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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Tuesday - December 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (5/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/4)-(4/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/6)-(4/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/7)-(1/6/5/2)-(8/4/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/2)-(8/4/5/1)-(7/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/1)-(7/8/2)-(7/8/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/4/3/2)-(7/8/4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (7/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (2/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1)-(2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/1)-(6/5/4/7/8)-(9/4/10/6/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-9   WIN (6/5/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/7/8)-(6/5/4/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/7/8)-(6/5/4/7/8)-(6/5/4/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/4/7/8)-(9/4/10/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (9/4/10/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/10/6/5)-(9/4/10/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/10/6/5)-(9/4/10/6/5)-(9/4/10/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE THE SENSES Nov12         (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of LETTHESENSEIN by STREET SENSE)
THATSATERRIBLIDEA Nov12 Oct09       (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.50 18% 4.70    
  (by PROCEED out of BEKAT BEKAT by LAWYER RON)
GHOSTLY THUNDER Nov12 Oct19 Jun15     (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of MIGHTY NICE by FLATTER)
MO MONEY MOLLY         (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MOLLY MY LOVE by DOME)
PUNKIN PUDDIN Nov12 Oct09       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 0.60 59% 0.70    
  (by PROCEED out of LESSTALKMOREACTION by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
MS TRES MORENA Nov12 Oct09       (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
CHEERS MISSCHARLIE         (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 8.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of DRINK MO HENNESSY by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
 
ZIA-2   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($26K) 35 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIG IT RIGHT Oct16 Sep22 Sep05 Aug23 May04 (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 15.00    
RAIL RUNNER Sep22 Sep05 Aug23 Jun14 May19 (olguin ever)MEDELLIN A 121 1.60    
DESERT PUNK Nov12 Mar15 Feb22 Jan11 Dec19 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
HARDY BOY Nov12 Mar28 Mar08 Feb15 Jan05 (marr h)HEBERT J 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
SGT MUSKETT Oct25 Sep06 Aug23 May04 Apr07 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 30.00    
MARK ME IN Oct25         (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
GIMME MONEY Nov05 Sep22 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
ZIA-3   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YIELD CURVE         (young don)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 30.00    
  (by CHIPSHOT out of HADIF I KNOWN by HADIF)
LA BELLA BELLA Sep25 Aug31 Aug02 Jun07   (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of LAURENTIDE ICE by INTIDAB)
MO MONEY TIME         (hone bart)JUAREZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MY BIKINI FELL OFF by ELUSIVE JAZZ)
INEEDAMARKER Nov12 Sep25 Aug18 Aug02 Jun07 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 0.60 68% 0.50    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
ON MY MARK Nov12 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Aug02 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 4.00 6% 15.00    
  (by MARKING out of PLENTY OF JOY by DIABOLICAL)
LA JOLLA BEACH Nov12         (vaughn lonnie)ZAVALA JULIAN 120 20.00    
  (by PROCEED out of KARISSA BALLERINA by HOLMES)
F S LIBERTY BELLE Oct09 Sep05 Jun15     (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of ACUTE BAND by KING OF THE ROXY)
BYE BYE HOLLEY Nov12         (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 6.00    
  (by MARKING out of ANNIS by TEXAS GLITTER)
 
ZIA-4   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN SOLO Nov12 Oct20 Sep26 Sep12 Aug17 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
STACKERS Nov12 Oct20 Sep12 Sep01 May27 (barrios)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAXIMUM BULL Nov19 Oct20 Oct09 Sep12 Aug23 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 1.80    
DAN WHO Nov05 Oct05 Sep18 Aug16 Apr21 (g)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
HEZEKIAH'S RULE Mar29 Jan18 Nov27 Nov13 Sep04 (marr h)FUENTES A 119 2.50 14% 6.30    
INDY'S SONG Nov19 Oct20 Oct06 Sep11 May19 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00 17% 4.70    
SHAME ON WHISKEY Nov05 Sep26 Sep01 Jul26 Mar29 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 10.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MAKUNOUCHI Nov18 Oct14 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
ICE AGAIN Nov26 Oct24 Sep28 Sep12   (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of CARD CLUB by AWESOME AGAIN)
TRUCKIN Oct02 Sep18 Sep02 Aug16 Dec08 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 4.00    
  (by THE VISUALISER out of ALWAYS A CHAMP by CHAMPALI)
GOLDEN GREEK Sep13 Sep02 Dec05 Oct18 Sep11 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MY BEST TEN by HARD SPUN)
GONZAGA Oct07         (whee)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 11% 7.70    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of ONEKNIGHTLEDO by SLEWDLEDO)
RIGHT IN FRONT Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 Mar29 Mar15 (chadborn ken)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of OUR ELEANOR by EDITOR'S NOTE)
PEVS DISTANT DRUM Nov26 Nov04 Sep18 Sep06   (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 121 4.50    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of FLYING DRUM by FORESTRY)
COMPELLING UNCLE Nov04 Oct02 Jul28 Apr21 Apr07 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMS TO REALITY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
ZIA-6   12/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR GOLD MAN Sep22 Sep07 Sep01 Jul29 Jun23 (gonzalez andr)JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
TEE ROY Nov12 Jul28 May12 Mar07 Feb22 (gomez steve)ZAVALA JULIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
WE NEED MARKETING Nov12 Oct18 Sep26 Sep08 Feb23 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50    
OTTOMAN EMPIRE Oct25 Oct05 Sep26 Sep08 Aug31 (wheeler t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
WIND RIVER Oct18 Sep22 Sep07 Jul28 Mar28 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00    
INDIAN NIGHTS Oct18 Sep26 Sep07 Aug17 Jun15 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 123 6.00    
BEACH RUNNER Aug23 Jul27 Jun16 Jun07 Mar26 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 1.80 58% 0.70    
MCGEORGE Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Aug10 Jul13 (garrett j)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00 13% 6.50    
TATAS JOE MARK Oct09 Jul20 Apr21 Apr04 Mar22 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LONZO WHO Apr07 Mar08 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAJORWAYHOME Oct12 Sep19 Sep06 Aug25 Mar22 (c)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
HOT CHARLIE Nov12 Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 Jun16 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 123 6.00    
BESITOS CRIMINALES Nov12 Oct04 Sep19 Nov14 Oct25 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 30.00    
WHERES BRAYDEN Nov12 Sep29 Sep22 Sep14 Sep07 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00    
HOLD ME ONLY Oct12 Sep29 Jul26 Feb29 Feb01 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHEREDOESTHECASHGO Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 May18 Feb22 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 1.60 58% 0.70    
MONIKER Nov12 Sep26 Sep12 Aug31 Aug16 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
DESERT DANGER Oct04 Nov15 Oct23 Sep15 Aug19 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTERSDON'TLIE Apr30 Jul30 May06 Apr02 Mar19 (mcarthur )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 30.00 6% 14.90    
TACTICAL ATTACK Nov19 Nov11 Aug29 Jul28 Jul14 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
KING BARON Nov04 Oct16 Sep29 Aug31 May19 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00    
PLAYING FIELD Sep29 Aug24 Aug16 Jul19 Jun15 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 10.00    
SCR  STORM BAYOU Nov12 Apr04 Feb23 Feb02 Jan18 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.50    
MENTIROSA Nov11 Oct25 Oct09 Sep25 Sep06 (martinez a)CARRENO J 123 15.00 18% 4.70    
WHAT AN IDEA Apr28 Feb22 Dec19 Nov20 Oct07 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
BIG CREED Oct16 Oct05 Jul28 May11 Apr27 (marlin i)HEBERT J 123 6.00    
HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 Jan05 Sep08 (chad)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASUAL ENCOUNTER Oct18 Oct04 Sep08 Aug24 Aug16 (g)DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Nov12 Sep08 Jul28 May18 Mar28 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00    
RAISE OUR FLAG Oct20 Sep26 Sep08 Aug16 May18 (garcia harold)CARRENO J 121 30.00    
INDIAN EXCELLENCE Nov12 Sep18 Apr04 Feb08 Jan18 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50 11% 8.50    
TURN ON ARCH Nov19 Sep18 Feb18 Dec11 Nov21 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 123 2.00 14% 6.30    
TIME IS PRECIOUS Nov19 Sep13 Aug23 Apr04 Mar14 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
BOSSY BABY Nov12 Oct18 Sep18 May18 May04 (martinez dann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 10% 9.10    
I WIN LIKA GIRL Nov12 Oct04 Sep18 Sep13 Aug23 (gome)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHOULDABEENACOWGAL May18 Apr04 Mar15 Feb08 Jan12 (cadena em)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BASIC Nov11 Oct27 Sep13 Sep05 Aug04 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00    
MIDNIGHT SUSI Nov11 Oct20 Sep29 Sep05 Aug25 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
SCR  PRETTY PEPPY Sep19 Aug24 Jul28 May19 Apr27 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50    
BIG HOPES Oct13 Sep06 Aug08 Jul28 Jun01 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
LOOKATHERGLIDE Nov11 Sep26 Sep12 Sep01 Aug01 (barrios bern)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
STORMY DAME Nov12 Oct11 Sep18 Aug25 Aug16 (soto r)MEDELLIN A 121 20.00 5% 18.90    
STAY BY THE BEACH Nov11 Oct27 Oct11 Sep18 Aug25 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
HOT LIL MESS Nov11 Aug25 May04 Apr10 Mar25 (wheeler t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
BELLA BABY Dec20 Sep15 Aug19 Jul23 Jun16 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
10  I GET STORMED Oct27 Oct06 Sep18 Aug25 Aug16 (gallegos )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
11  AND CHANGE Nov11 Sep16 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.