Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - November 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (5/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/4)-(6/1/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/4)-(6/1/8/2)-(9/8/7/2/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-2   WIN (6/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2)-(6/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/2)-(9/8/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/2)-(9/8/7/2/10)-(3/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-3   WIN (9/8/7/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/2/10)-(9/8/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/2/10)-(9/8/7/2/10)-(9/8/7/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/7/2/10)-(3/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/8/7/2/10)-(3/2/5)-(13/10/5/1/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(13/10/5/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(13/10/5/1/3)-(6/2/5/1/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-5   WIN (13/10/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/10/5/1/3)-(13/10/5/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/10/5/1/3)-(13/10/5/1/3)-(13/10/5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/10/5/1/3)-(6/2/5/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (13/10/5/1/3)-(6/2/5/1/8)-(1/4/5/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/2/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1/8)-(6/2/5/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1/8)-(6/2/5/1/8)-(6/2/5/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1/8)-(1/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1/8)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/3/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/7)-(1/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/7)-(1/3/8/5)-(4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/5)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   11/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGARET P Oct18 Sep28 Sep02 Aug02 Jul05 (keefe timothy)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 10.00    
2  NOT GUILTY Oct24 Oct03 Aug16 Jul19 Jun22 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 124 2.50    
3  PROMAJA         (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00 14% 5.90    
4  MER SOLEIL Oct05 Jul26 May04 Feb11   (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUNA PATINA Sep21 Aug25 Jun14 May04 Mar22 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  WAMPY Oct10 Sep14 Aug10 Jul27   (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50    
7  WORRIES UNFOUNDED Oct11 Sep14 Jul20 Jun08   (geralis emanue)BOYCE FOREST 124 4.00 25% 2.90    
 
LRL-2   11/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN HEART Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 Aug17 Jul13 (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 123 12.00 18% 4.40    
2  CONGRESS HALL Oct18 Oct04 Sep21 Sep01 Jul20 (mcfarlane brando)CRUZ ANGEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LOOKING FOR WATER Oct26 Oct06 Aug31 Aug10 Jul05 (tessor)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 4.00    
SCR  MATOULA Oct12 Oct02 Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 (serey j)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 12.00    
5  MARLEY'S GHOST Oct20 Sep15 Aug30 Jul12 May05 (corrales jose)FUENTES ERICK 113 1.40    
6  CATCH THE KITTEN Oct18 Sep21 Aug11 Jul20 Jun29 (keil caitlin)TORREALBA JG 123 4.50 35% 1.90    
7  SWEET TALIA Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 Sep01 Jul28 (mcfarlane bran)PEREZ XAVIER 119 3.50    
8  ALWAYS FORWARD Sep27 Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 116 15.00 13% 6.50    
 
LRL-3   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUNDI Nov03 Jul06 May27 Apr26 Apr12 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 113 20.00    
2  DROPPING LEMONS Nov03 Oct05 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 (corrales jose)MENA E 124 4.50 9% 9.90    
3  SWEET HONEY BEE Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Aug16 Jun21 (stees a)BRICENO GREGOR 124 8.00    
4  TROUBLED DREAMS Nov08 Apr04 Mar24 Mar02 Feb10 (mckenzie dani)FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00    
5  TIA MAYIN Oct25 Oct12 Aug16 Aug01 Jul07 (salazar ma)BERRUGATE KENEDY 120 30.00    
6  A LOTTA MOXIE Oct27 Sep15 Jul20 Jun14 May15 (keefe timothy)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 12.00    
7  BOND'S BELLE Oct27 Sep22 Sep02 Aug02 Jul17 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
8  GRANUAILE Oct11 Sep14 Sep04 Aug12 Jul07 (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
9  RED HEAD ITALIAN Oct11 Oct18 Aug27 Jul21 Jun30 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
10  SIPPIN' TIME Oct25 Sep22 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 (smith d)ALVELO C 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-4   11/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOTT TWENTYTWO Oct16 Sep28 Aug28     (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50    
2  WORK FOR PEACE Oct24 Oct03       (capuano phi)BURNHAM MATILDA 108 5.00 25% 2.90    
3  CALLE DE ORO Nov08 Oct25       (corrales jose)FUENTES ERICK 109 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  NOTMYFIRSTRODEO Oct25 Sep28 Sep07 Jul24 Jun30 (salzman timot)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 3.50    
5  MILLIBAR Oct16 Sep26 Sep04 Aug02   (lawrence )CARRASCO R 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLASHY DUDE Oct10 Sep22 Aug04 Jul20   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 4.00    
 
LRL-5   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACO THE TACO MAN Oct12 Sep29 Sep08 Aug17 Jul08 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00 6% 15.30    
SCR  MR. HOUGHTON Oct27 May27 Apr21 Mar16 Feb22 (gaudet lacey)BOYCE FOREST 119 20.00    
3  BIGDADDYSBOY Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 (perri gin)HERNANDEZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ORDER OFTHE KETTLE Nov10 Oct13 Jul07 Jun22 May31 (garibay andres)ACOSTA D 119 15.00    
5  MIDNIGHT RENEGADE Apr27 Mar09 Feb02 Dec31 Nov26 (gaudet lacey)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
6  BOX N BEN Sep13 Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jun21 (magana jose)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
7  MISTER AGENT Oct26 Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 Jul21 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE SKIPPY Oct27 Oct17 Sep27 Sep14 Aug18 (garibay andres)MENA E 123 6.00    
9  NOBLE FISH Sep29 Sep07 Aug16 Jul27 Jun21 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 123 10.00    
10  ONE WAY TRAFFIC Oct27 Oct13 Oct06 Aug30 Aug17 (keil caitlin)ALVELO C 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  DANCE FOR GREEN Nov07 Oct10 Sep20 Aug17 Jul19 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 10.00    
12  MINISTER FOR MAGIC Nov10 Oct13 Sep20 Sep07 Jul05 (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00    
13  SHAPE NOTE Oct19 Sep08 Aug03 Jul05 May26 (dilodovico da)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00 30% 2.40    
 
LRL-6   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT MARGARET Oct25 Oct13 Aug16 Aug03   (corrales jose)FUENTES ERICK 112 10.00 9% 10.40    
2  X GENE Oct27 Oct19 Oct05 Sep13 Aug30 (capuano p)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  RASCALLION Oct24 Aug30       (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50    
4  LACHICAFORTEQUILA Oct19 Sep14       (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 30.00    
SCR  INTEL AGENT Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 (barr h)BOYCE FOREST 126 8.00 11% 7.90    
6  GLAMOROUS Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Jul07 Jun02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 4.00 37% 1.70    
7  ANXIOUS HEART Oct13 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul13 (mcmahon i)MONGAN COREY 110 6.00    
8  PAPERBACK EDITION Jul07 Jun15 May27 May04 Apr12 (eppler mary)ROBLES O 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  NEVER MORE VALOR Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Jun15 May03 (meister w)BETANCOURT R 124 15.00    
10  LUCKY HONEY Oct25 Sep19 Aug16 Aug02 Jun21 (keefe timothy)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 15.00    
 
LRL-7   11/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO BY TWO Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Aug16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 49% 1.00    
1A  YODEL E. A. WHO Oct27 Jul19 Jun25 May27 May07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
2  SAGRADA RAY Sep28 Sep05 Aug03 Jul19 Jun20 (capuano ga)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00    
3  BROTHER BRAD Oct05 Aug18 Jul28 May11 Mar26 (alvarado diane)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
4  HORNBEAM Oct27 Sep27 Sep14 Aug14 Jul22 (perri gina)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  WALK AWAY JOE Oct24 Sep28 Aug29 Aug08 Jul17 (capuano p)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00 10% 8.70    
6  IN THE DANCE Oct27 Oct12 Sep27 Sep15 Sep02 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.00    
7  RHUMJAR Oct12 Sep15 Sep02 Aug10 Jul28 (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   11/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOO MANY KISSES Oct06 Sep14 Mar16 Feb17 Oct29 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  MIDSUMMERS EVE Sep22 Aug17 Jul20 Jun01 Apr13 (keefe timothy)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 30.00    
3  RED HAT HANNA Oct27 Oct04 Aug30     (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  DEAD SEXY Oct24 Oct03 Sep08 Aug17 Jul26 (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 6.00    
5  OLD BAY Oct11 Sep22 Sep04 Aug02 Jul19 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUN CROSS Oct05         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50    
7  STOP THE CAP Oct20 Oct03 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 123 4.50    
8  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Jun12 May04 Feb04 Jan13 Dec01 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   11/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATSYOURBIGIDEA Oct20 May09 Mar29 Feb17 Jan06 (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00    
2  SHINING SPIRIT Oct02 Jul13 Jun14 May26 May04 (gorham michael )MENA E 124 8.00    
3  LOTTIE DENO Oct04 Aug31 Aug02 Jun27 May30 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  CONCRETE FAZE Oct27 Oct12 Sep07 Jul14 Jun22 (parram derric)FUENTES ERICK 114 4.50 25% 3.00    
5  BAILINTIN Nov01 Sep22 Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 (sanchez-salomo)TORREALBA JG 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  DEBT RELIEF Oct27 Sep26 Jul11 Jun13 May04 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 12.00    
SCR  LIL TEMPTATION Oct16 Sep28 Mar14 Feb07   (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.