Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/2/5)-(7/6/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(3/4/1/6)-(2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6)-(2/6/5)-(6/5/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/5/7/4)-(3/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/4)-(3/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/4)-(3/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (3/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/8)-(9/7/6/5)-(2/1/4/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-6   WIN (9/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/2/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/2/12/5)-(9/7/6/2/12/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
    DD (9/7/6/5)-(2/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMPITUP Jul29         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of STINGRAY CITY by HARD SPUN)
2  MAGNOLIA WEST Jul22         (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.50 ★    
  (by WEST COAST out of WORSTCASESCENARIO by FORBIDDEN APPLE)
3  REXINATOR Jul29         (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 118 10.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MYKINDALADY by BODEMEISTER)
4  UNINSPIRED Jul29         (rivera nestor)WADE LYNDIE 118 8.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of CONSPIRED by ZENSATIONAL)
5  FRIENDLY HINT         (dunn ra)RENGIFO JOHAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of JEUNE AMIE by CIRCULAR QUAY)
6  BIG NICKEL Jul29         (clary jaylan)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.00 7% 12.60    
  (by MR. MONEY out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
7  A MILLION MOONS Jul22         (johnson hen)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 118 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by MO TOM out of GLOAMINGSKY by SKY MESA)
 
LAD-2   08/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIBRACHOA KID Jul05 Jun21 May08 Mar24 Feb29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  A MILLION STARS Jun10 May04 Jul09 May06 Feb22 (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
3  HOT LE ROY Jul10 Jun15 May22 Mar13 Feb03 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  SENATOR CON Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May13 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  NOW NOW MAN Jul23 Jul03 Feb01 Jan20 Dec27 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
6  I'M D'CAT Jul11 Jun07 May22 May11 Oct06 (dussette alvi)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  COCAL Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May30 May11 (blanchet chr)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
 
LAD-3   08/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE Z Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 Feb23 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00    
2  SHE BADGER Jul09 Jun04 May14 Feb24 Feb07 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  CECE WAVE Jul29 Jul11 Jun25 May24 May04 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 2.00    
4  WHERE'S AUNT J Feb24 Dec13 Nov16 Nov03 Oct12 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
5  STEAL ME OVER Jul29 Jun04 May20 May06 Mar15 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GYPSYROSELEE Jul29 May28 May13 Feb23 Feb07 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
LAD-4   08/13/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Aug05 Jul04 Jun03 May09 Apr18 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00    
2  YES JACK Jul04 Jun10 May15 Feb09 Jan04 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50    
3  CADILLAC COWBOY Jul30 Jul03 Jun19 Jun10 May20 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
4  TIZ FABULOUS Jun22 May28 May12 Apr28 Mar30 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DRAG MALIBU Jul30 Jul04 May28 Apr29 Apr08 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
6  GABARRA Jun02 May14 Mar15 Feb16 Jan19 (jacks e)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50 48% 1.10    
7  CORKED Jul24 May04 Apr13 Mar02 Jan27 (cates al)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 8% 10.80    
8  CATCHEM IF YOU CAN Jul03 May28 May12 Mar24 Jan20 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
 
LAD-5   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAYLEE'S SHADOW Jun07 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Jul17 (govea cesar)VARGAS P 124 8.00    
SCR  WILLAMINA Jul17 Jul04 Apr20 Apr10 Feb29 (wong jonathan)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 5.00    
3  FUNTIMEGIRL Jul15 Apr26 Apr06 Mar22 Feb25 (prather john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  LITTLE BURRITO Jul31 Jun08 Apr20 Apr05 Mar10 (martin kevin)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00    
5  CREAM PUFF REAPER Jul06 Jun09 May12 Apr27 Apr19 (hibdon n)BENAVIDES D 120 10.00    
6  SMARTY'S ANGEL Jul04 Jun18 May20 Apr05 Mar01 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.50 8% 12.30    
7  BLACK ACE Jul12 Apr27 Feb09 Jan13 Dec07 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  CRANKY SHEILA Jul03 Jun16 May31 May12 Mar29 (bryant george)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 5% 18.90    
 
LAD-6   08/13/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR LANCELOT RIDGE Jul13 Jun15 May25 Mar24 Feb02 (rangel raul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 10.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
2  STAR BYFAR Jul16         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 ★    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAFARI CALAMARI by HALF OURS)
3  JUSTINS SECRET Aug05         (mickelson judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of OUR CLEVER SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
4  REV TOO Jul17 Jun25 May27 Apr21   (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of NOMINATIVE by JOHAR)
5  I AM ON THE LIST Jul04 Jun15 Jan07 Dec09 Nov20 (dunn ashley)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DANCE CLUB by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  LOUISIANA BARGAIN Jul29         (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 117 12.00 8% 11.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of QUEEN OF DENIAL by MIESQUE'S SON)
7  NORTH OF BALI Jul26 Jun28 May31 May08 Apr05 (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 13% 6.70    
  (by BAL A BALI out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
8  DUE WE DARE Jul29 Jun19 May29 May15   (pedigo randy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
  (by DUE DATE out of MISS GOLDWIN by GOLD TRIBUTE)
9  SLEW SKIES Jul13 Jun08 Mar15 Feb08 Jan13 (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 120 4.50 56% 0.80    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CIELO GRIS by TWIRLING CANDY)
10  TWO WEEKS NOTICE Jul17 May14       (vincent ja)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of REFRESHING by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
SCR  TITO Jul04 Jun21 May25 May03 May21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
12  MY STORY Jul29 Jul04 Jun25 May22 May09 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 6.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of TOUCH OF CAT by ADCAT)
SCR  KAH NIGH Aug03 Jun12 May23 May10 May01 (dusset)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 20.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of PERFETTA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
LAD-7   08/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINCH HITTER Aug02 Jul05 May16 Nov09 Oct14 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  GUTZY Jun25 Jun10 May16 Mar24 Feb08 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  ALL SAINTS Aug05 Jul04 Jun19 Jun03 May20 (govea cesar)VARGAS P 120 4.00    
4  GHOST COWBOY Jun22 Jun14 May09 Mar08 Feb15 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  ANGOLA VACATION Jul29 Jul10 Jun12 May07 Apr11 (zeno benjamin)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00    
6  FLAT OUT RUNNER Jun15 May23 May02 Apr20 Apr06 (gomez jorge)BARRERA J 117 12.00 9% 10.50    
7  LONE STAR MAX Jun03 May14 May04 Apr19 Mar15 (balderas a)RAMIREZ JR 116 5.00    
8  WINDTAPPER WIN Jul15 Dec13 Nov04 Oct11 Aug19 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00    
9  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Jul21 Jul04 Jun14 May05 Jan12 (poteet d)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.