Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - October 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/1/4)-(4/2/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/2/5/3)-(7/4/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/3)-(7/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/3)-(7/4/3/5)-(8/5/3/1/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/5)-(8/5/3/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/5)-(8/5/3/1/10)-(10/3/1/6/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (8/5/3/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/1/10)-(8/5/3/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/1/10)-(8/5/3/1/10)-(8/5/3/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/3/1/10)-(10/3/1/6/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/1/10)-(10/3/1/6/9)-(3/4/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/3/1/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/1/6/9)-(10/3/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/1/6/9)-(10/3/1/6/9)-(10/3/1/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/1/6/9)-(3/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/3/1/6/9)-(3/4/6)-(1/7/9/5/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/7/9/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/7/9/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/5/8)-(1/7/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/5/8)-(1/7/9/5/8)-(1/7/9/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLRING BULLY Oct05 Sep19       (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GREATER PLAN by SECRET CIRCLE)
2  MIKES MO TOWN Oct24 Oct05       (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of LETSHOOTPOOL by FREUD)
3  LIKEAGENTLEMAN Oct10 Aug30       (brown keith )LEWIS M 117 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of UNIQUELY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
4  BRIGHT CHARGER Oct10 Sep29 Aug25     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 20% 4.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of A PLUS by SMARTY JONES)
5  EDISTO AIKEN Oct11         (epley jr)HO WESLEY 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
  (by STREET BOSS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  PRETTY SIXXY Sep28 Jul27       (grullon)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
  (by DON SIX out of PRETTY VENEZUELA by BIRDSTONE)
 
CT-2   10/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Oct10 Sep26 Aug16 Jun14 May23 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  ALLEN CAN DO IT Oct09 Sep21 Aug10 Jul25 Jun29 (hanagan lela)LEWIS M 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  JUBA BOUND Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 Jul24 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 122 1.80    
4  TALKING TEDDY Sep28 Aug15 Jul11 Jun01 May02 (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ONE CANDY CASTLE Oct11 Sep21 Aug15 Jul19 Jun29 (binning matth)ADAMS L 115 5.00    
6  ROCKING TO HOME Oct18 Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
 
CT-3   10/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOODOO DEVIL Sep19 Jun26 Apr16     (knudsen kent)THORPE DARIUS 121 3.00    
2  BRD COMPUTING         (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  CALL ME KAT Oct03 Sep13 Jul27 Jul06 Jun05 (dollinger-sthr)CHILO MAXIMO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOGNO FANTASTICO         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  WHISKEY AND WINE Aug11 Jun19 May14 May04 Feb01 (schottroffe edw)GILPIN SEAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHAPIN ELEVEN Oct03         (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 116 15.00    
7  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL Oct03 Sep13 Aug15 Jul27 Jul06 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 3.50    
 
CT-4   10/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Sep29 Sep07 Jul12 Apr25 Mar27 (atkins willi)LEWIS M 115 12.00    
2  WHISKEY WILD Sep21 Jul25 Jul11 Jul02 Jun15 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 15.00    
3  FORTES Oct19 Sep28 Aug03 Jun22 Jun06 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROCK ROSE Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 Jul03 Jun21 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
5  VALID REASON Sep28 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jun22 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Sep28 Aug22 Aug02 Jul03 Jun16 (martinez jose)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00    
7  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Sep28 Aug22 Aug02 Jul18 May09 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 0.60 60% 0.70    
 
CT-5   10/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGEND'S THUNDER Sep06 Aug12 Jul07 Jun23   (nuesch pa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MESA THUNDER out of DARK BLUE MIRAGE by RAINBOW BLUES)
2  JANES JENSEN Sep28 Sep13 Aug15 Jul06   (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SECOND MARRIAGE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  BOLD MIRAGE         (anderson p)CRUZ ANGEL 124 5.00 11% 8.20    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of DANICA by BOADINI)
4  HURRICANE JIM Oct17 Jul27       (jones michael)THORPE DARIUS 121 30.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of LAST SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  NO BRAKE NEEDED Oct17 Sep19 Aug22 Jul27 Jun13 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  JOEL'S BOY Oct16 Sep28 Sep08 Sep02 Aug24 (ovando me)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of UNDEFEATED MIND by DISCREETLY MINE)
7  D MAJESTICAL Feb02 Oct21       (viands r)BOCACHICA O 121 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
8  TOUCHED UP Oct19 Sep28 Aug31 Aug22 Jul13 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of ENHANCED by MALIBU MOON)
9  WELL SPOTTED Oct17 Sep28 Aug22 Apr12 Feb17 (viands r)ACOSTA D 121 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of JUST LOVELY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  EL REY DE PAPA Oct17 Jul27 Sep01 Aug11   (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TIME TO WINK by GIMMEAWINK)
SCR  GOLDEN AL Oct16 Sep28 Sep18 Aug31 Aug15 (bailon he)ACOSTA D 121 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SWAMP PASS ALLEY by QUALITY ROAD)
 
CT-6   10/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPEALING ROAD Aug15 Jul04 May23 Apr11 Mar20 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
2  SNEAKY LYNK Oct03 Sep21 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (boggs joa)BOCACHICA J 124 15.00    
3  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Oct10 Sep14 Aug10 Jul04 May21 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 5.00 17% 5.00    
4  MS. LADY T Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug24 Nov08 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
5  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Oct10 Aug15 Aug02 Jul04 Jun21 (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 15.00    
6  GIRLS PERFUME Oct05 Aug24 Jun14 May24 May03 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LOVE OF GRACE Oct10 Sep19 Aug15 May23 May13 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
SCR  DIVA ROSE Jun21 Apr11 Mar23 Feb28 Jan31 (craig lew)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
9  SERENA'S SERENADE Apr12 Feb23 Feb08 Jan06 Nov09 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MUSIC LASS Oct10 Sep21 Aug28 Jul04 Jun13 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 119 1.20 45% 1.20    
 
CT-7   10/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER BOURBON Sep27 Sep07 Aug25 Mar16 Mar08 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
2  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Sep21 Aug23 Jan04 Dec08 Nov30 (straughn wil)LEWIS M 115 30.00    
3  FURREAL Oct10 Sep13 Aug15 Jul04 May31 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 68% 0.50    
4  GEORGE Oct10 Sep19 May18 Apr27 Feb23 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00 9% 9.60    
5  ELEANORS JACK Oct10 Jun20 May02 Apr13 Dec16 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 4.50    
6  RIVER WARRIOR RVF Sep27 Nov09 Oct21 Mar31 Jan19 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   10/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVANESCO Oct03 Aug03 Jul13 May31 May10 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  KING OF LUCK Oct18 Sep26 Aug15 Aug03 Jul11 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
3  ROAD PUNCH Aug10 Jul26 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 15.00    
4  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Oct18 Aug15 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 (peltroche v)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 15.00    
5  GIO'S TOUGH COOKIE Jun21         (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 120 10.00 5% 18.50    
6  POUR ME A DRINK Oct05 Sep14 May30 May02 Mar27 (ramos mi)BOCACHICA O 117 12.00    
7  DIRECT THE SHOW Oct03 Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 Jun15 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
8  KARMA BUS Oct03 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 May09 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  TAKE YOUR TIME Sep26 Aug15 Jul20 Jun29 May31 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 6% 14.60    
10  SPYDYLEGS Aug10 Jul20 Jun08 May18 Apr26 (hess jacob )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.