Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - November 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (7/2/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/1/3)-(7/2/9/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/1/3)-(7/2/9/1/3)-(7/2/9/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/9/1/3)-(4/3/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9/1/3)-(4/3/11/6)-(5/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/3/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/11/6)-(4/3/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/11/6)-(4/3/11/6)-(4/3/11/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/11/6)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/11/6)-(5/2/1)-(6/9/4/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/9/4/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/9/4/8/1)-(4/1/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/9/4/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/8/1)-(6/9/4/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/8/1)-(6/9/4/8/1)-(6/9/4/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/4/8/1)-(4/1/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/8/1)-(4/1/7/5)-(1/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5)-(4/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/5)-(1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/5)-(1/8/4)-(3/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(3/5/4)-(4/3/1/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(4/3/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-8   WIN (4/3/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/9)-(4/3/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/9)-(4/3/1/9)-(4/3/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROULETTE Sep16 Aug19 Jul31 Jun26 Jun12 (bruno dona)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00 14% 6.20    
BENISSIMO Oct19 Apr11 Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 (arey anthony)THORNTON G 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
R T'S D'ORO Oct16 Aug22 May24 May11 Feb15 (chevis a)STOKES J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
A TRUE TARGET Oct16 Sep02 Aug19 Aug07 Jul09 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
MOON TRIP Oct16 Aug22 Jul27 Jul11 Jun20 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 3.50    
MY STORY Oct16 Sep23 Sep11 Aug13 Jul29 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 10.00    
SAM'S PROMISE Oct16 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul25 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
MUCHO MACHO CAM Oct16 Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 (love alan)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 15.00    
BOBBY MERLOT Oct16 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
10  ROYAL DE BE Sep16 Sep03 Jul31 Jun18 Jun04 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 15.00    
 
DED-2   11/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYLAN'S DREAM Oct11 Sep14 Aug23 Jun29 May24 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 122 8.00    
SCR  GALAXY AFFAIR Oct12 Aug03 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 (west henry)HERNANDEZ V 121 20.00    
HIDDEN LOVE Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun13 May17 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 124 4.00 25% 3.10    
CUSTOM SUNSHINE Oct11 Jul06 Jun01 May18 Feb22 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  GOGO BOBBYJO Oct11 Aug16 May24 May03 Mar14 (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00    
MISSHEARTBREAKER Apr26 Feb07 Jan12 Jul29 Jun24 (delahoussaye brent)STOKES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL GIRL Aug12 Jun25 Jun08 May06   (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 116 15.00    
SCR  MEGANS MILLIONS Sep26 Aug20 Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 5.00    
COUNTRY ANGEL Oct11 Aug24 Jul06 May17 Mar01 (woodley j)THORNTON G 121 5.00    
SCR  ALL AMERICAN PAT Oct12 Sep18 Aug27 Aug16 Jul13 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00    
11  EXPECT A DANCER Oct12 Feb17 Jan12 Dec19 Oct06 (robbins ra)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50 14% 6.30    
12  R T'S CAJUN LADY Oct18 Aug01 Jun29 May24 May01 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 12.00    
 
DED-3   11/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZESTINY Oct11 Jul25 Jun20 May22 May10 (dison m)POMPELL L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ISLAND CABANA Oct11 Aug28 Jun15 May26 Feb02 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
MO CAN DO Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun13 Apr27 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 124 4.50    
TONI'S INFERNO Aug23 Jul06 Jun21     (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
CUNIMBUS Jul25 Jun20 May10 Apr17 Mar08 (briley lonnie)FUSILIER C 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
GEM BUOY Oct11 Aug28 Jun20 May22 May10 (west patrici)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
 
DED-4   11/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Oct12 Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 May04 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRUVY'S BANDIT Jul18 Jun27 May29 Apr19 Apr06 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
SCR  CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Oct16 Aug24 Aug03 Jun29 May09 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 117 6.00    
B W P SPIRIT Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jun08 May08 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
OJITOS Oct16 Sep25 Mar12 Feb07 Jan20 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 20.00    
BOURBON SPIRIT Sep17 Oct12 Sep22 Aug26 Aug06 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
BAYOU BEAUX Oct16 Aug23 Aug03 May08 Apr12 (ward ronnie)ARANA KELVIN 115 12.00    
STOMPING HOTROD Sep25 Sep17 Aug19 Aug07 Jul23 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MARKS PROMISE Oct16 May18 Apr27 Jan25 Jan06 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 4.00 22% 3.60    
10  ARKANSAS ZONG Aug23 Jul20 Jul11 Jun14 May24 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
SCR  SUPREME CAPO Oct17 Aug25 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 (sauceda jess)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  PATIO'S PORCH Oct23 Sep26 Sep02 Aug03 Jul20 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 8.00    
 
DED-5   11/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUDE DROP KID Oct19 Jul23 Jun11 May13 Mar06 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80 10% 9.00    
NATIVE STAR Aug09 Jun29 Jun14 Feb24 Jan06 (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00    
EL DEAL ME ACES Oct16 Jul30 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
THE BOSS SOSS Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 Jan20 Jan04 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 52% 0.90    
OTRA COSA Oct23 May04 Apr10 Feb03 Dec01 (larrosa jua)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PARTY AT JAYS Aug03 Jul24 Jun25 May22   (burkes bobby)LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00    
MIDNIGHT HALO Oct17 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 May10 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 4.50 7% 13.10    
CAJUN MISCHIEF Oct19 Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 Jun26 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
 
DED-6   11/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATEK Oct11 Aug22 Dec28 Nov29   (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
COUNTRY HIT Oct23         (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 119 5.00    
LT. TENT Feb22 Feb08 Jan18     (player fletch)VARGAS P 121 10.00    
SUPERHERO Oct16 Sep12 Aug05 Jul10 Jun05 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
FLASHIN CHIP Sep17 Sep04 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 4.00    
SCR  TAP TO CONNECT Sep04 Aug05 Jul10 Jun19   (nixon w)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 8.00    
SCR  GET A GRIP ON IT         (stemmans dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 116 15.00    
MR. RONNIE Oct12 Aug22       (averett ronn)BARRERA J 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
DED-7   11/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPECTRIER Oct03 Sep20 Sep07 Aug28 Aug17 (husak gary )MELANCON JANSEN 122 5.00    
CITY PARK Oct11 Sep23 Dec08 Oct26 Jun03 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 117 4.00    
EXECUTIVE ACTION Sep27 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul18 (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 122 1.80 57% 0.70    
UNANIMOUSLY Oct19 Sep26 Sep09 Aug26 Jul06 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
INTO WISHING Oct19 Sep23 Aug26 Jul24 Jun08 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 15% 5.50    
FORT BONZ Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May16 May03 (mojica a)PEREZ CARLOS 112 8.00    
TALK TO TOKEY Oct17 Jul06 Jun20 May30 May08 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 
DED-8   11/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY OUT FRONT Oct12 Aug15 Jun27 May09 Feb17 (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
QUICK ZONG Oct12 Jun13 May23 Feb10 Jan13 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00    
PERFECT EDGE Sep12 Aug25 Jul13 Jun29 Apr12 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
VOBISCUM Mar23 Feb17 Jan22 Apr23   (winslow janine)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.50 29% 2.50    
CATALINA DAY May30 May08 Mar10 Feb15 Jan20 (thomas lee)THORNTON G 117 8.00    
SCR  SALT SPRAY (IRE) Jun08 Apr21 Sep14 Dec17   (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.20    
MR. TEXAS CHARM Jul06 Jun16 May12 Jun24 Jun05 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 115 10.00    
LOUDERMILK Aug14 Jun08 May15 May01 Mar24 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 118 12.00    
AIN'T SO BAD Jun26 Jul30 Jul17     (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00 11% 8.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.