Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (9/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/3/8)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/8)-(5/2/4)-(6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/2)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/5/4)-(6/8/10/4/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/8/10/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/8/10/4/7)-(4/2/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-5   WIN (6/8/10/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/4/7)-(6/8/10/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/4/7)-(6/8/10/4/7)-(6/8/10/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/10/4/7)-(4/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/10/4/7)-(4/2/1)-(13/3/5/2/14) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(13/3/5/2/14) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(13/3/5/2/14)-(5/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-7   WIN (13/3/5/2/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/3/5/2/14)-(13/3/5/2/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/3/5/2/14)-(13/3/5/2/14)-(13/3/5/2/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/3/5/2/14)-(5/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (13/3/5/2/14)-(5/6)-(9/5/1/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(9/5/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(9/5/1/4)-(2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (9/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/1/4)-(9/5/1/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/1/4)-(9/5/1/3/4)-(9/5/1/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/5/1/4)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/1/4)-(2/6/1)-(4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-10   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-11   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATIE'S NOTION Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Jun04 May13 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
2  JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH Jul26 Jun28 Jun02 Apr05 Mar10 (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 117 15.00    
3  MONCRIEF Jul26 Jul11 May27 May05 Apr06 (robb troy)TORREALBA JG 126 3.50 10% 9.00    
4  SIR LANCE Jul26 Jun21 May26 Oct22 Aug18 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
SCR  BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH Jul18 Jun14 May11 Apr13 Mar16 (mcmahon i)NO RIDER 117 2.00    
6  CACTUS Aug03 Jul13 Apr14 Mar14 Feb11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00    
7  ONE WAY TRAFFIC Jul26 Jun21 May31 Apr28 Apr05 (salzman john )ALVELO C 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
8  BOSS MAN J J Jul26 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 May31 (salzman timothy)CENTENO E 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  TALL ORDER Jun21 May05 Nov09 Oct20 Oct01 (perri gina)ROSADO JOHAN 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
LRL-2   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY MAYA Jul14 Jun28 May11 Mar02   (perri gina)ALVELO C 117 3.50    
2  CORA'S CHOICE May05 Apr19 Feb25 Jan06 Dec22 (walters j)DELGADO A 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
3  SKIP THRU DA FIRE Jul26 Jul07 Jun15 May27 May03 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 117 12.00    
4  GOOD STORY Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 May25 May05 (juarez )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLUE TRILLION Jul14 Jun02 May09 Apr05 Mar10 (dilodovico dam)BOYCE FOREST 121 1.80 58% 0.70    
6  STORM RATE Jul05 May05 Jun11 May06 Feb22 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50    
 
LRL-3   08/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 35 M/F PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE IS INVINCIBLE (GB) Jul11 Sep23       (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 3.00    
2  KAKE'S TAP DANCER Jul26 May25 May03 Sep22 Aug09 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  CHAMPLAIN'S DREAM Jul18 Jun14 Sep29     (motion graha)LUNDIE KEVIN 126 12.00    
4  BELLA ESTRELA Jul29 Jun27 Feb06     (wadswo)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 15.00    
SCR  BAYWATCH BLONDE Jun05         (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50    
6  DEAD SEXY Jul26 Jul05 Jun16 May25 Apr13 (meyers f)CRUZ ANGEL 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  LORRAINE (FR) Aug14 Feb22 Jan21 Nov10 Sep21 (hodsdon daniel)BOYCE FOREST 121 3.50    
 
LRL-4   08/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNPHY Jul19 Jun30 May29 May16 Apr19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  MISTER AGENT Jul21 Jul14 Jun22 May24 May11 (singh s)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 4.00    
3  TUBTIMSIAM Jul26 Jul19 Jun29 Jun23 May26 (magee k)BRICENO GREGOR 121 1.60    
4  DANCE FOR GREEN Jul19 Jul07 Jun22 May24 May03 (kravets m)CRUZ ANGEL 121 10.00 11% 7.80    
5  PENNY LOAFER Jul13 Jun21 May26 Sep17 Aug22 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 126 5.00 25% 3.10    
6  ENERGY EFFICIENT Jul20 Jun29 May25 May09 Apr14 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.50    
 
LRL-5   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT DANCE Jul13 Jun08 May10 Apr26 Mar23 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 15.00    
2  POLICE WOMAN Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 May26 May09 (woodit jo)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
3  SHARED AUTHORITY Aug04 Jul25 Jul07 Jun15 May31 (shankle)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 10.00    
4  MIDSUMMERS EVE Jul20 Jun01 Apr13 Mar22 Feb09 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOLLIE TAPPER Jul20 Jun28 Jun01 Dec09 Nov19 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 12.00    
6  EUPHIMA (ARG) Jul11 Jun07 May12 Mar28 Mar03 (klesaris rober)TORREALBA JG 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  PRINCESS LUCIA Jun22 May31       (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  FLOWER MOUND Jul08 Jun14 May03 Feb14 Jan28 (magee k)BRICENO GREGOR 121 2.50 11% 8.30    
9  DIVINA DULCE Jun28 May25 Feb21 Jan04 Mar05 (delacour ar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
10  RYE SMILE Jul07 Jun08 May18 Apr26   (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 3.50 7% 13.70    
 
LRL-6   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORMLEY'S GABRIELA Jul21 Jun28 May31 May23 Feb18 (dove kevin )CHATRIE E 116 12.00 9% 10.20    
2  BABY SOX Apr14 Mar24 Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  DESTINED TO DANCE Jul21 Jun09 May24 Apr27 Mar28 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 115 30.00    
4  FAITH AND LIBERTY Jul26 Jun15 May03 Apr12   (dilodov)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  CLOSERTOTHEHEART Jul28 Jul06 Jun09 May25 May05 (voss kathari)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY NAN Sep21 Sep02 Jul27 Jul02 May29 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
7  REMEMBER ME Jul24 Jul06 May25 May04 Apr14 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 2.50    
 
LRL-7   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 35 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTHERN CARDINAL Jul27 Jul07 May31 May22 Apr06 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 6.00    
2  BLUE REGALIA         (white alexandra)DELGADO A 121 20.00 6% 15.40    
3  MILE HIGH MIRACLE Jul19 Jun07 Apr27     (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
4  RESTRIKE Jul25 May27 May06 Mar20   (garber owen)CENTENO E 121 10.00    
5  CONTRIVANCE Jul25 Jul07 Jun07 May24 Nov17 (magee kie)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 114 6.00 13% 6.70    
6  LADDIE DANCE Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 May18 (leaf jr)PEREZ XAVIER 121 8.00    
7  CATEGORY CINCO Jul13 Jun26       (cox m)ACOSTA D 121 30.00    
8  GALACTIC GLORY Jul27 Jul07 Mar22 Feb09 Dec15 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 30.00    
9  HOLONUI Jul27 Jul07 May11 Apr14 Mar24 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50    
10  ALL FRUITS RIPE Jul27 May12 Apr21     (smith va)RODRIGUEZ L 115 20.00    
SCR  DOWSING ROD Jul27 Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 (dove ke)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
12  BAND TOUR Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 Oct27 Sep09 (mccue )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
13  ZINGALES KING Jul19 Jun09 Jan27 Jan21 Dec24 (d'angelo jo)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
14  SKYLAR'S BROTHER Jul31 Jun22 Jun09 May11   (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOONFLYER Jun23 Jun07 May11 Mar03 Nov12 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 20.00    
SCR  OMINOUS DUDE Jul13 Jun09 May04     (levine bruce)TORREALBA JG 117 8.00    
 
LRL-8   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPEEDY ALEX Jul14 Jul06       (corrales)RODRIGUEZ L 113 5.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of ARGUE MY CASE by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
2  UNION THUNDER         (machado antoni)TORREALBA JG 120 10.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MONEY NEVER SLEEPS by MUNNINGS)
SCR  LIAM'S THE GREAT Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 May27 May05 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MAGSAMELIA by MINESHAFT)
4  JUST A FAIR SHAKE         (mckenzie dan)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of LADYMIDTOWN by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  LOU'S BIRTHDAY Jul24 Jul03 Jun15     (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 47% 1.20    
  (by BLOFELD out of MISCHIEF MUSIC by WEIGELIA)
6  KITTY'S SON Jun30 Jun08 May27     (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CUPID out of FREE KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  MR. MENDELSLEW         (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DYNASLEW by DYNAFORMER)
 
LRL-9   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICKEY SHILLELAGH Jul20 Dec02       (mcgaughey cla)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 2.50 13% 6.60    
2  HANKSDIVININGROD Jul20 Jul06 Jun09 Oct29 Oct15 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00    
3  SNEAKING SUSPICION Jul20 Jul06 Jun01 Apr20 Nov12 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 126 6.00 ★    
4  GATTO BE PROUD Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 May26 May04 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BREAKWATER Jul20 May18 Mar30 Jun10 May04 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  THUNDER LAD Jul27 Jul12 Jun15 May17 Sep27 (elamri )BRICENO GREGOR 117 20.00    
7  K'S STORM READY Jul04 Mar07 Jan13 Dec17 Oct11 (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 12.00    
8  FORMAL AFFAIR Jul19 May10 Apr05 Mar16 Jan07 (mcmahon i)TORREALBA JG 121 15.00    
9  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Jul20 Jun20 Apr28 Nov03   (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
LRL-10   08/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC CREED Jul08 Jun08 May13 Nov22 Oct30 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 20.00 13% 6.80    
2  MISS NEW YORK Jul08 Sep30 Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  I'M GITTIN THERE Jul20 Jun21 Apr07 Jan28 Dec23 (ness jamie)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00    
4  DOCTOR ABBIE Jul24 Jul11 May31 May24 Apr22 (kravets m)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
5  CATS INTHE TIMBER Jul21 May25 Apr13 Mar02 Jul01 (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 3.50    
6  CONTINENTALCONGRES Jul20 Jun09 Apr26 Mar09 Feb17 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 21% 3.80    
 
LRL-11   08/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 35 ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAPTOR RAZZLE Jul27         (rofe j)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 12.00 22% 3.70    
2  SHRUG Jul12 Jun20       (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ORIGINAL IDEA Jul12 Jun15 May16     (mcgaughey claude)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.50    
4  STARLIFTER Jul19 Jul06 Jun14 May24 Dec16 (schoenthal phi)PEREZ XAVIER 121 6.00 38% 1.60    
5  AMERICAN MEMORIES Jul25 Jun21 May29 Mar30 Mar08 (pino v)CENTENO E 121 2.00    
6  CHEVY MAN Jul20 Nov11 Oct11     (cibelli jane)BOYCE FOREST 121 3.50    
SCR  BLIND EYE Jul28 Jul06 Dec07 Nov04 Sep20 (alvarado diane)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
8  BRIGHTY Jul12         (milosevic mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.