14 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 15.00    
CORRELATION Oct05 Sep15 Aug05     (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 116 10.00    
OPTIMISTIC NATE Jan30 Jan18 Jan10 Dec20 Nov27 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Feb08 Nov23 Oct30 Sep21 Aug23 (straughn wil)LEWIS M 120 30.00    
CAJUN JOE Jan30 Dec11 Nov21 Oct10 Sep19 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 120 5.00    
PORK CHOP PETE Dec11 Nov22 Nov06 Oct12 Aug23 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 0.20 74% 0.40    
 
CT-9   02/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION BRANCH Jan31 Jan17       (shuler r)WHITACRE B 118 20.00    
DADIO Jan24 Jan17 Jan04     (hess jacob )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOUVAR         (foley )ARAUJO VICENTE 113 12.00    
I'M GREAT TWO Jan31 Dec04 Nov27 Jul07 Jul01 (baird mi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 30.00    
PAINT THE ALLEY Feb06 Jan17 Jan03     (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKE THREE Jan31 Jan10 Sep14 Aug15   (brown ronney)LEWIS M 124 4.50    
GOING TO OMBRA Feb06 Jan24 Jan10 Dec06   (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 3.50    
BLAZE FOR DAZE Jan31 Dec06 Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 (barber bo)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 30.00    
MUSICAL ENTOURAGE Feb13         (contreras ja)DIAZ JR 118 1.80 68% 0.50    
10  GRANDPA JOE Jan17 Dec11 Nov16 Oct26 Feb15 (craig a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 4.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  HUMOROUS Feb13 Jan17 Nov15     (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 118 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.