Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1/2/4)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(4/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(4/6/3)-(7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(7/6)-(4/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/2/4/6)-(7/2/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(4/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(4/5/7)-(1/9/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(1/9/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(1/9/6/7)-(5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/7)-(1/9/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/7)-(1/9/6/7)-(1/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/6/7)-(5/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/9/6/7)-(5/2/3)-(3/9/5/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/9/5/4/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/9/5/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/4/7)-(3/9/5/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/4/7)-(3/9/5/4/7)-(3/9/5/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIGHTNING ROUND Aug13 Jul30 Jun26 Jun17 Jun04 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 3.50    
2  WILD LOOKER Aug21 Aug13 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 1.80    
3  WATERLOO SUNSET Aug21 Aug05 Jul17 Jun19 Jun10 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  TIZ PROMISING RVF Aug28 Aug13 Jun25 Jun10 May28 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
5  STRAIGHT MADNESS Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 Jul10 Jun11 (wilson ariane)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIGHT HEARTED Jul21 Jul04 Jun10 May19 Oct25 (herrington c)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
SCR  EMERALD CITADELLE Aug21 Aug12 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 5.00    
 
PID-2   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMMA AT THE GATE Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May29   (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  COME ABOUT         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
3  JAKE'S AFFECTION Sep02 Jul20 Jul06 Jun08 May12 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 3.50    
4  S S FUN AND GAMES Aug27 Aug05 Jul23     (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 120 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  BUSK         (bourke j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00    
6  MICHAELSHATRICK Aug26 Aug07 Jul01 Jun10   (barron rory)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.50    
SCR  UNCLE ARLYS         (beattie t)VARGAS L 120 4.50    
 
PID-3   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDGE WARRIOR         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 ★    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MORNING RIDGE by QUAKER RIDGE)
2  PALACE REVOLT         (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SETUBAL by THE FACTOR)
3  J ROLL         (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of CHUB N IKKI by HEY CHUB)
4  WARRIOR'S COBBLER         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PEACH ALLEY by JUMP START)
5  YACHT INTENTIONS         (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 113 8.00    
  (by ASTERN out of COURAGE AND INTENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
6  BOUJIE BETZ Aug26 Jul09       (connelly teres)ALLEN D 117 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SEVEN TWO OFFSUIT by ROBYN DANCER)
7  WILLA'S BUGAROO         (herrington call)BAYS BROOKE 113 4.50    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of WILLA WANDO by WANDO)
 
PID-4   09/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Jul04 Aug02 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
2  VALIANT VICTORIA Aug27 Jul31 Jun19 Apr26 Apr07 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 3.50 ★    
3  DOWN TO EARTH Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 124 8.00    
4  RAISE YOUR GAME Aug21 Jul18 Jun13 May16 Nov12 (girten t)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 ★    
5  MISS GETTY UP Aug26 Jul02 Jun11 May22 Mar29 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
6  CINCO DE MANDEE Aug05 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May29 (miller d)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Aug26 Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 68% 0.50    
 
PID-5   09/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS BOBBY Aug21 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun05 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00    
2  HEY PADRE Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 Jul02 Jun12 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50    
3  HAIG POINT Aug21 Jul30 Jul22 Mar16 Feb07 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 ★    
4  CATATUMBO Aug21 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  GIANT PAYDAY Aug21 Aug06 Jul22 Jun19 May28 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
7  JOSH'S HONOR Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 May22 Oct26 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-6   09/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF LIBERTY Aug23 Jul24 Jun22 Oct06 Feb15 (antonacc)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 64% 0.60    
2  SIGMUND Aug26 Jul27 Jul07 Jun14 May30 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
3  THREE O ONE Aug12 Jul16 Jul09 Jun10 May22 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00    
SCR  DANCING MISCHIEF Sep02 Jul25 Jul07 Jun14 May26 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00    
5  RAPA NUI Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 (buhrow jamie )DELGADO DAVID 122 30.00    
6  NEW BERN Aug26 Aug19 Jul28 Jun29 May25 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BALLINDINE Aug26 Jul26 Jun22 May26 Apr07 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOOKER'S CHARM Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00    
9  TRAVELLER Aug26 Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 May28 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
PID-7   09/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET AMY Aug20 Jul27 Jun14 Oct19 Oct12 (wismer s)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
2  QUEEN WIGGY Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 May27 Oct18 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  HALF BIRTHDAY Sep04 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 May29 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  FLIRTINI Aug20 Jul31 May23 May03 Apr12 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
5  STACY ATTACK Jul29 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May11 (bernardi)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 Jun18 Feb03 (hetrick )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
7  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) Jun26 May20 Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   09/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ET'S MAGIC MAN Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 Jun18 Jun03 (agnew naois)CALDERON OLIVER 124 3.00    
2  COMEDIC TIMING Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 Jun02 Apr27 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 6.00    
3  CRAZY KATER Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 Jun04 (salvaggio mich)ALLEN D 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  CANADIAN GAME Aug20 May25 Apr19 Mar29 Oct11 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 124 10.00 9% 10.50    
5  VILLAGE PREACHER Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 May03 Apr26 (markgraf david)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
6  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Aug14 Jul15 Jun27 May30 May03 (agnew naoise)BAYS BROOKE 117 15.00    
7  SEA SPLENDOR Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 May28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Jun05 May21 (musarro joseph)LOPEZ DERECK 117 30.00    
9  SECRETARY OF WAR Aug21 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 Mar29 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 13% 6.40    
10  DAZZLING TRUTHS Aug01 Apr21 Apr13 Mar24 Mar17 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.