Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (6/7/1/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5/11)-(6/7/1/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5/11)-(6/7/1/5/11)-(6/7/1/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/1/5/11)-(7/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/5/11)-(7/1/5)-(1/6/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
GP-2   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(1/6/4)-(5/8/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
GP-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(5/8/4/2)-(6/4/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-4   WIN (5/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2)-(5/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/2)-(6/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/2)-(6/4/7/3)-(5/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-5   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/3)-(5/6/4)-(3/2/9/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
GP-6   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/2/9/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/2/9/7/8)-(6/5/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
GP-7   WIN (3/2/9/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/7/8)-(3/2/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/7/8)-(3/2/9/7/8)-(3/2/9/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/9/7/8)-(6/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9/7/8)-(6/5/2)-(3/2/6/12/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
GP-8   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/2/6/12/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-9   WIN (3/2/6/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/12/5)-(3/2/6/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/12/5)-(3/2/6/12/5)-(3/2/6/12/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   01/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($94K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOFIA PAOLA         (garcia rodo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JEWEL OF A CAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
BUNRATTY MANOR (IRE) May11         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SAPPHIRE RING by GALILEO)
SCR  GUMMY         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MOJGAN by FLATTER)
CDAKHAT (IRE)         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of ALANZA by DUBAI DESTINATION)
CAMEO Dec26         (munoz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of TRAPPINGSOFSILVER by TRAPPE SHOT)
STARSHIP IMPULSIVE Dec26         (dwoskin stev)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.00 47% 1.10    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of K P WILDCAT by INCLUDE)
STRIVER Dec05         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LONELY ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
GINGER N SPEIGHTSY Dec22 Nov17       (wilkes r)PEREZ EDGAR 118 30.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SPEIGHTSY HEART by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ALIA'S FAITH Jan03 Dec07 Sep14     (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 111 30.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of BILOXI PRINCESS by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
10  POP ROX Oct26 Oct05 Sep28     (depaulo michael)JARAMILLO E 118 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RED EXPLOSION by SIGNATURE RED)
11  BARBARA JOAN         (casse mark)ZAYAS J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LUCKNOW by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
GP-2   01/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWN IN THE BAYOU Dec19 Oct13 Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 (gonzalez oscar )JARAMILLO E 122 2.50 15% 5.90    
SPICY GUACAMOLE Dec19 Oct25 Sep27 Aug25 Jul21 (o'dwyer jere)ZAYAS J 122 3.50    
KILKENNY BELLA Nov03 Oct06 Aug03 Jul05 Jun07 (lizardi ampa)MORELOS E 122 20.00    
BONMATI Dec11 Oct20 Aug30 Jul20 Jul05 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
LADY O'BRIEN Dec29 Dec01 Sep28 Jul21 Jul06 (negrete javier)PANICI LUCA 122 15.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  SILJIM Dec21 Nov09 Sep22 Sep01 Jul27 (narvae)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
OYA THUNDER Dec19 Mar28 Mar01 Jan21 Dec16 (real manny)EGAN DAVID 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
 
GP-3   01/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS CHOICE Dec27 Dec05 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 (tessore brun)MORELOS E 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  NEW BABY Dec27 Dec05 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 122 20.00    
SONNY'S GOLDENLADY Dec05 Nov16 Oct19     (nunez eduardo)EGAN DAVID 122 3.00    
FASHIONABLE KITTY Jan09 Dec06 Apr26 Apr10   (seyler doug)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCESS DEB Dec19 Nov12       (zito nicholas )HENRY WESLEY 122 15.00    
ONE SPECIAL ACT Dec19 Mar17 Feb25 Jan13   (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 122 1.60 25% 3.00    
BURN IT ALL Dec27 Nov16       (garoffalo jose)RIOS M 122 8.00    
 
GP-4   01/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINTENON Dec04 Oct27 Sep20 Sep01 Jul26 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
HAKKIMI (CHI) Dec26 Dec01 Jul21 May24 Mar10 (sanchez amador )PEREZ EDGAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AWESOME WIND Dec08 Oct13 Sep15 Aug10 Jun22 (klesar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
BLUE SPEARMAN Dec26 Dec05 Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 (garoffalo jose)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
WARLORD CRUZAN Dec26 Dec05 Nov16 Nov03 Oct11 (luna luis)MORELOS E 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
DON'T ANSWER Dec26 Dec08 Nov24 Nov16 Oct11 (gonzalez os)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
ZIO LORENZO Dec05 Nov10 Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 (klesaris ste)ZAYAS J 122 3.00    
BEGANINGREENPOINT Dec26 Dec05 Sep01 Aug04 Jul20 (acker scot)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
GP-5   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTTURNO Dec06 Nov01 Oct11     (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 118 30.00    
SCR  BAD OBSESSION         (smullen heat)MORELOS E 118 15.00    
HE'S A DAREDEVIL Nov23         (antonucci m)EGAN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
GAIN Nov17 Oct19 Sep07     (dibona rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  ROAR OF THE BEAST Nov30 Nov23 Oct26     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 4.50    
BUZZ ROCKET Jan04 Nov30 Oct27 Sep27   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE Nov24 Oct13       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 13% 6.90    
LOVE HATE Jan04         (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 118 10.00    
MUSTANG BAY Dec28 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep06 (perez luis)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
 
GP-6   01/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEXICAN SUGAR Dec15 Oct05 Sep13 Aug24 Aug02 (coletti edward )JARAMILLO E 120 15.00    
CLEARLY COPPER Nov23 Sep16 Aug24 Jun20 Mar09 (ramsey nolan)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00    
LOVE MY JOB Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 Oct20 Sep21 (negrete javier)ROJAS RENZO 120 20.00    
WOW LUCKY Dec12 Nov24 Oct25 Sep29 Aug24 (lee f)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL DAME Dec15 Jun28 Apr20 Feb24 Jan27 (falcone robert)MARAGH RAJIV 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
DONTMESSWITHTESS Dec21 Nov30 Nov02 Sep27 Aug24 (wilensky sa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
PEMBERLEY Dec01 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Aug30 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
 
GP-7   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY LADY Dec20 Dec06 Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 (garcia ped)PIMENTEL JR 120 12.00    
MIGUEL'S BELLE Dec28 Nov24 Oct27 Sep29 Aug30 (de cerda)REYES LEONEL 120 4.00 13% 7.00    
MADNESS Dec29 Nov23 Oct13 Sep15 Aug24 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 115 1.80 39% 1.60    
R FIREBIRD Dec28 Dec07 Nov23 Oct20 Aug25 (budhoo steve)JARAMILLO E 120 10.00    
NO ACTION Dec29 Dec06 Nov16 Oct26 Sep20 (dobles elizab)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 30.00    
PHAROAHS BABY GYAL Dec20 Nov23 Oct25 Sep27 Feb02 (orseno jose)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
SHEZ SPEIGHTFUL Dec29 Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 Aug04 (jackso)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 15.00 7% 14.00    
BULLOCK Dec07 Nov16 Aug11 Jul21 Jun09 (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
DOVE IN CHARGE Dec06 Nov16 Oct11 Sep20 Aug03 (fawkes david)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 12% 7.60    
 
GP-8   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($96K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUSCAN GOLD May18 Mar23 Jan31 Nov04   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00    
THE THOR (CHI)         (sanchez ama)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HEARTENED Dec15 May11 Apr10 Mar09 Feb10 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
WHO'S THE KING Sep21 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 May31 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
GOD'S TIMING Dec04 Nov01 Oct04     (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 115 20.00 23% 3.40    
MALARCHUK Apr11 Dec08 Sep28     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
TIMEOUT Nov10 Sep21 Aug17 Jul19 Jun15 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00    
 
GP-9   01/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFER Dec19 Nov22 Nov02 Sep15 Aug25 (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 120 12.00    
GOODBETTERBEST Dec18 Oct18 Jul28 Jun29 May31 (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
STRAND OF GOLD Dec19 Oct18 Aug17 Jul17 Jun08 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  DIAMONDS FOR LILY Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Nov15 Aug02 (dye steven)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
CENTER STAGE Dec15 Nov04 Oct19 Sep20 Sep02 (mosco robert)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MUSICAL ROMANCE (GB) Dec19 Aug29 Aug11 Jul14 Apr21 (joseph saf)VAN DRAYDEN 120 6.00 14% 6.40    
IPANEMA PRINCESS (IRE) Dec19 Oct27 Oct18 Sep08 Aug11 (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 120 15.00    
SALS DREAM GIRL Dec19 Oct27 Oct05 Sep08 Aug10 (jackson gary)MORELOS E 120 30.00    
AVATAL HERO Dec12 Oct16 Sep28 Sep10 Jul18 (preciado guad)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
10  AMAZIN QUEEN Oct25 Oct05 Sep15 Jun22 Jun06 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  FISH MOONEY Oct17 Sep15 Aug18 Apr19 Mar16 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
12  COVENANT LADY Dec28 Oct17 Jul21 Jun18 May06 (granitz anthony)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 9% 10.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.