Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - July 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(6/7/3)-(4/5/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(4/5/7/6)-(2/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/6)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/6)-(2/6/3)-(1/4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(3/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/3)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/3)-(3/5/4)-(6/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING CHIME Jun27 May17 May02 Oct25   (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of OUTLAW DANCER by BOWMAN'S BAND)
SCR  MIKEY'S SONG Jul02 Jun08 May20 Apr24 Apr01 (guerrero melecio)CASTILLO A 122 3.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PHANTOM PHASR by GHOSTZAPPER)
TOOTALOO KANGAROO Jul10 Jun27 May21     (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 2.00 68% 0.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of AKIRA by ALDEBARAN)
PEACEOFTASTYCAKE         (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 12.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
FLAGRUNNER         (binning matt)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of YIPPEE by PERUVIAN)
ADIOS MEISTER         (carpio erin)INIRIO J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LADRONA by BODEMEISTER)
RED BETTY Jul17         (albright )VARGAS L 122 12.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of UNPLUGGED by UNTUTTABLE)
 
PEN-2   07/24/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET WISPER Jun26 Jun12 Nov16 Oct25 Oct06 (albright )VARGAS L 123 2.50    
PYROTECHNICS Jul03 Jun04 May17 May03 Mar25 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
HOP TO A DECISION May15 May03 Apr22 Mar06 Jan27 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
DIVINE PROMISE Jun19 May29 May15 Apr22 Mar07 (wagner ka)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50    
SCR  MY MASTERPIECE Jul10 Jul03 Jun11 Jun04 May12 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 121 10.00    
TAPESTRY COLORS Jul11 Sep22 Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 48% 1.10    
RAINAS ROLLIN Jul03 Jun04 May21 Sep20 Aug29 (rogers ro)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 11% 7.80    
 
PEN-3   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PYLON Jul10 Jun25 Jun08 May08 Apr08 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 5.00    
DROSSELMOON Jul04 May30 Mar22 Mar08 Jan12 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00    
ROMANTIC GAMBLE Jun27 May31 May15 May02 Mar21 (geist w)FLORES E 123 4.50    
SPOOKY ONE Jul03 Jun11 May24 May03 Mar21 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.50 32% 2.20    
FIRE DOWN BELOW Jul04 Jun11 May29 Aug30 Mar11 (albright am)INIRIO J 123 2.50 25% 2.90    
WE READY Jul06 Jun25 Jun12 May18 Apr30 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Jul04 Jun11 May29 May02 Apr12 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 11% 8.10    
 
PEN-4   07/24/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY PAPPY Jun24 Jun12 May22 Apr30 Apr08 (dunn fel)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50    
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Jul05 May31 Nov30 Nov01 Aug24 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
TUNE IN Apr21 Mar07 Feb02 Dec22 Oct03 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIME TO CRUISE Jun25 May01 Apr09 Mar08 Jan31 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00    
WISH FOR PEACE Jun25 Jun08 Apr24 Mar30 Mar07 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00    
GENGHIS Jun26 Jun12 May17 May02 Mar22 (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 5.00 10% 9.30    
 
PEN-5   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO TRAFFIC Jun15 May05 Apr20 Mar27 Jul19 (alvarado diane)TORREALBA JG 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
MARTINI'S BANK Jun27 Jun06       (sinnefia )VARGAS L 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
BUCKFAST ABBEY Jun25 Jun12 May23 Apr11 Mar27 (agnew naois)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
KENTUCKY REIGN Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May23 May08 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
BIONIC KAT Jul10 Jun12 Mar01 Feb07 Jan24 (geist w)FLORES E 123 12.00    
SOMETHING SILLY Jul11 Jun20 Jun01 May16 Apr26 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
TRECHMO GIRL Jul10 Jun25 May23 May04 Mar13 (kravets bruce )TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
 
PEN-6   07/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES IT'S ROO Jul04 Jun20 Jun12 May24 May15 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 3.50    
GAGETOWN Jun20 May24 May15 May02 Apr07 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00    
MR PHIL Jul04 Jun12 May24 May05 Apr27 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
UPSTATE AND BACK Jul04 Oct09 Aug09 Jul27 Jul07 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALLIN MY NAME Jun19 May24 May03 Apr09 Feb26 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
BRETT'S WORLD Jul04 Jun20 May15 May01 Apr15 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50    
 
PEN-7   07/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED IRISHMAN Jul03 Jun12 May22 May10 Mar21 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUNNIN JOKE Jul08 Jun03 May20 Apr24 Mar26 (padilla)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 10.00    
SCR  TEXTPECTATION Jun27 Jun12 May18 May08 Apr24 (morzan e)CORA D 121 15.00    
SASSY KING Jul03 Jun22 Jul14 Jun18 Jun04 (davis s)BRICENO GREGOR 121 15.00    
GURT'S WARRIOR Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 May29 Mar14 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50    
HERE'S WALDO Jun27 Jun06 May17 Feb22 Feb09 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 121 1.40 35% 1.90    
SPINNING MUSICIAN Jul03 Jun20 May22 May04 Apr08 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.