Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-2   WIN (5/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
GRP-3   WIN (5/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
GRP-4   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
GRP-6   WIN (2/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/9)-(2/4/3/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/9)-(2/4/3/1/9)-(2/4/3/1/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GRP-7   WIN (9/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/8)-(9/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/8)-(9/6/1/8)-(9/6/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
GRP-9   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
GRP-10   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(6/4/8/5)-(3/5/8/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
GRP-11   WIN (6/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/5)-(6/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/5)-(6/4/8/5)-(6/4/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/8/5)-(3/5/8/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
GRP-12   WIN (3/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/4)-(3/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/4)-(3/5/8/4)-(3/5/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-2   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA POPIS Sep30 Sep08 Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 (gabriel )MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  SOFIA STRONG Sep30 Sep22 Aug08 Jul04 Jun16 (harshman )JENSEN P 126 6.00    
3  FANTASTIC SECRET Oct07 Sep15 Jun30 Jun16 Oct08 (kowalsky harley)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00 12% 7.50    
4  LILA AT THE BEACH Sep22 Sep01 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E 126 2.50    
5  TEN THE SMART WAY Sep30 Sep16 Sep07 Jun21 Apr12 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 4.50 33% 2.10    
6  ASK ALICE Oct06 Sep30 Sep08 Aug30 Jul06 (bozell alan)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUTE'S DIAMOND Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jun22 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00    
 
GRP-3   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEEL NERVES Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLURSDAY Sep30 Sep07 Aug11 Jul05 Jun15 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50    
3  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 (hurley denn)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 20.00    
4  BELLAREIGN Sep30 Sep23 Sep06 Aug09 Jul21 (bozell alan)LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
5  MO SUGAFOOT Oct06 Sep16 Sep02 Aug23 Jul04 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 63% 0.60    
6  GOOD JOB JACKIE Oct06 Sep30 Sep15 Aug09 Jul04 (klapatch nancy)MEEKS MICAH 121 4.00 12% 7.20    
7  EXCLUSIVELY NOBLE Sep16 Jun14 May26 May19 Apr27 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 4.50    
8  MADAME CAUSEWAY Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 Aug08 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GRP-4   10/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER SHANDEE Oct06 Sep29 Sep23 Sep07 Aug25 (perez hilario)LOPEZ E 126 4.00    
2  FOYT Oct07 Sep23 Aug24 Jun29 Jun22 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 6.00    
3  DANCE COMPANY Sep29 Aug18 Jun30 Jun22 Oct22 (kowalsky harley)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SURPRISE FASHION Sep29 Sep23 Sep13 Aug30 Aug23 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 1.20 37% 1.70    
5  LUKA GRAZIE Sep30 Sep16 Jul03 Jun21 May19 (homer jason)MEEKS MICAH 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
6  KEEN JAMES Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 Aug10 Aug08 (cox jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00    
7  HADLEES HONOR Sep29 Sep16 Sep01 Aug24 Aug17 (cantrell)MURO ISIDRO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
GRP-6   10/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVERSIFUL Oct07 Sep23 Sep16 Aug11 Jul26 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIMONSITO Sep16 Aug25 Jun29 Jun22 Jun15 (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00 53% 0.90    
3  ROJO PEQUENO Sep23 Sep08 Jul27 Jun22 Oct08 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 124 5.00 ★    
4  LUCCA'S LEGACY Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 Aug09 Jul04 (harshman )JENSEN P 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  PRIME TIME PORTA Sep30 Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (guerr)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 4.50    
6  CHANCELLORS BOOM Oct07 Sep16 Aug23 Jul27 Jul14 (stewart larry)MEEKS MICAH 119 20.00    
7  LONGFORD Sep30 Sep16 Sep08 Aug07 Jul04 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 20.00    
8  BOOGIE ON DOWN Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09   (cantrell mar)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00    
9  WESTERN SIERRA Sep30 Sep08 Aug24 Mar17 Feb11 (cantrell ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  SMOKENSILVER Sep30 Aug25 Jul04 Jun29 Jun22 (beckner teri )LOPEZ E 126 10.00    
 
GRP-7   10/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHEE Oct06 Sep30 Aug17 Jul28 Jul12 (abrahamson m)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUNAWAY WYWY Sep22 Sep08 Sep02 Jun29 Jun09 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 126 20.00    
3  POLACCO Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug10 Jun29 (cantrell margie)MEEKS MICAH 121 15.00    
4  FAMOUS STAR (GB) Sep30 Apr07 Mar17 Jan13 Nov05 (kowalsky harl)LOPEZ E 126 20.00    
SCR  XTRAFINE XTINA Oct06 Aug24 Jul04 Jun22 Oct08 (beckn)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 123 5.00    
6  MATTAWA N THAT Oct07 Sep15 Aug10 Aug08 Jun29 (boyle mary)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 8% 11.10    
7  SOL DEL SUR Sep23 Sep09 Jun08 Apr30 Apr11 (homer jason)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00    
8  BOB'S SNIPER Sep30 Sep15 Sep09 Aug09 Jun29 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  NEW EVERY MORNING Oct06 Sep29 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 (rosales jor)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 1.20 70% 0.40    
 
GRP-9   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YODERANDO Sep30 Sep07 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 (gilmo)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 15.00    
2  COWLITZ Oct07 Sep22 Sep02 Jun15 Oct02 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.50 19% 4.20    
3  BLOWING BAYOU Oct07 Sep29 Aug23 Aug16 Jul26 (abrahamson m)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRUE FRIEND Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 Jul06 Jun14 (lyons ken)JENSEN P 126 3.00    
5  PAID IN GOLD Sep29 Sep08 Jul28 May19 Mar09 (kowalsky)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.50 16% 5.20    
6  BELLS AND WHISTLES Sep30 Sep08 Aug10 Jun30 Jun23 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
7  DISTINCTIVE DEB Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Aug03 Jul27 (cantrell ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00 39% 1.50    
8  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Oct07 Sep30 Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 8.00    
 
GRP-10   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTICIPATED Sep30 Sep16 Aug24 Aug10 Jun22 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 126 4.00 ★    
2  PASS THE CROWN Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 (velasquez r)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 3.50    
3  LORD OF LIGHT Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug09 Jun22 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00 16% 5.10    
4  BUZZED BY A TIGER Sep30 Sep16 Aug24 Jun23   (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  GOLD RUSH DEPUTY Sep06 Aug09       (cantrell )JENSEN P 124 15.00    
6  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Oct07 Sep23 Sep16 Sep07 Aug23 (pollard eli)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00    
7  FORD FLYER Sep30 Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 (guerr)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 10.00    
8  PRINCE OF MEMPHIS Oct06 Sep23 Sep07 Aug10 Jul26 (gilmour )MURO ISIDRO 124 6.00 ★    
 
GRP-11   10/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Grants Pass Mile Purse ($22.55K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MAKUNOUCHI Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 Aug02 (mccracken)JENSEN P 126 20.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
2  DENNARD Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Aug04 (baze robert)SAMUELS JAKE 126 5.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of SEEMINGLY by ORIENTATE (GB))
3  SECRET SAGA Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 Jul28 Jul03 (harsh)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 8.00    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of FORTY SOMETHING by FORTY WON)
4  EL ALTO HOMBRE Sep23 Aug31 Jul27 Jun30 Apr29 (kowalski)MURO ISIDRO 126 2.50 11% 8.40    
  (by ARCHARCHARCH out of CAPITOL E by EDDINGTON)
5  SEA OF LIBERTY Sep23 Sep08 Sep01 Jul28 Jun21 (gilmour jim)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 10.00 6% 17.10    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SEEKITANA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  FALSELY ACCUSED Sep23 Sep07 Aug25 Jul27 Jun29 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.50 56% 0.80    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of PRINCESS HILLARY by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  CHUCKANUT BAY Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 (rosale)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50    
  (by ABRAAJ out of ZENOVIT by PRIVATE GOLD)
8  MASTER RECOVERY Sep23 Sep07 Aug23 Jun30 Jun23 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 12.00 7% 14.20    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of PETITION THE LADY by PETIONVILLE)
9  SHOT OF A LIFETIME Sep08 Aug10 Jun28 Apr24 Apr09 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E 126 10.00    
  (by MANY RIVERS out of PENUCHE ROYALE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
 
GRP-12   10/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Sep22 Sep16 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 (pollard eli)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00    
2  POLLO D'ORO Sep22 Sep09 May12 Apr27 Feb17 (magallanes )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 12.00    
3  CABALLERANGO Oct06 Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug10 (boyle ma)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00 23% 3.40    
4  HASHTAG BAE Sep22 Sep15 Aug10 Aug07 Jun29 (hoover cind)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 14% 6.00    
5  MR MEMPHIS Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 Aug08 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  HICKORY WIND Sep22 Sep08 Aug11 Jul14 Jun14 (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00    
SCR  MASHHAD FLATS Sep29 Sep23 Aug31 Aug25 Aug10 (cantrell margie)MEEKS MICAH 121 8.00    
8  COUNT ASHER Sep30 Sep15 Sep02 Aug24 Aug09 (guerr)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.