Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/5/4/1)-(7/5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(3/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(3/6/5/7)-(7/4/1/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/7)-(7/4/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/7)-(7/4/1/9)-(8/5/6/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/9)-(7/4/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/9)-(7/4/1/9)-(7/4/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/9)-(8/5/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/9)-(8/5/6/4/7)-(10/6/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/5/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/4/7)-(8/5/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/4/7)-(8/5/6/4/7)-(8/5/6/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/6/4/7)-(10/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/4/7)-(10/6/4/5)-(4/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/4/5)-(10/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/4/5)-(10/6/4/5)-(10/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/4/5)-(4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/6/4/5)-(4/9/6)-(4/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/6)-(4/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/6)-(4/9/6)-(4/9/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/9/6)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/9/6)-(4/1/6)-(6/7/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY MR POSTMAN Nov15         (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EARLY ANNUITY by LUFTIKUS)
2  TOODLESWASMYNAME Oct25 Sep12 Aug09     (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
3  RENEGADE RABBIT Oct26 Oct05       (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
4  SABER JET Oct26         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PAINT THE CORNERS by TIZWAY)
5  FORBIDDEN SPIRIT Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 Sep13 (clatterbuck)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 5.00 ★    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  BABY BOSS ALLEN Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  DIRECT APPEAL Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 1.60 64% 0.60    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CT-2   11/22/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD SWANN Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Sep14 Aug24 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00    
2  SCARLET REBEL Oct31 Sep21 Jun28 May07 Apr25 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
3  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Nov01 Oct12 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  LET'S DO THIS Oct31 Oct11 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 (aylor nat)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
5  COWGIRL ATTITUDE Oct31 Oct11 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
6  CEDAR'S WISH Nov06 Oct19 Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  JAMESTOWN ROAD Sep13 Jul29 Jun22 May31 May11 (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 12.00 5% 18.80    
8  AT THE HALF Nov01 Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 Aug03 (davis r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00    
 
CT-3   11/22/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAW Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Aug25 Aug17 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
2  PRIZE FIGHTER Nov02 Oct24 Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 (shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20    
3  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Oct18 Sep19 Aug03 Jul04 Jun08 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 5.00    
4  HEIR PORT Nov02 Sep21 Aug25 Jul18 May27 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 May27 Nov02 (grullon)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
6  YABBA DABBA DUDE Oct17 Sep26 Sep03 Sep30 Aug26 (heath g)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
7  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Sep11 Aug04 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 3.00 34% 2.00    
8  JAZZ MAN DO Nov02 Oct17 Jul27 Jul06 Mar01 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
9  MUNI MUNI SLEW Oct31 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Aug05 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDERRATED Oct31 Sep28 Aug16     (viands r)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
2  CAVENDISH Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 Sep01 Jul27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20    
3  SAM WHEAT Nov06 Sep20 Sep03 Aug16 Jul25 (huet k)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
4  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Sep21 Aug24 Jul25 Jan06 Nov11 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 6% 16.20    
5  RAMSEY Oct11 Sep12 Aug27 Aug15 Aug05 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
6  TOUCHED UP Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 Aug22 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00 8% 11.70    
7  WILL'S MUSIC Aug30 Aug13 Jun13 May26 Aug10 (payne )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CROWN THAT SAINT Oct31 Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 Aug15 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 2.50 39% 1.50    
9  ZALFIERRO Oct17 Sep29 Sep05 Aug23 Sep16 (lusk br)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
 
CT-5   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JULEE FOREVER Sep24 Sep06 Aug08 Jul17 Jun26 (martin shawna)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 12.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of ANGELNAULE by KILLENAULE)
2  KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Nov01 Oct11 Sep26 Aug23 Aug01 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
3  FUNNY SHE FIRED ME Oct12         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of FUNNY HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE Nov01 Sep06 Aug14 Jul07 Jun14 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50 10% 8.70    
  (by CURLIN out of NAKANO TAKEKO by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  MISS SHACK ATTACK Aug16 Jul06 Mar02     (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
6  SWAN Nov01 Sep20 Aug16 Jul17 Jun27 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
SCR  MALTESE ROSE Sep20 Aug16 Jun21 May03 Mar22 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 6.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  DEE DEE SIX Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May24 May03 (cipriano robert)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
9  COWGIRL NATION Nov01 Sep20 Mar27     (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DALLAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
10  JUST A RAINBOW Nov01 Aug23       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of GRISHAM by GRINDSTONE)
 
CT-6   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  O K SMARTY PANTS Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 Jul19 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.60    
2  WHALE OF A TIME Feb08 Dec14 Nov12 Oct25 Sep07 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
3  MAKAAN Oct11 Aug22 Aug01 Jun15 May30 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
4  BULL'S LEGACY Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 Jul27 May30 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  QUEEN NEFERTARI Nov07 Sep21 Aug22 Jul04 Jun13 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
6  YES TO LOVE Aug24 Aug17 Jul27 Jul16 Jun14 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESS MARGARET Nov09 Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 Sep21 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
8  CORTADO Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul11 Jul05 (hernandez cano )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
9  SMOKIN LADY Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 Jul20 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  GOODBYE ROMANCE Aug02 Jul03 Jun14 May26   (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS E BOOGS Oct31 Oct12 Aug23 May30 Apr20 (wilhelm tabi)LEWIS M 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  THEWITCHISGONE Oct12 Sep19 Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 ★    
3  MR. DUMBLEDORE Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 Jul25 Jun29 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00    
4  PORK CHOP PETE Nov06 Oct12 Aug23 Jul20 Jun15 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.20 71% 0.40    
5  BUBBA GRUMP Oct31 Aug24 Jul19 Jun27 May16 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
6  BAD LINEAGE Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FANCY CONCHO Nov07 Oct31 Jul26 Jul09 Jun27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50    
 
CT-8   11/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD SLEW Nov09 Nov01 Oct10 Oct03 Sep13 (ramos agosto)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
2  WELLING Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 (spriggs toschia)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
3  PROTA Nov01 Oct11 Sep21 Aug16 Jul27 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  MINXZLUCKYSTARFYRE Nov01 Oct05 Sep20 Sep08 Aug21 (magee k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Nov02 Sep02 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
6  YOU MUST CHILL Oct11 Sep10 Aug26 Jul01 May31 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  SHARP SHOT Nov02 Sep20 Jul10 Jun13 May06 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ICE BAR Oct10 Jun13 Mar30 Dec13 Sep08 (galligan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
SCR  BAHAMA CHANNEL Oct31 Oct14 Sep27 Sep08 Aug16 (comi ralph )ROBLES O 117 15.00    
SCR  MON GATEAU Nov02 Oct26 Oct03 Sep12 Sep01 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT Oct25 Sep11 Aug08 Aug01 Jul25 (harigeorgiou)BATISTA A 122 50.00    
12  UNCLE WATER FLOW Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.