Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - December 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (3/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/2)-(3/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/2)-(3/4/8/2)-(3/4/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/2)-(3/6/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/2)-(3/6/5/2/4)-(4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/6/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2/4)-(3/6/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2/4)-(3/6/5/2/4)-(3/6/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/5/2/4)-(4/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/2/4)-(4/1/6)-(5/8/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(5/8/6/2)-(6/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2)-(5/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/2)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/2)-(6/1/4)-(3/8/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(3/8/4/6)-(4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/6)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/6)-(4/2/1)-(5/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(5/3/6/2)-(2/7/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/2)-(2/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALILNALOT Dec13 Nov28 Nov13 Oct18 Sep18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
THE BIG ENCHILADA Nov15 Oct13 Aug18 Jul27 May26 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEACH COWBOY Dec01 Oct26 Oct10 Aug25 Aug18 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
GOTTS GOT IT Nov30 Oct08 Sep18 Aug13 Jul08 (trombetta mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 8.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  PACO THE TACO MAN Dec13 Nov17 Oct12 Sep29 Sep08 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 125 1.80    
MISTER AGENT Dec20 Dec06 Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 5.00    
NANCY MADE MY DAY Nov29 Nov02 Aug23 Jul20 Apr07 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Dec06 Nov17 Apr27 Mar09 Feb02 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-2   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SASSY VALENTINE Dec07 Nov08 Oct27 Sep27 Dec23 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 126 3.00    
SIPPIN' TIME Nov28 Nov17 Oct25 Sep22 Aug28 (smith d)FUENTES ERICK 114 10.00 14% 6.20    
SWEET HONEY BEE Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Aug16 (stees a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 2.50 18% 4.60    
LUCKY PARTNERS         (mccue )LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
GIRL GONE WILD         (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 125 12.00 16% 5.20    
THIRD TUESDAY         (cox kenneth)HAMILTON WESTON 125 15.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  GOLDEN BOSS LADY Dec18 Oct12 Sep19 Sep12 Sep04 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 121 30.00    
INTEL AGENT Dec07 Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Sep07 (barr h)MENA E 126 4.50    
PROMAJA Nov17         (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 5.00    
SCR  ANXIOUS HEART Nov17 Oct13 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
11  LADY EDNA Nov08 Oct13 May31 Apr13   (salazar ma)BERRUGATE KENEDY 121 30.00    
 
LRL-3   12/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 2 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BJORN Nov09         (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  PAY BILLY Dec15 Oct26 Oct12 Aug07   (gorham michael )MENA E 119 4.50    
ANALOG JONES Nov17 Oct19 Sep21 Aug20 Jul23 (reid robe)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.50    
BESTFRIEND ROCKET Nov28 Oct26 Sep21 Jul27   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
ROLL ON JESSE Dec01 Oct25 Oct05 Sep15   (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
URBAN SYMPHONY Dec01 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep10 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOP BLOOD Dec13 Nov09 Oct31 Oct06 Sep15 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 115 12.00    
 
LRL-4   12/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE NITE CALL Nov15         (saville niall)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CLOCKSTRUCKTWELVE by MALIBU MOON)
PAP'S LIL PATRIOT         (milosev)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00 6% 16.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BALLAD by TAPIT)
SCR  HAPPY HOUR JOKER Dec08 Nov15       (salzman e)TORREALBA JG 122 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HAPPY HOUR HONEY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
NOT THE FIRST TIME Nov08 Oct03       (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOONLIGHT SERENADE by FR (DICTUS)
CHICKIN LICKIN Dec08 Nov15 Jul11     (figgins ollie)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of WHAT A LUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
READY FOR MAGIC Dec13 Nov30 Oct24 Aug23   (singh som)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00 6% 14.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MY MAGICIAN by STREET MAGICIAN)
SCR  WISP         (motion h )CARRASCO R 122 2.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY MIRAGE by SKY MESA)
GREATWHITEFLEET Dec08         (ambrogi leo)HAMILTON WESTON 122 8.00 32% 2.20    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THE NOW CROWD by TIZNOW)
FOUND GRACE Nov24 Sep26 Aug31     (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MINESTORM by MINESHAFT)
 
LRL-5   12/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINKIWINKI Dec06 Oct16 Aug22 Aug03 Jun21 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 2.50 12% 7.20    
SCR  LOVING CUP (JPN) Dec07 Aug16 Jul12 May24 Apr19 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 119 15.00    
MATTITUDE Dec15 Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep27 (magana j)TORREALBA JG 123 6.00    
BEACHFRONT BREEZE Nov01 Sep27 Sep14 Dec23 Nov15 (simoff andrew)RUIZ ELISEO 125 8.00 8% 11.20    
DI'S SURPRISE Oct10 Sep19 Aug29 Jul07 Jun09 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 122 5.00    
CUZ UR PRETTY Oct09 Sep17 Jul22 Jun10 May07 (reed lisa)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50 46% 1.20    
PEAK OF CHIC Dec06 Jan11 Dec08 Nov15 Sep25 (moore micha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
 
LRL-6   12/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEVISA Dec06 Oct23 Sep04 Jul21 Feb07 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00    
GOLDEN CAN Dec04 Nov15 Oct20 Oct10 Sep08 (mcmahon thom)TORREALBA JG 123 10.00    
UTTERLY ENCHANTING Nov15 Oct25 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 25% 2.90    
TAM CHAR Nov29 Nov15 Oct25 Nov02 Oct14 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 15.00 18% 4.40    
GENIEINABRIDLE Dec13 Nov15 Nov08 Mar29 Feb02 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.50    
SKIP THRU DA FIRE Dec06 Nov15 Oct24 Oct03 Sep19 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPEAK YOUR MIND Nov15 Sep29 Sep18 Aug03 May16 (cooney susa)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 30.00    
ANONYMOUSLY Nov15 Nov02 Oct20 Oct05 Sep27 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.40 20% 4.10    
SCR  BRAQUET Dec07 Nov14 Oct17 Oct10 Sep19 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 125 15.00    
 
LRL-7   12/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Gin Talking Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATLANTIS QUEEN Nov16 Oct31 Oct05 Sep11 Jun20 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of NO HAYNE NO GAYNE by HAYNESFIELD)
MY CHARM Oct31 Sep28 Aug31 Aug10   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ITSMYLUCKYCHARM by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
A SHAWTOWN GIRL Oct11 Sep14 Aug31     (deiter ke)HERNANDEZ A 122 30.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SMILES FROM SADIE by FREUD)
CAPRICE Dec07 Nov09 Oct09 Sep11 Aug14 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 0.80 59% 0.70    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of GRAND FOLLY by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  BEYOND BELIEF Nov09 Oct14       (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ABRACADABRA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
NOT TOO LATE Nov09 Oct09 Sep15 Aug19 Aug07 (st uriah)NO RIDER 122 4.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of DONNA GETYOURGUN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
LRL-8   12/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Heft Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRE PIT Nov16 Oct25 Oct04 Sep07 Jul23 (preciado guadalu)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TRUE MARTHA by CREATIVE CAUSE)
BARBADIAN RUNNER Dec07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 (walters henry)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of QUIET RUN by QUIET AMERICAN)
ONE MAN TEAM Oct31         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of HOLIDAY MUSIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SAXTON Dec07 Nov09 Oct04 Sep04   (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50    
  (by MOSLER out of WINNING THREAD by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SACRED THUNDER Dec07 Nov09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of ELUSORY by BROKEN VOW)
YARA'S QUEST Nov16         (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 122 8.00 18% 4.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of YARA by PUT IT BACK)
SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT Nov08 Oct09 Sep07 Jul28   (serey m)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BEERSHEEBA by LIMEHOUSE)
BLANCHES MULE Oct26         (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 122 30.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of LA DAME BLANCHE by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  BABY DUKES Nov27 Oct09 Aug24 Jul13 Jun24 (reid e)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FLATTER'S SECRET by FLATTER)
SCR  CRAB DADDY Nov27 Nov09       (albert l)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SO INNOCENT by BLAME)
 
LRL-9   12/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEACE OUT Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 Oct04 (meister w)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 30.00    
TRUE SUNSHINE Dec06 Nov29 Sep29 Aug04 Jul21 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 125 2.00 39% 1.50    
MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Dec06 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 Sep13 (leaf rob)RODRIGUEZ L 112 30.00    
PINOTSLILGIRL Jun09 May03 Mar30 Mar01 Feb21 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 125 10.00 9% 10.10    
SHAKE IT BABY Dec13 Nov29 Oct24 Sep29 Aug30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 8.00 5% 18.10    
SCR  LITTLE HOT MESS Dec06 Nov08 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 (sullivan )HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00    
DETERMINED BLUE Nov30 Oct25 Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 (frock charl)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.00 10% 8.80    
AT FIRST SIGHT Dec07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 Jun15 (mcmahon h)CARRASCO R 125 2.50    
YUMYUM EAT EM UP Dec13 Nov29 Nov15 Nov08 Oct04 (serey j)FUENTES ERICK 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.