Handicappers' Racing Form

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Elko County Fair
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELK-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELK-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ELK-5   Win (2/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELK-6   Win (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELK-7   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELK-2   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDEAUX Aug10 Aug04 Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 (hollingsworth dusti)GAMEZ M 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  DONTFORGETHESUGAR Aug24 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun22 (luna cesar)ALAYA ERIC 124 4.00    
PRINCESS AMANDA Aug17 Mar25 Jan06 Dec02 Nov12 (condie kendall)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SHE'S SO FANCY Aug16 Jul20 Jul07 Feb20 Sep16 (gua)VAZQUEZ BARRIONUEV 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOUTHRN SWEETHEART Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 Sep02 Jul30 (simpson)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 1.60    
 
ELK-4   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATEST ATTRACTION Aug24 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Jul30 (burns eugene)SAENZ JOE 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
ZACANGO PRIDE Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 Feb21 Dec17 (guadarrama oma)MORENO T 117 4.00    
SCR  TIZ A BUDDY Aug24 Aug10       (tschirgi brian)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 6.00    
TRACEY'S KITCHEN Aug24         (domingu)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 8.00    
NORTH SALEM Aug18 Aug10 Jul20     (mitchell chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 10.00 32% 2.10    
 
ELK-5   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO'S LAUGHIN NOW Aug24 Jul20 Jun12     (gibbs tyler)MORENO T 124 10.00    
PERFECT TOM Aug16 Aug03 Jul07 Oct28 Sep10 (mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.60 32% 2.20    
GET MY POINT Aug17 Aug10 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 (van glade)GAMEZ M 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ CURLY JOE Aug24 Aug09 Aug07 Jun30 Jun16 (tschirgi brian)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 6.00    
MONTUCKY Aug18 Jul28 Jul21 Jul14 Jun28 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 122 3.50    
CHIEF MISCHIEF Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 Jun08 (dahlke kyle)ALAYA ERIC 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
MO DANDY Aug18 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 Jun23 (kellett)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 2.50    
ROYAL JOKER Aug18 Aug17 Jun15 Apr08 Feb26 (dominguez joe)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
ELK-6   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC LIAISON Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 Apr01 (mckinne)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 10.00 14% 6.30    
CHARLIE MO Aug18 Aug04 Jun29 Jun22 Sep30 (van gl)MORENO T 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROMAN RUSH Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 Jun01 Sep11 (crystal dustie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
FOOLISH TO DECEIVE Aug10 Aug07 Jun29 Jun15 Aug09 (crystal dustie)GAMEZ M 124 4.00    
STAND TO Aug24 Aug17 Jun22 Jun09 Feb29 (van g)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 6.00    
CUCINA Aug23 Aug18 Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 (scudder mike)ALAYA ERIC 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
BET ON DAD Aug17 Sep02 Aug26 May05 Mar19 (carter ronald )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.60    
 
ELK-7   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLE VICTOIRE Aug24 Aug07 Jul10 Jun30 Jun15 (crystal dustie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
CLIPPERVILE GIRL Aug17 Aug11 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 (scudder mike)GAMEZ M 124 10.00    
SILK ROAD SALLY Aug17 Jul27 Sep23 Sep02 Aug26 (mitchel)ARMENTA ACEVEDO 124 8.00    
BYE BYE BROOKY Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 May18 May05 (young b)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 12.00    
LOW DOSE Aug17 Jul14 Jun30 Apr08 Oct02 (mitchell chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER Aug23 Aug17 Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.