Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(5/7/6)-(4/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(4/7/3)-(6/1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(6/1/3/2)-(7/6/9/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/2)-(7/6/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/2)-(7/6/9/3/5)-(2/9/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/6/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/3/5)-(7/6/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/3/5)-(7/6/9/3/5)-(7/6/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/9/3/5)-(2/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/9/3/5)-(2/9/5/8)-(5/9/8/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (2/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/8)-(2/9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/8)-(2/9/5/8)-(2/9/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/5/8)-(5/9/8/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/8)-(5/9/8/7/1)-(4/8/6/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/9/8/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/7/1)-(5/9/8/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/7/1)-(5/9/8/7/1)-(5/9/8/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/8/7/1)-(4/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/8/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/9)-(4/8/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/9)-(4/8/6/9)-(4/8/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE SONDE Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 Aug28 Jun15 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 4.50 6% 14.60    
2  SCARE DEM Oct26 Sep26 Aug24 Jul20 Jul06 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
3  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Oct19 Sep27 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
4  VALHALLA'S PALACE Nov01 Oct19 Oct11 Sep26 Aug17 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  EISELE Oct19 Sep26 Jul05 May31 May10 (hummer richa)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
6  JUST A FLIRT Oct17 Sep27 Aug16 Jul12 Jul05 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUN FOR REAGAN Sep27 Aug16 Jul05 Apr19 Mar16 (farrior a)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 27% 2.80    
 
CT-2   11/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREME DE LA QUEEN Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00    
2  LIME STAR Oct18 Sep27 Aug16 Jun08 May17 (conn linda )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 20.00    
3  MAD SWANN Oct18 Sep27 Sep14 Aug24 Jul06 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 1.80 ★    
4  K'S LANEE Oct17 Sep01 Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 6.00    
5  ALL CAPS Oct18 Sep28 Dec14 Sep29 Aug11 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40 71% 0.40    
6  POUR ME A DRINK Oct30 Oct05 Sep14 May30 May02 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ESSENTIAL MAGIC Oct15 Oct05 Sep18 Sep03 Jul25 (caison l)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Oct19 Sep27 Aug24 Aug01 Jun15 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00    
2  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Nov01 Oct11 Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00    
3  TIMO Oct25 Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul16 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  DR JACK FLYER Sep27 Aug17 Jul25 Jul08 Mar29 (farrior)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 1.60 48% 1.10    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Aug17 Jul12 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
6  TIMMY Oct19 Sep14 Jul05 May25 May04 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
7  EL DIVINO NINO Nov03 Oct17 Sep29 Aug31 Aug25 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 1.40 18% 4.70    
 
CT-4   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BUSTA Sep27 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun04 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
2  MO MOSCATO Oct10 Aug30 Jul12 Jun13 May22 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 12% 7.60    
3  BIG SMILE Oct03 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
4  THE COLORA KID Oct17 Oct04 Sep26 Sep14 Aug24 (smith collie)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
5  RESTLESS Oct11 Sep20 Aug31 Jul26 Jul13 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 1.20    
6  MOVING PICTURES Sep13 Jul25 Apr28 Mar22 Mar07 (craig armont)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
7  SWEET ASTA Oct19 Dec15 Nov23 Nov04 Oct06 (clagett chris)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
 
CT-5   11/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILENGTHATCOULD Oct31 Sep21 Aug15 Jul25   (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
2  BUKOVEL Aug31 Dec01 Nov18 Oct07 Sep14 (clagett c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
3  BRAVE SAND RIDER Oct25 Aug14 Aug01 Jun22 Jun01 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GERICAULT Oct18 Sep20 Apr12 Mar08 Feb15 (carlisle c)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50    
5  PAYNTED THUNDER Oct31 Jul17 Jun29 Jun14 May15 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUN ROCKY RUN Oct19 Sep19 Sep02 Jul04 Jun12 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  KNOCKOUT WIN Apr11 Feb28 Feb14 Feb07 Jan01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
8  GOLDEN AL Oct16 Sep28 Sep18 Aug31 Aug15 (bailon he)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
9  FUJI FIRE Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 Aug15 Aug03 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 20.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  REGGIESSCOTCHNSODA Sep20 Sep02 Aug25 Jul13   (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
 
CT-6   11/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK CLOUD Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 Aug24 Jul03 (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.00    
2  SHINEY GHOST Oct18 Aug17 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (aylor l)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ART'S LAST DANCE Oct03 Sep01 Jul25 Jul05   (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
4  J. WICK Oct18 Sep14 May18 May02 Apr06 (bass w)ADAMS L 115 5.00    
5  CATCHING STARS Oct18 Sep27 Aug22 Aug01 Jul21 (reyes ruben)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 12.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  FREE DROP BACH Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Jun15 (dunham )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.00    
7  THANK YA PETE Sep28 Sep06 Aug30 Aug02 Jul12 (schottroffe edw)GILPIN SEAN 122 12.00    
8  TRUSTME IAMADOCTOR Oct02 Sep01 Aug24 Aug19 Jul31 (frock a)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  ONE TRUTH Oct18 Sep28 Sep01 Aug02 Jul26 (joy kevin)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 12.00 22% 3.50    
 
CT-7   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUNDTOBEOK Oct18 Oct04 Sep14 Aug09 Jul20 (brown kelt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  AFLEET DIVA Sep13 Aug24 Jul20 Jun13 May13 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00    
3  SIX THE HARD WAY Oct12 Oct04 Sep12 Sep01 Aug22 (joy j)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
4  BAD TEMPER Oct12 Aug10 Jul12 Jun14 May27 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 5.00    
5  DIVINE FASHION Oct18 Sep27 Sep01 Aug02 Jul12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
6  RIDE THE RAPIDS Oct18 Oct04 Sep27 Sep14 Aug23 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
7  FLAT DISCOUNT Oct18 Sep27 Sep18 Aug03 Jul20 (ginter raymo)LEWIS M 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  WATERLOO ROSE Oct18 Sep27 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (o'neill m)GILPIN SEAN 120 10.00 6% 15.30    
9  LANTERN'S CANDY Oct05 Aug28 Jul27 Jul13 Jun13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
 
CT-8   11/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  S S CASINO GIRL Jun27 Jun06 Mar27 Mar06 Feb14 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
2  TAPTAP Oct24 Sep20 Aug21 Jul22 Jun03 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
3  BEVERLY'SACTINUP Oct20 Oct08 Sep15 Aug11 Jul14 (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 3.50    
4  FUNNY ROAD Oct17 Sep19 Jul26     (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  PORTIA'S HOPE Oct30 Oct20 Oct08 Sep24 Sep01 (dixon geoff)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 5.00    
6  ODDS ON MISCHIEF Oct17 Sep20 Aug15 Jul25 Apr18 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  FROSTY RIA Oct17 Sep20 Aug16 Jun06 Apr27 (grams tim)BOCACHICA J 120 15.00    
8  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Oct17 Oct01 Aug16 Jun27 Jun06 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
9  LUZIA Oct04 Aug22 Jul26 Jun20 Nov29 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  ODDS OF JOY Oct31 Oct18 Oct11     (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.