Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (8/7/2/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/3/9)-(8/7/2/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/3/9)-(8/7/2/3/9)-(8/7/2/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/2/3/9)-(6/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/3/9)-(6/4/5)-(8/1/5/4/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(8/1/5/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(8/1/5/4/9)-(7/2/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (8/1/5/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/4/9)-(8/1/5/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/4/9)-(8/1/5/4/9)-(8/1/5/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/5/4/9)-(7/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/4/9)-(7/2/6/8)-(6/3/8/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (7/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/8)-(7/2/10/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/8)-(7/2/10/6/8)-(7/2/10/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/6/8)-(6/3/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/8)-(6/3/8/2)-(10/9/8/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (6/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2)-(10/9/8/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/2)-(10/9/8/5/2)-(2/7/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (10/9/8/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/8/5/2)-(10/9/8/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/8/5/2)-(10/9/8/5/2)-(10/9/8/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/8/5/2)-(2/7/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/8/5/2)-(2/7/5/8)-(5/6/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/8)-(5/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/8)-(5/6/1/2)-(3/1/8/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/2)-(3/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (3/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/6)-(9/8/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-10   WIN (9/8/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/6/7)-(9/8/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/6/7)-(9/8/2/6/7)-(9/8/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPESHECANRUN Oct26 Aug16 Apr12 Mar15 Feb23 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 5.00    
CUSTOM CANDY Nov14 Oct29 Sep03 Aug14 Jun28 (ramirez eduardo)BIRZER E 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Oct29 Jun20 Apr13 Jan11 Nov25 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 120 12.00 11% 8.50    
MYDEALOFTHEDAY Jun13 Apr27 Feb21 Feb01 Jan05 (constantine)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
SHEZA HOT STORM Oct29 Aug16 Jul06 Jun15 Apr10 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
MAXIMUM MOXIE Oct18 Aug24 Jul18 Jun13 Apr25 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 12.00    
GIRL LIKES BLING Nov20 Nov07 Aug16 Jul25 Jun22 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
RAISE THE ALARM Oct29 Oct11 Aug10 Jun27 Apr10 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
HOT GOLDEN GIRL Oct29 Aug15 Jul19 Jun22 Jun08 (prejean raymo)VARGAS P 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUN NATALIE RUN Aug14 Jul11 Jun07 May18 May09 (ward ronnie)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 8.00    
SCR  LONG SHOT LOUISE Dec06 Nov22 Oct18 Sep26 Jul23 (ramirez julio)HERNANDEZ V 120 12.00    
SCR  ONE LINE RULER Dec08 Nov20 Aug16 Jul26 Jun27 (henry eric)VARGAS P 119 8.00    
 
DED-2   12/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACE DRIVER Nov23 May16 Apr26 Mar08 Feb09 (martinez a)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
GET THEM JUSTIN Nov02 Jul11 Jun14 Apr27 Apr11 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
HYPERBOLIST Nov22 Apr06 Dec08 Jun02 May05 (noel dane)BIRZER E 120 2.00    
LIFE IS A BANQUET Oct17 Aug10 Jul18 May31 Feb03 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 35% 1.90    
MR. B CAUSE Nov23 Nov02 Jul18 Jun08 May25 (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
IRON IN THE FIRE Nov23 Nov08 Oct11 Aug10 Jul04 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  DONEGAL FACTOR Jun22 May02 Apr11 Mar16 Dec18 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 4.50    
 
DED-3   12/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAT'S A GOODE ONE Nov21 Oct23 Sep24 Aug27 Jul05 (borel renay)VARGAS P 123 4.00 10% 8.60    
C. F. TINNY DEAL Nov26 Nov13 Oct29     (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 8.00    
D'BUSKER Jun08 May08 Apr24 Mar20 Feb25 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00    
A REAL EMBRACE         (bernard john)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 15.00 7% 13.80    
BIG BLUE ANGEL Nov07 Sep03 Aug16     (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 10% 8.70    
ORTHODOX DIXIE         (zenon charl)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 6.00    
SPICY MUSTARD         (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
VINO GRACE Nov26         (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
GLOSSY KATE         (delahoussaye tom)ROSIER R 123 20.00 7% 13.80    
 
DED-4   12/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMEVIEW Jan21 Jan07 Dec30 Dec08 Nov17 (johnson b)HERNANDEZ V 124 20.00    
RIFEY Oct18 Sep10 Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 4.50 25% 3.10    
AMERICAN SMOOTH Dec04 Nov09 Sep28 Sep14 Sep02 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
GOTTATAKEHIMTO Nov20 Oct18 Aug24 Aug14 Jul15 (patt jr)PEREZ CARLOS 116 20.00    
MOR BIG LEE Dec06 Nov09 Oct24 Oct02 Sep26 (ramirez-rod)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50    
CARBON STRYKER Nov16 Oct23 Jun29 Jun01 May10 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MUFFIN NUTS Nov22 Nov05 Oct17 Aug14 Jul03 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
STATE OF THE UNION Dec04 Nov20 Nov02 Oct11 Aug24 (flugence henry)DEONAUTH P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINT Nov16 Aug07 Jul19 Jun26 May28 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 124 12.00    
10  DOCTOR LEO Dec04 Nov07 Jul20 Jun08 Apr24 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00    
 
DED-5   12/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMIAN Jul06 Jun16 May26     (player fletche)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 15.00    
CALL ME RIP Nov14 Nov05 Oct06     (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MR LIAM AND ALAN Sep14 Aug21       (ramirez l)PEREZ CARLOS 118 1.80 29% 2.50    
A G'S GEM Nov29 Nov05 Oct16 Sep23 Sep02 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 6.00    
FLASHIN CHIP Nov24 Nov06 Sep17 Sep04 Aug01 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00    
OCEAN JACKPOT         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
SUPERHERO Nov22 Nov06 Oct16 Sep12 Aug05 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 123 4.50    
HOUSTONS EAGLE         (grimald)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 7% 13.70    
 
DED-6   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A TRUE TARGET Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 Sep02 Aug19 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
HERECOMESTROY Dec04 Oct11 Sep28 Sep19 Feb09 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
AUTUMN ROB Nov29 Oct19 May01 Apr19 Feb08 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 120 6.00    
MOON TRIP Nov21 Nov06 Oct16 Aug22 Jul27 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00    
ROULETTE Nov06 Sep16 Aug19 Jul31 Jun26 (bruno j)ROSIER R 124 15.00 5% 18.30    
D W STRONG Jun14 May31 May17 Apr18 Feb24 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00    
ALL SAINTS Dec04 Nov23 Nov07 Oct26 Sep09 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 5.00    
ALLIGATOR CRAWL Sep14 Aug26 Jun28 Jun01 Feb04 (gomez c)ARANA KELVIN 119 6.00 9% 10.10    
LITTLE WARRIOR Nov21 Aug06 Jun18 Jun04 May18 (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
10  GOLD CAPO Dec07 Aug10 Jul21 Feb10 Aug27 (giangrosso )DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
DED-7   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE'S ASTRO Nov20 Dec15 Dec02     (dunn ra)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 5.00    
WITCHOLOGY Oct29 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 5.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  MO COURAGE         (romero alvin )VARGAS P 124 10.00    
TRIPS TO WIN Nov05 Sep11       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
TOMS LUCKY MO Nov23 Nov01 Aug28     (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 8% 11.90    
DUE WE DARE Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 Jun19 May29 (pedigo randy)ARANA KELVIN 118 8.00    
BLUME Nov29 Sep23 Aug26 Aug07 Jun26 (johnson henr)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 8% 11.70    
ZONG'S FAVOR Nov05 Sep23 Sep09 Aug07 Jul02 (shamsie mike)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
ASTRONEER Nov13 Oct29 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 (garcia luis)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 15.00    
 
DED-8   12/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUZY DOLL'S READY Nov13 Oct12 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 12% 7.70    
MISS TARGET Nov13 Oct17 Sep04 Nov16 Nov01 (shamsie mike)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00 11% 8.50    
MADELYN'S HIT Nov16 Oct12 Aug17 Aug01 Jun13 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 119 3.00    
CUSTOM SUNSHINE Nov27 Nov06 Oct11 Jul06 Jun01 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
CAJUN CATALINA Nov13 Oct17 Aug10 Jun29 May24 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
MOION Nov16 Oct29 Aug01 Jul09 May31 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 119 4.00 14% 6.20    
DOLLY'S GUITAR May02 Apr12 Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
 
DED-9   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CZAR'S BALLERINA Nov27 Nov02 Sep24 Aug22 Aug09 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
GYPSYROSELEE Nov21 Sep18 Aug13 Jul29 May28 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.00    
NEW DESTINY Nov26 Nov09 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 3.00 25% 2.90    
PAYTON'S INDIAN Dec04 Oct19 Sep23 Aug26 Aug14 (borel renay)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
HOT PATOOTIE Nov08 Oct18 Sep24 Aug19 Jul18 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 12.00    
JERSEY HOTTIE Jul30 Jun05 May08 Jul21 Jul06 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 10% 8.60    
COURTLY DOC Dec05 Nov21 Oct26 Jul12 Jun06 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
BLESSED ANNA Nov21 Oct19 Sep07 Jul26 Jun23 (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 120 6.00 17% 5.10    
 
DED-10   12/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNIGHT'S GOLD Nov16 Oct23 Jul25 Jun15 May23 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 120 6.00    
MUNCLE Nov23 Oct23 Aug17 Jul19 Jul04 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JANET'S BROTHER Jun03 May21       (pomier chasey )ARANA KELVIN 115 8.00    
B D PRIMARY OURS Nov22 Jul05 Apr25 Feb01 Nov17 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 115 12.00    
CUPCAKE COWBOY Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 Aug14 Jun27 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 123 4.00    
RED ON THE HEAD Feb22 Jan13 Dec13 Oct07 Aug10 (boxie joseph )VARGAS P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN COUNTRY Nov16 Jun28 Jun13 May15   (dussette alvi)LOZADA CARLOS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
THREE SEVENS Nov16 Oct23 Aug24 Aug10   (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
DISTORTED MATH Nov23 Sep26 Sep04 Jul10 Jun25 (wong jonathan)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 3.00 57% 0.70    
10  IMPRESSIVE BIDDER Oct12 Sep04 Aug01     (norwood joh)RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 20.00    
SCR  RIP RULES Nov23 Nov01 Oct12 Aug10 Aug12 (giangrosso )RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.