Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - November 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(5/1/4)-(7/4/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(7/4/3/5)-(9/8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5/8)-(7/4/3/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/3/5)-(9/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/5)-(9/8/1/5)-(3/8/6/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/5)-(9/8/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/5)-(9/8/3/1/5)-(9/8/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/1/5)-(3/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/5)-(3/8/6/4)-(2/4/6/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/4)-(2/4/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/4)-(2/4/6/7/1)-(4/6/9/5/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/4/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/7/1)-(2/4/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/7/1)-(2/4/6/7/1)-(2/4/6/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/6/7/1)-(4/6/9/5/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (4/6/9/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/5/10)-(4/6/9/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/5/10)-(4/6/9/5/10)-(4/6/9/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICAHOUSE Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug23 Aug11 (bean a)TOHILL S 119 5.00    
2  REIGN OVER ME Oct25 Sep29 Jul26 Jun09 May05 (torres-casas al)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
3  FAYRUZ TRIBUTE Aug31 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 May25 (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SMOKEN HOUDINI Sep29 Sep18 Sep07 Jun09 Mar22 (rojero c)REYES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BENDETTIJOE Sep26 Aug15 May28 May06 Mar03 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 1.60    
6  HICKORY WIND Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 Aug11 Jul14 (velasquez rigob)CORBETT W 122 10.00 69% 0.40    
SCR  THREEBROTHERS Oct06 Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb02 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 2.00    
 
TUP-4   11/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Sep15 Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jun28 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  ATOMIC CANDY Sep13 Sep01 Jul28 Jul21 Jul07 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 5.00    
3  DENNARD Oct14 Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 (baze robert)REYES R 124 4.00    
4  CAJUN TREASURE Sep13 Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 Jul12 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  POPULIST Sep09 Aug14 Jul20 Jun10 May14 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  KO SAMUI (IRE) Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.50    
 
TUP-5   11/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Sep08 Aug16 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 (essex charles)REYES R 124 8.00    
2  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Oct09 Sep26 Sep17 Sep04 Jun04 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
3  FOR FUN Sep26 Sep11 Sep02 May18 Apr04 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
4  JOY IN THE BATTLE Sep15 Sep03 Aug21 Jul01 Jun26 (silva juan)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
5  SHE'S A KRAKEN Oct13 Oct07 Sep22 Sep15 Sep06 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 12.00 12% 7.60    
6  FALL MOON Sep14 Aug22 Jun29 Jun08 May25 (woolley be)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 5.00    
7  GYPSY WIFE Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 Jun29 May25 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  BEE A BALI Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 Aug18 Jul20 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 121 4.00 ★    
9  LAKER JET Oct06 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Jun23 (bean robe)JENSEN P 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONITA DIXIE Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May02 Apr24 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FAMILY TRIPS Sep28 Sep15 Aug24 Jul07 Jun22 (pe)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00    
3  SHE HIT A HOMER Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 Jun15 May18 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 ★    
4  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Sep13 Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
5  MO CONNELLY Sep15 Sep01 Mar19 Feb19 Dec31 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ASK ALICE Oct14 Oct06 Sep30 Sep08 Aug30 (gibson howard )REYES R 124 4.00    
7  JUSTIN'S LADY Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
8  ALWAYS GALLANT Oct06 Sep22 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 (belvoir va)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 5.00 37% 1.70    
9  RESERVOIR Oct04 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jul13 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-7   11/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARON'S SONG Aug11 Jul13 Jun09 Mar18 Feb26 (zimmerman )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
SCR  ANOTHERBOTTLE Nov02 Sep16 Sep04 Jun29 Jun15 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 119 4.00    
3  AWESOME ROAD Aug24 Aug05 May27 May05 Mar02 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 119 1.80 54% 0.90    
4  BLUES RAPPER Sep08 Aug30 Aug11 Aug03 Jul07 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRIFTER Sep29 Sep18 Sep07 Aug23 Jun08 (rojero c)REYES R 122 15.00    
6  WHAT A DUDE Sep27 Aug16 Aug01 Jun08 May11 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SURROUNDEDBYANGELS Aug25 Jun28 May25 Apr28 Mar18 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
8  LUTHER PASS Aug24 Aug04 Jun13 May17 Apr19 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
TUP-8   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXON TUFF Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 Jan30 Sep17 (matt wende)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUN SMITTY RUN Sep10 Aug23 Aug06 Jun28 Jun10 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 1.60 56% 0.80    
3  ROAD OF LOVE Oct18 Sep15 Aug11 Jul07 May11 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
4  BEER BEGONE Oct13 Sep16 Sep09 Jul28 Jun16 (silva-martinez al)KRIGGER K 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
5  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Oct13 Oct06 Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 (torres-cas)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00    
6  THE GOLDEN EGG Sep07 Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 10.00 6% 15.20    
7  MIDNIGHT KID Aug24 Aug16 Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 (castillo jo)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GREENBRIER Sep29 Aug31 Apr18 Mar28 Mar04 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
9  THIRSTY THURSDAY Sep29 Sep21 Aug17 Aug04 Jun28 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 8.00    
 
TUP-9   11/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUY THE RUMOR Sep01 Aug03 Aug28 Aug03 Jul09 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
2  CLASSIC ALPHIE Oct04 Sep21 Aug15 Jul21 Jul04 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
3  FURTHER EVIDENCE Sep25 Aug17 Jul14 Jun29 Mar07 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00    
4  CANDY'S CHROME Oct02 Sep13       (barraza s)MONTALVO C 124 5.00 35% 1.80    
5  FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Sep24 Sep18 Sep11 Aug21 Jul05 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 6.00 6% 16.30    
6  RUN BRYCE RUN Sep14 Jul26 Jun23 May11 Mar22 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
7  UNCHARTED Oct13 Jul04 Jun15 Apr07 Feb18 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
8  KEEP IT COMING Oct06 Sep05 Aug04 Jun30 Jun09 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 12.00    
9  DRIVE TRAIN Aug31 Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun14 (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 5.00 15% 5.80    
10  KNOCKOUT GUY Sep15 Aug31 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 (fearon joh)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE MAN THE MYTH Sep28 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul10 (woolley be)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
SCR  KLINKERBRICK Oct14 Sep22 Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.