Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Monday - December 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/5)-(5/4/1/7)-(4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (5/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/7)-(4/3/7)-(1/2/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(1/2/4/6)-(9/2/3/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (9/2/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/7/8)-(9/2/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/7/8)-(9/2/3/7/8)-(9/2/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (4/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/2)-(5/2/8/7)-(4/1/10/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/7)-(4/1/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (4/1/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/10/7/8)-(4/1/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/10/7/8)-(4/1/10/7/8)-(4/1/10/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 35 M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM DEFENDER Dec02         (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00    
COUNCIL'S JAZEL Mar01 Dec11 Sep02 Aug05 Mar05 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50    
K P BLAMENGAME Oct13 Sep28 Jun08 May18 May04 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00    
MARKED ACE Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 Sep01 Mar22 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 1.50 42% 1.40    
VEGUITA Dec02 Nov05 Oct23     (chavez ar)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
JAZZY RED Nov26 Mar08 Feb29 Feb09 Mar19 (gutierr)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 35 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REYNALDO P. Nov25 Feb08 Dec20 Dec04   (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00 9% 10.10    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of CONQUEST FLATTERME by FLATTER)
PEEKAY Nov05         (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121 2.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of TRICKY R. by FAVORITE TRICK)
RINGO         (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. GOLD MOVER out of ISLAND SHINE by HENNESSY)
JMARK Nov25 Nov12 Oct06 Jul20 Jun14 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by MARKING out of SHE'S PLAIN JANE by INTO MISCHIEF)
ON YOUR LEFT Aug18         (fincher w)ROSENDO J 123 3.00    
  (by MUSAITER out of AMY'S LYIN by STORMIN' LYON)
ARBITRO Nov25 Nov14 Oct28 Oct01 Sep13 (o)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
  (by CAPITOL GUY out of FAUZETA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
ZIA-3   12/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER OATH Nov19 Nov04 Sep28 Sep11 Jul03 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.00 39% 1.60    
BRADY BOY Nov19 Nov04 Sep28 Sep11 Aug31 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 4.00    
IMA BLING CAT Sep12 Mar22 Mar07 Jan19 Dec18 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
FACETIOUS Sep08 Aug04 May12 Apr28 Apr13 (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00    
KING BARON Dec03 Nov04 Oct16 Sep29 Aug31 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
HURTS SO GOOD Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 Sep21 Aug29 (ramaekers er)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00 5% 17.80    
GO RED RASCAL Jul27 Feb23 Jan25 Dec05 Sep03 (singh johnny)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET MARK Apr27 Mar29 Feb18 Jan18 Nov27 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
SHELL GAME Nov12 Oct23 Sep22 Aug24 Jul27 (more)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00    
MISS FLUFFY Nov11 Sep15 Jun16 Mar14 Dec18 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50    
JULIA'S PROMISE Nov11 Oct23 Sep28 Sep01 Aug02 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
KENTUCKY GOLD Nov25 Nov05 Oct11 Jun09 Apr07 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
KAYE Nov11 Aug23 Feb15 Jan12 Aug05 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 4.00    
SCR  QUEEN HADASSAH Nov11 Feb15 Jan05 Dec19 Oct08 (marlin i)HEBERT J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN AWAY BAY Nov11 Aug23 Jul27 Mar29 Feb09 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 3.50    
LEONAS GIRL Nov11 Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 Sep07 (m)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
LIL MISS CASSIE Jul28 May18 Apr21 Apr13 Mar28 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCARY CHERRY Nov25 Nov05 May19 Apr27 Mar29 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 119 1.40 40% 1.50    
MS. POUNDS Nov25 Nov11 Nov14     (green greg)MEDELLIN A 119 4.00    
SCR  MARKING'S MIRACLE Nov11 Dec11 Nov20 Oct28 Aug05 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00    
DREAM MONEY Nov05 Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 Nov14 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-6   12/09/2024 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DURANGO JESS May19 May05 Apr13 Mar06 May27 (wheeler t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.00 35% 1.90    
COYSTER Nov19 Nov11 Jul28 Dec05 Nov20 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  FOLLOW THE FACTS Nov19 Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 May12 (chacon se)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 15.00    
WEDDING GROOM Nov11 May19 Mar19 Apr23 Mar14 (fincher leroy)JUAREZ J 123 4.00 13% 6.70    
JERSEY JOE Nov19 Nov11 Oct05 Apr04 Mar22 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 121 20.00    
HIT THE SEAM Nov19 Oct20 Sep27 Sep19 Aug24 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUNNINGINTHERAIN Nov11 May19 May05 Jan12 Sep03 (cross gary)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
WE NEED MARKETING Dec03 Nov12 Oct18 Sep26 Sep08 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ART CURATOR Oct27 Sep19 Sep06 Aug24 May19 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00    
GIVE N RECEIVE Aug24 Mar14 Jan26 Dec11 Nov07 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
RUNNING FOR GRACE Mar28 Feb01 Dec04 Nov13 Aug25 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 12.00 19% 4.30    
MI PRINCESA Oct11 Sep26 Sep15 Sep01 Aug02 (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 123 20.00    
STORMY DAME Dec03 Nov12 Oct11 Sep18 Aug25 (soto salv)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
COMFORTS JAZEL Nov11 Sep20 Aug30 Aug18 Jul20 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 15.00    
SHEZA GOIN COMFORT May18 Apr07 Mar14 Mar01 Feb08 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 8.00 7% 12.60    
MARQUEE'S STORM Nov11 Sep26 Jul19 Mar07 Feb02 (sanchez l)CARRENO J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY PEPPY Sep19 Aug24 Jul28 May19 Apr27 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 1.60 31% 2.30    
 
ZIA-8   12/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPETITIVE IDEA Nov26 Nov05 Sep29 Jan19 Jan05 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00    
LIBERTY FOREVER Nov04 Sep29 Aug31 Oct09 Aug17 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN OUTLAW Nov04 Sep25 May19 Apr21 Mar15 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
DEAN'S LIST Nov26 Nov05 Sep29 Aug29 Jul12 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 1.80 29% 2.50    
ELIOT NESS Nov19 Oct27 Oct06 Sep23 Aug25 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 123 30.00    
ALL THAT GLORY Nov04 Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 Jun13 (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00    
D D S EXPRESS Nov04 Sep25 Aug24 Jul28 May27 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 10.00    
LOCO LUNA Nov19 May19 Apr07 Mar15 Feb18 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 24% 3.10    
 
ZIA-9   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM LEADER Nov04 Oct16 Sep19 Sep02 Jan25 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00    
SAMBAS MARK Nov04 Oct12 Sep02 Mar22 Mar08 (fincher w)HEBERT J 123 4.50 19% 4.40    
MCTHANKS Nov04 Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 Jun09 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 12.00    
FLAGS FINALE Nov25 Nov12 Nov04 Oct11 Sep19 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 123 5.00    
DIABOLICAL STORM Nov25 Nov12 Oct11 Sep19 Jun09 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 1.80 43% 1.30    
TUCUM Nov04 Oct16 Mar22 Mar08 Jan18 (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 30.00    
STRAWBERRY WHISKY Nov25 Oct16 Mar22 Feb09 Nov27 (trujillo celi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DELBERT TOO Nov25 Nov04 Oct27 Oct11 Sep14 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  DIABOLICAL FIRE Nov25 Nov11 Aug24 Jul27 Jun08 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTILA THE DUN Sep25 Sep01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
TEQUILA TIME Nov19 Nov04 Sep12 Aug24 May19 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 4.00    
MY GOOD GOOD BOY Nov11 Sep25 Sep08 May11 Apr20 (sedillo car)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
GRAZEN BOY Nov18 Oct16 Sep20 Aug29 May31 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 2.00 20% 3.90    
CLAVICHORD Nov19 Oct25 Oct02 Aug25 Jul26 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 10.00    
THIRSTY ECHO Nov19 Oct25 Oct16 Oct09 Sep22 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 30.00    
BETTOR TRIP NICK Nov19 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 (garrett j)HEBERT J 121 20.00 13% 6.50    
TIMEHASCOME Oct18 Sep20 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
GODDARD Nov19 Oct12 Oct02 Dec20 Nov28 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 123 8.00    
10  FEEL THE BERNING Jan26 Nov13 Oct21 Oct06 Sep17 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 15.00 15% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.