Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - October 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(1/3/4/5)-(4/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/5)-(4/3/6)-(3/2/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(3/2/1/7)-(1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/7)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/7)-(1/3/6)-(5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-5   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(5/4/1)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/5/1)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-7   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/2/5)-(10/9/4/2/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-8   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(10/9/4/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-9   WIN (10/9/4/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/4/2/1)-(10/9/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/4/2/1)-(10/9/4/2/1)-(10/9/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   10/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT GETAWAY Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jun19 May04 (nicholson jun)OCASIO M 122 6.00 ★    
2  THE BEARRISH ONE Sep30 Aug23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (pino mi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00    
3  SHADOW BOX Sep24 Sep09 Aug29 Jul17 Jul09 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00    
4  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Sep21 Aug28 Aug01 Jul24 Jun29 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 122 3.50 60% 0.70    
5  WE READY Sep17 Aug20 Jul24 Jul06 Jun25 (perez ruperto)RANGEL JOEZER 122 4.00    
6  THE ANGRY MAN Sep30 Sep04 Jul24 Jul15 Jun12 (smith ev)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  DREAM KNIGHT Oct01 Sep11 Aug24 Aug07 Jul17 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.00 10% 8.60    
8  CATCH MY VIBE Sep09 Aug28 Apr22 Apr10 Mar20 (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
 
PRX-2   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR OF CAESAREA Sep09 Aug28 Aug20 Jul20 Jun25 (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Sep08 Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 Jul21 (crowell )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.50    
3  OPTIMISTIC NATE Sep20 Jul25       (ness jamie)RUIZ ELISEO 125 2.00 26% 2.90    
4  CARRY GRANT Aug31 Jun25 Jun03 May08 Apr17 (nicholso)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
5  JAKNAVA Sep13 Jul15 Jul04 Jun19 May29 (hogan willia)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUBBY PAPERMAKER Sep24 Aug28 Jul24 Jun04 May14 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 15.00    
7  MARINE PATROL Aug15 Apr17 Apr03 Dec19 Dec04 (wyner harold)AGUILAR JEAN 117 15.00    
 
PRX-3   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD SEABEE Sep24 May14 Apr23 Mar19 Feb28 (jenkins suzanne)BOWMAN ADAM 125 15.00    
2  WHOOSH Sep23 Sep09 Aug28 Aug20 Jul24 (tapsas ilias)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 4.00    
3  VOY Y VENGO Sep23 Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Aug11 (romero alexis)ORTIZ JOSHUA 115 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  STARLORD Sep18 Sep04 Jul15 Jun16 May21 (coletti )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.20 38% 1.60    
5  THIS TIME BLUE Sep09 Aug23 Jul24 Jun26 May29 (krebs s)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00    
6  MIDHEIRFLYINHIGH Sep08 Sep01 Jul14 Jun21 Oct06 (aristone phili)AGUILAR JEAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-4   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY STAR Sep18 Aug21 Jul26 Jul08 Jun25 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 6.00 6% 14.60    
2  TROPIC STORM May19 May03 Mar22 Feb23 Feb03 (guerrero c)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  B B BAD Sep18 Aug29 Jul31 Jul22 Jun26 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
4  GEEBERT Sep04 Jul22 Jun26 Jun08 Apr15 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
5  AGGRANDIZE Sep17 Sep01 Aug10 Jun07 May08 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
6  REBEL EMPIRE Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 Jun27 Mar16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.60    
7  NAVY RULES Oct01 Sep09 Aug15 Jul15 Jul01 (lake sc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 6% 17.10    
 
PRX-5   10/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR MASTER Sep21 Sep07 Aug23 Dec09 Nov01 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SECURED LANDING Sep02 Jun18 May27 Apr01 Feb02 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00    
3  I FEELUCKY TONITE Sep17 Aug27 Jun03 May21 Apr29 (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
4  BALI AMOUR Sep25 Jul24 May18 Apr29 Apr21 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
5  ALPHA COMPANY Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 May26 (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
6  RYAN'S FLEET Sep17 Aug18 May29 May30 May10 (leung carlos)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  BOBBY THE TANK Sep25 Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 May09 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 125 4.50    
 
PRX-6   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STASSI Sep10 Jul11 May08 Mar07 Jan26 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Sep15 Aug10 Jun09 Apr26 Mar30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50    
3  GIRLFROMOUTERSPACE Aug24 Jul10 Jun16 May22 Apr10 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
4  FLASHNDYNAMITE Sep24 Sep16 Aug28 Jul24 Jun29 (gallimore tre)OCASIO M 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
5  WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE Sep21 Aug16 Jul19 Apr20 Apr11 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  MOLLEWANTACRACKER Sep02 Jul24 Jul08 Jun10 May14 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00    
SCR  AMY MULE Sep30 Sep09 Aug21 Jul19 Jun23 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 122 3.50    
 
PRX-7   10/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOPPI FISCHBEIN Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 Jul22 (jones c)BOWMAN ADAM 125 10.00 9% 10.70    
2  ARROW SPEED Aug31 Aug03 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 1.20    
3  BACK EAST Sep25 Jul10 Jun10 May01 Apr15 (mann farrel)MOYA F 121 20.00    
4  MELT WITH YOU Sep02 Aug03 Jul18 Jun20 Apr12 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
5  EDDIE W Aug26 Aug07 Jun24 May14 Mar27 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
6  HERMOSO HOMBRE Sep23 Sep02 Aug20 Jul21 Jun01 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 122 10.00    
 
PRX-8   10/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONFIRMED STAR Sep21 Aug26 Jul09 Jun18 May20 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
2  MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA Jun24 May08 Feb02 Aug21 Jun26 (crook-de)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  AEGEAN SEA Sep10 Aug03 Jul18 Jun12 May08 (abrams ronald)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50    
4  DEWEY DOIT Sep22 Jul19 Jun12 Apr22 Apr01 (sillaman ri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 6.00    
5  SHETALKSTOMUCH Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 Jul09 Jun11 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOHEMIA BABE Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Jul02 Jun18 (mercedes pedro)AGUILAR JEAN 117 20.00    
SCR  SUMMER'S GIFT Sep04 Jul09 Oct03 Jun10   (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00    
 
PRX-9   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARRY'S ONTHEBEACH Sep04 Aug10 Apr05 Mar15 Feb17 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Sep21 Sep14 Aug30 Aug16 Jul21 (yanez reyna)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 5.00 7% 13.20    
3  WHISKEY PRIZE Sep11 Aug21 Jun24 Jun03 May20 (crook-d)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00    
4  DARK TIMBER Sep18 Sep04 Jul18 Jun16 May23 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
5  MANOLITO Sep16 Nov08 Oct24 Sep20 Sep01 (gonzal)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
6  EDDIEMUSH Sep11 Aug27 Aug10 Jul28 Jul21 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 122 10.00    
7  MY DEVILS CHILD Sep17 Aug21 Jul08 Jun11 May08 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00    
8  SWING OIL Sep11 Aug19 Jul08 Jun26 Jun17 (padilla h)VARGAS A 119 10.00    
9  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Sep15 Sep01 Aug09 Jul28 Jun30 (betancourt)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
10  MEMORY BOUQUET Aug23 Aug16 Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.