Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/5/2)-(6/3/4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/4/2)-(2/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ARP-2   WIN (2/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6)-(2/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/4/2/7)-(5/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-4   WIN (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOGE OF VENICE Oct12 Sep15 Sep06 Aug23 Aug04 (thompson )IRONEYES R 119 5.00    
2  LEVEL Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 Jul28 Jul13 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  NOTACRY Oct12 Sep28 Sep15 Sep01 Aug25 (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
4  WILD FIREMAKER Oct18 Sep06 Aug25 Aug18 Jun29 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  ENDALE ARCH Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 Jul20 (lavanway day)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.50 ★    
6  PARLAY PETE Sep22 Sep14 Jul28 Jul14 Jun02 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
7  PRECEDENT Oct04 Sep22 Aug03 Jun30 Apr30 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00    
8  ROUGE SUNSET Oct06 Sep22 Sep06 Aug25 Aug18 (barriga luis)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
9  VITALE Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 Sep02 Jul28 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00    
SCR  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Oct12 Sep28 Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 (esquibel mark)LARSEN S 124 15.00    
 
ARP-2   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MISS DE BUY Oct04 Sep27 Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 (rushton te)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 3.50    
2  JAZZ BRUNCH Oct04 Sep20 Jun30 Jun22 Jun09 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  STOLEN HALO Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Jul14 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 15% 5.60    
4  LADY LANA Oct04 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 Jun02 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00    
5  GAME TO PLAY Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 Sep13 Aug31 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 10.00    
6  MELODY ROSE Oct13 Sep29 Aug11 Aug04 Jun23 (scudder rick)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  NORTHERN GEM Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jul12 Jun22 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00    
8  MISS GRAND SLAM Oct05 Sep28 Sep21 Sep01 Aug17 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 124 5.00 13% 6.70    
 
ARP-3   10/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON BEACH Sep18 Aug23 Jul20 Jun30 Jun16 (dieter dalt)BACHICHA ELIJAH 122 6.00    
2  ZACANGO PRIDE Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 Aug18 Jul27 (guadarrama o)CARILLO DANIEL 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
3  PRINCESS VANELLOPE Oct12 Sep28 Sep15 Aug31 Aug25 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50    
4  LOTTA PRADA Oct04 Sep27 Sep06 Sep17 Sep09 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
5  SHE'S SO FANCY Sep28 Aug16 Jul20 Jul07 Feb20 (guadarrama )VORRATH VALENTE 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
ARP-4   10/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDEVIL MAYHEM Aug03 Jul13       (rust terr)IRONEYES R 117 6.00    
2  COLD SOUL Oct04 Sep15 Aug25 Aug08   (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
3  A WALK ON THE MOON Oct06 Feb23 Jan13     (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50    
4  WINPUPPY         (rushton ste)BACHICHA ELIJAH 121 6.00 27% 2.60    
5  TAPITBOY Oct06 Sep15 Aug16 Jun23 May26 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  WHAT THE HEY Dec09 Nov20 Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 122 4.00    
7  ILLUSIONED Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 Jun22 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES ON GLADIATOR Oct13         (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 8.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of CLOSE YOUR EYES by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  DONNA'S SHINEYGIRL Oct05         (rushton s)IRONEYES R 117 4.50    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of AVERY'S ARABESQUE by MARINO MARINI)
3  I'M A TRUMPER Oct13 Oct05 Sep20 Sep09 Aug12 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of SWEETPRINCESSCHARM by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
4  DANCING GLADIATOR Oct13         (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 6.00 5% 18.10    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DANCING FOR MORGAN by REAL QUIET)
5  DIXIE CUP MARTINI Oct05 Sep20       (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of KIND TURN by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.