Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (6/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/4)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/4)-(1/4/3)-(5/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/6/3/7)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7)-(5/6/3/4/7)-(5/6/3/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7)-(1/3/4)-(1/4/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/4/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/4/6/9)-(6/8/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/9)-(1/4/6/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/9)-(1/4/6/3/9)-(1/4/6/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/6/9)-(6/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/9)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/11/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/11/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/8/11/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/11/7/1)-(6/8/11/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/11/7/1)-(6/8/11/7/1)-(6/8/11/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   09/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STIFF DRINK Jun11 May13 Feb10 Jan04 Dec09 (broberg )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 5% 18.10    
SHADY GRADY Aug06 Jul10 Jun24 Jun10 Dec30 (romero dal)BOREL H 122 5.00    
BRADFIELD BABY Jul10 Jun12 May15 Mar16 Feb13 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 119 8.00    
FLASH N CLASS Jul24 Jun25 May28 Mar16 Feb22 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED IDOL Aug09 Jun15 May11 Apr17 Mar21 (cormier card)BARRERA J 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
PERRINS Jun29 Apr19 Mar14 Feb08 Jan13 (schwandt emi)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
MUCHO BUENO Aug06 Jun17 Jun03 May07 Feb15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
JAMAICAN ME Aug14 Jul02 Jun10 May29 May10 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
 
LAD-2   09/03/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET PRESENT Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 Feb22 (gomez jorge)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  A BRAVE RIDE Aug22 Aug01 Feb24 Jan13 Jun30 (trujillo mario)FLORIAN JOSE 119 8.00    
RODE BOSS Aug20 Jun13 May18 Mar26 Mar12 (hatcher nathan)PEREZ CARLOS 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEF HARLAN Aug19 Jul29 Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 (del erick)VARGAS P 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
MAGIC BIND Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 Jul07 (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 3.00    
SCR  MY LITTLE VISION Jul11 May18 May08 Apr18 Apr05 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 121 6.00    
MUCHO MACHO CAM Aug20 Aug05 Jul14 Jun15 May25 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 116 4.50    
 
LAD-3   09/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ARTHUR RIDGE Aug14 Jul17 Jun28 Jun01 May04 (rangel raul)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 10.00    
ROYAL DE BE Jul31 Jun18 Jun04 May18 Apr19 (vincent ja)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
PINCH HITTER Aug13 Aug02 Jul05 May16 Nov09 (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 8% 12.20    
LIVINGSTON Jul17 Jun24 May21 May04 Mar15 (broberg )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
SILENT REASON Aug02 Jun23 May08 Apr05 Feb07 (wong jonathan)BOREL H 121 4.50 55% 0.80    
CINCO RICHIE Aug22 Jul17 Jun28 Jun08 May04 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 13% 6.90    
BRAZIL NUT Aug14 Jul17 Jun23 May31 May04 (jacks e)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAM'S PROMISE Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun04 May16 (romero d)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00    
HOWARD'S GRIT Aug22 Jul16 Jun24 May30 May21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50    
10  TACTICAL VISION Jun15 May11 Jan26 Jan04 Oct14 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 121 12.00    
 
LAD-4   09/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAWLESS TAKEOVER Jun07 May17 Apr20 Dec20 Nov25 (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
STEAL ME OVER Aug13 Jul29 Jun04 May20 May06 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 119 6.00    
CALLING Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 May22 Jan11 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
SAVANNAH'S HERE Aug05 Jul17 Jun19 Jun08 Feb21 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
CUSTOM CANDY Aug14 Jun28 Jun08 Mar12 Feb18 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
I'M ALL MIXED UP Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 May22 May13 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
SCR  OUR CUSTOM DARLING Jan13 Nov16 Oct19 Jun26 Jun03 (zenon sh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
 
LAD-5   09/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHY'S BOY Aug20 Aug05 Jul17 Jun28 May31 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 43% 1.40    
STRONG DIAMOND Aug10 Jul27 May23 Apr26 Feb29 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 12.00    
TIGER MAN MCKOOL Aug05 Jul13 Jun15 May31 May04 (pish danny)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00    
TEMPLE OF PEACE Aug16 Jun13 Apr19 Mar15 Feb24 (ducoing stur)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
MALIBU MONEY Aug10 Jul02 Jun19 May28 May15 (mojica)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00    
RED OCTOBER Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 May16 Apr17 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
JUSTINS SECRET Aug13 Aug05       (mickelso)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 25.00    
WHISKEY WITH YOU Aug05 Jul02 May29 May07   (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00    
LEONARDO CREED Aug20 Jul04 Jun16 May12   (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY STORY Aug13 Jul29 Jul04 Jun25 May22 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 12.00    
11  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE Aug13 Jul13 Jun15 May25 Mar24 (rangel raul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 10.00    
SCR  TWO WEEKS NOTICE Aug13 Jul17 May14     (vincent jarvi)VARGAS P 121 20.00    
 
LAD-6   09/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY UNCLE LEON Jul15 Jun26 May27 Apr26 Apr13 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 10.00    
J'S LITTLE MAN Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 Aug26 Jul29 (rufino eusebio)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 4.50    
PREFERITO DA BARBI Jul17 Jun24 Jun11 May13 Mar22 (govea cesar)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00    
COLE SPUR Sep08 Aug11 Jul30 Jul14 Jun26 (rufino eusebi)VARGAS P 124 12.00 17% 4.90    
TRABR'S CREED Aug05 Jun26 Apr20 Apr04 Mar16 (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
BIG FIG Jul16 Jun19 Jun10 May27 Apr20 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
VALDINA DREAMS Jul23 Jul03 Jun02 May18 Apr21 (payne dann)RAMIREZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEEP STATE Aug06 Jul02 Jun17 May17 Apr21 (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
LAD-7   09/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIZMO         (cates al)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of GENERATION OF LOVE by FORESTRY)
SACRED DREAMS         (romero har)RAMIREZ JR 113 20.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of CUTE LITTLE MESS by ELUSIVE BLUFF)
SPA CITY GIRL         (witt ii)VARGAS P 121 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of KAUAI NANA by SEA PRINCE)
MAJESTIC TORNADO Aug12 Jul09       (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MAJESTIC HOLIDAY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
CLASSY JUDY G         (west p)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SHE ROLLS by FRIESAN FIRE)
OVER THE CLOUDS Aug24 Jul09       (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 35% 1.90    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of OVER THE EDGE by THUNDER GULCH)
ADAMANTLY Aug12 Jul15 Jul01 Jun08 May22 (gonzalez jaime)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50 7% 13.20    
  (by ORDAINED out of SENNOCKIAN STORM by STORM CAT)
GOLDEN CITY Jul16         (hodges e)WADE LYNDIE 118 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RINGBANG CITY by CARSON CITY)
WHEELNDEALNSTEALN Aug26         (mickelson jud)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 30.00    
  (by MR. SIDNEY out of LET HER MONEY GO by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  CHARLUCHE Aug24 Sep15 Sep04 Aug19 Jul29 (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 121 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
11  BIG BLUE ANGEL Aug16         (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of RIDING WITH ANGELS by TETON FOREST)
SCR  SASSY FLYER Oct25 Oct06 Sep03 Apr16   (payne danny)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of SASSY SONDRA by OFFICER)
13  ATHELAS         (witt i)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 20.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of BIKINI CREEK by CINNAMON CREEK)
SCR  JADE D'AMORE Mar12         (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of STRATEGIC MISSILE by STRATEGIC MISSION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.