Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - December 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/6)-(5/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(6/7/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/6)-(6/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/6)-(6/7/1/2)-(7/1/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/2)-(7/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/2)-(7/1/4/8)-(4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/8)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/8)-(4/5/3)-(3/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(3/4/6/5)-(7/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/5)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/5)-(7/6/1)-(6/2/12/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(6/2/12/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/2/12/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/12/11)-(6/2/8/12/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/12/11)-(6/2/8/12/11)-(6/2/8/12/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Nov20 Oct30 Oct09 Sep27 Sep08 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
2  PRIZE FIGHTER Nov22 Nov02 Oct24 Oct17 Oct04 (shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 8% 10.90    
3  SHIP THE GOODS Nov21 Oct17 Sep21 Sep12 Aug24 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 3.50    
4  INSIDE RISK Sep12 Aug17 Aug09 Jul27 Jun20 (caison jody)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 50.00    
5  OUTKISSED Nov21 Oct24 Sep29 Sep02 Jul18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
6  SUTTON VALLEY Nov21 Oct18 Sep19 Sep12 Aug12 (venham lyn )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  HEY BOOTS Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Sep02 Aug09 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 1.20 35% 1.90    
8  ADVANCE CASH Nov21 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
CT-2   12/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY MAN MARTIN Oct26         (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
2  BIG MO GEE Nov27 Oct26       (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50    
3  GALA STAR Nov14 Oct03 Aug25     (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 8% 11.90    
4  GUILTED Nov14 Oct03 Sep14     (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
5  RICK'SWARMHEART Nov13         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
6  TREE OF DEM Nov14 Oct26       (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BAYTOWN SUNDANCE Nov13 May09 Apr21     (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN FURY Oct17 Sep09 Aug25     (mcentee paul)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
 
CT-3   12/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN SEBASTIAN Nov14 Nov02 Oct08 Sep25 Aug25 (rideout anthony )ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MALEKES MAGIC Nov14 Nov06 Oct26 Oct10 Sep13 (aylor n)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  GETTIN SPICY Nov27 Nov16 Sep21 Sep14 Aug24 (boykins kevi)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
4  DOG TOWN ALLEN Nov14 Oct26 Sep27 Sep13 Jul26 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
5  LITTLE RICHIE Nov14 Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 Aug24 (gur battu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
6  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Nov14 Oct26 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 0.60 40% 1.50    
7  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Nov16 Jul01 Jun01 May10 Apr26 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 4.50 32% 2.20    
8  MONKEY WRENCH Nov16 Oct10 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
 
CT-4   12/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GODMOTHER Nov13 Oct04 Sep21     (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  BARAPHA Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Aug23   (conn linda )CESPEDES JHORMA 112 12.00    
3  BIT OF BLESSINGS Nov20 Oct31 Oct16 Sep19 Sep09 (collins tim)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
4  JUNE BELLE Nov13 Oct24 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (tobin e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.00 10% 9.10    
5  SHAMELESS VISIONS Oct24 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 Jun08 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
6  HOLD DEM Nov13 Nov02 Oct18 Oct05 Sep14 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
7  QUINN ELIA Nov13 Oct24 Sep14 Jul25 Jun07 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.20 44% 1.30    
8  SHESA BABE Nov13 Oct24 Oct04 Sep21 Aug01 (barber bobb)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   12/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL PACHO Nov06 Sep27 Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 (reyes d)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
2  GRANDY Nov07 Oct12 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 10.00    
3  SHOW TIME ALLEN Nov06 Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jul12 (harrison n)LARROSA G 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIC'D UP Nov06 Sep27 Aug03 Jun21 Apr19 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  KING KONTIE Aug31 Jul20 Jun16 Nov25 Oct14 (figgins l)CRUZ ANGEL 118 2.00 19% 4.20    
6  POWERED BY LOVE Nov13 Aug15 Jul04 May18 May02 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 5.00    
7  DORADO Nov07 May24 May09 Apr20 Mar29 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 3.00    
 
CT-6   12/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN PLUNGE Nov20 Oct24       (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
2  POPPY MAC Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 (sigler ron)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
3  MACNICK TIME Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep20 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of CHARITABLE TIME by CHARITABLE MAN)
4  SAUCY BOSS Nov20 Nov06       (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 122 3.50 9% 9.60    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
5  GOOD HOLIDAY         (craig armon)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISSION TRUE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  BUTTERFLY EFFECT         (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 8.00 9% 9.80    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MICHAELS BUTTERFLY by JUMP START)
7  PISTOL PENNY Nov02 Oct24 Oct04     (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LOVE THAT KELLY by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
8  SARONIC BAY         (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of RUSHLYNS TRIBUTE by FORESTRY)
9  KEEP SHINING ON US Nov20 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
 
CT-7   12/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 2 F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS LADY K P Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 Jul18 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 8.00 6% 16.30    
2  JEANNETTE THE JET Oct24 Oct04       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 15.00    
SCR  AUDIBLE THE PLAY Oct12 Sep20 Aug31 Aug03 Jun28 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00    
4  JUBA B WILD Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
SCR  LOOK AHEAD Oct04 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
6  SUMMON THE GLAM Nov02 Oct12 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
7  ZIP START Nov02 Oct12 Sep12 Aug15   (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.00 44% 1.30    
8  OVER THE BULL Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 Jun28 (sterling michael)ACOSTA D 118 6.00    
 
CT-8   12/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SLICK NICK Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 Apr26 Apr11 (conn linda )MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 20.00    
2  MOVING PICTURES Nov08 Sep13 Jul25 Apr28 Mar22 (craig armont)LEWIS M 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  PRINCE OF PORTLAND Nov14 Sep15 Aug31 Aug16 Jun07 (aguirre)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50    
SCR  WILL'S MUSIC Nov22 Aug30 Aug13 Jun13 May26 (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00    
5  HERE COMES RUSTY Oct25 Sep12 Aug31 Aug15 Jul11 (schottroffe edw)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
6  BIG SMILE Nov08 Oct03 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
7  SCHMEAR Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May16 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 30.00    
8  CHICA CHUCK Nov20 Nov14 Oct25 Oct03 Sep12 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 ★    
9  HE ROLLS Nov14 Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 Jul27 (collyer jami)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
SCR  DUBLSHOTOFCOURAGE Nov14 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 Aug02 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
11  STEAL THE CASH Nov27 Sep03 Jul01 Jun10 May18 (covello)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  NICO LUCKY Oct29 Oct15 Oct03 Sep09 Aug22 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOX N BEN Nov29 Nov17 Sep13 Aug31 Aug11 (magana)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50    
SCR  MORETHANICANHANDLE Oct12 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 May26 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.